historian said:

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It seems that every election year the GOP candidates in statewide races are behind in the polls and end up winning in November, often by sizable margins. It's been this way for 30 years and there is no reason to think it will be different now.

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I don't think we've seen in it Texas in a while. I don't expect to see any of these seats flip blue...but Paxton and others need to keep their guard up.

Not sure about accuracy...but I asked Claude when is the last time a Texas democrat candidate for senate or governor led in the polls prior to Election Day...and this is what it came up with:

The most recent confirmed instance is 1990, in Ann Richards' race for governor against Clayton Williams.

Williams led for most of the campaign by as much as 20-27 points over the summer but the race tightened after his infamous "relax and enjoy it" rape comment and revelations he'd skipped paying state income taxes one year. By late October 1990, a KTRK-TV (Houston ABC affiliate) poll had Richards ahead by 3 points, even as a Williams internal poll still showed him up 7. Richards went on to win narrowly on Election Day, November 6, 1990.



Texas hasn't elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994.
In 2018, Beto O'Rourke came within 2.6 points of Ted Cruz the closest a Democrat has come to winning a Texas Senate seat in decades but polling from April through July 2018 had Cruz leading O'Rourke in every survey.
Other notable Democratic runs since 1990 (Ann Richards' 1994 re-election bid, Tony Sanchez 2002, Wendy Davis 2014) all trailed throughout their campaigns and lost by wide margins.

So barring some obscure down-to-the-wire poll I haven't turned up for a later race, 1990 appears to be the last time.

Current status in Red Rural Texas:

-Panhandle - Data Centers no one wants.
-West Texas - A border wall through Big Bend no one wants
- East Texas - a water grab by a billionaire that no one wants

This is the best of Texas and it’s being invaded, exploited, disrespected.

Who’s…

— Suzanne Bellsnyder (@sbellsnyder) August 8, 2026

Current status in Red Rural Texas:

-Panhandle - Data Centers no one wants.
-West Texas - A border wall through Big Bend no one wants
- East Texas - a water grab by a billionaire that no one wants

This is the best of Texas and it's being invaded, exploited, disrespected.

Who's going to stand up for Rural Texas? The rural vote is the deciding vote. And right now it's in play for #Election2026

Compared to Talarico and Paxton, Claytie and Miz Ann represent the highest of moral icons and Einstein-level savants. No way to compare that day in politics and candidates with today's steaming pile from which both parties select their people.

TEXAS POLITICS: Security escorts man out of Ken Paxton’s rally in San Antonio on Saturday after the man yells “you cheated on your wife.” pic.twitter.com/jgonzgz8Il

— Michael Karlis (@MichaelKarlis) August 8, 2026

What is a "Detransition Center"? Assuming it's for people wanting to transition back?

This week, I secured the first Detransition Center, hosted a roundtable in Austin to fight for Texans' health, and attended events with overflow crowds in Allen, Houston, McAllen, and San Antonio today.

Fake news from Clown @JeremySWallace 🤡 doesn't change the truth—I'm working… https://t.co/sl224VMiz1 pic.twitter.com/gftqdyveaU

— Attorney General Ken Paxton (@KenPaxtonTX) August 8, 2026

I support the current hemp language in the funding bill.

It bans synthetic intoxicants while giving naturally derived products a short extension.

That’s common sense, and it gives Congress and the Administration time to negotiate a more substantial bill.

— Senator Ted Cruz (@SenTedCruz) August 6, 2026

It what happens when the left lies to you

I don't think I'm ready for AI campaign commercials

James Talarico is too radical for Texas. pic.twitter.com/PxUCmm9GZP

— American Principles Project (@approject) August 7, 2026

Danielsjackson114 said:

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It what happens when the left lies to you

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good thing Trump is the undisputed King of LIES. So, enough out of you, kid.

IS THIS THE END OF MASCULINITY? 🤔💥

Talarico is transitioning....

"He was a DEI consultant... now a CARNIVORE waving the American flag! 🇺🇸"

"If you lose Texas for Republicans, SEEK ASYLUM in Mexico!" 😱 pic.twitter.com/O1cGQaL3Mz

— Jesse Watters (@JesseBWatters) August 6, 2026

We spend so much time looking for God that we miss God in the person sitting next to us.

In the face of a neighbor, we glimpse the face of God.

We love God by loving our neighbors. pic.twitter.com/gswz9as2VZ

— James Talarico (@jamestalarico) August 10, 2026

One Source of Paxton's Wealth: A Cell Tower at a Hospital He Knew Well
Ken Paxton, the Texas attorney general, makes six-figure income from a cellphone tower on the grounds of a hospital where he was a board member.

Osodecentx said:

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One Source of Paxton's Wealth: A Cell Tower at a Hospital He Knew Well
Ken Paxton, the Texas attorney general, makes six-figure income from a cellphone tower on the grounds of a hospital where he was a board member.

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Not a good look no matter what, but did the hospital have a formal conflict of interest policy in place? If so was it followed? I have no idea.

Fox Senate polls - recap

🔵 Georgia - Ossoff +13
🔵 North Carolina - Cooper +9
🔵 Ohio - Brown +8
🔵 Iowa - Turek +4
🔵 Texas - Talarico +3
🔵 Maine - Jackson +2

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 12, 2026

Osoff gonna make a big push IMO. He is fairly impressive and has a pair, unlike Rs. Talarico is gonna make this interesting. Gonna be difficult to win in Texas, but if there is a year, this is it with Trump slime/regurgitation. Trumps approval will be in the 20s before it's over.

historian said:

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In Texas, AG Paxton intervenes to save baby threatened with abortion for not being perfect

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2026/08/in-texas-ag-paxton-intervenes-to-save-baby-threatened-with-abortion-for-not-being-perfect/

Meanwhile, the governor of Massachusetts recently signed into law a bill that authorized the murder of babies in the womb on the due date. The Leftists want to kill as many babies as possible! In their minds, the American Holocaust must continue indefinitely.

I suspect Jimmie's radical views on the subject is closer to that of the killers in Massachusetts than the saner views of most Texans.

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I'm not real concerned if he supports a women's right to healthcare. Is he moral? Does he have a platform to keep taxes low, pro growth. Stay the eff out of yalls culture wars.

J.R. said:

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historian said:

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In Texas, AG Paxton intervenes to save baby threatened with abortion for not being perfect

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2026/08/in-texas-ag-paxton-intervenes-to-save-baby-threatened-with-abortion-for-not-being-perfect/

Meanwhile, the governor of Massachusetts recently signed into law a bill that authorized the murder of babies in the womb on the due date. The Leftists want to kill as many babies as possible! In their minds, the American Holocaust must continue indefinitely.

I suspect Jimmie's radical views on the subject is closer to that of the killers in Massachusetts than the saner views of most Texans.

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I'm not real concerned if he supports a women's right to healthcare.

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This is why no one takes you seriously

DAC said:

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J.R. said:

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historian said:

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In Texas, AG Paxton intervenes to save baby threatened with abortion for not being perfect

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2026/08/in-texas-ag-paxton-intervenes-to-save-baby-threatened-with-abortion-for-not-being-perfect/

Meanwhile, the governor of Massachusetts recently signed into law a bill that authorized the murder of babies in the womb on the due date. The Leftists want to kill as many babies as possible! In their minds, the American Holocaust must continue indefinitely.

I suspect Jimmie's radical views on the subject is closer to that of the killers in Massachusetts than the saner views of most Texans.

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I'm not real concerned if he supports a women's right to healthcare.

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This is why no one takes you seriously

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ok freak MAGA turd! Viva la Liar in Chief

https://www.nationalreview.com/the-morning-jolt/if-youre-running-for-office-you-cant-be-a-slimeball-and-be-lazy/

If You're Running for Office, You Can't Be a Slimeball and Be Lazy
Sure, Texas Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton has a slew of scandals, a messy divorce, was impeached as state attorney general, is a terrible fundraiser, and traditionally runs significantly behind the rest of the Republicans who are running statewide. But at least he's lazy! Elsewhere, President Trump is sitting on a $400 million war chest for the midterms. Meanwhile, the president's "gold card" immigration plan is wildly underperforming expectations, and the national debt is about to cross $40 trillion. Read on.
The Worst of Both Worlds
A Democrat has not won a U.S. Senate race in Texas since 1988. But all streaks come to an end eventually; even Cal Ripken took a day off after 16 years. And the odds of Democrat James Talarico beating Republican Ken Paxton look surprisingly, unnervingly good for such a deep-red state.
Yes, we've seen some high-profile polling misses lately. But four of the last six polls showed Talarico ahead, and another one showed a tie.

boognish_bear said:

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Fox Senate polls - recap

🔵 Georgia - Ossoff +13
🔵 North Carolina - Cooper +9
🔵 Ohio - Brown +8
🔵 Iowa - Turek +4
🔵 Texas - Talarico +3
🔵 Maine - Jackson +2

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 12, 2026

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All those will get closer

Many will be toss ups

Sen. Susan Collins (R) will win in Maine…never under estimate her

Redbrickbear said:

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boognish_bear said:

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Fox Senate polls - recap

🔵 Georgia - Ossoff +13
🔵 North Carolina - Cooper +9
🔵 Ohio - Brown +8
🔵 Iowa - Turek +4
🔵 Texas - Talarico +3
🔵 Maine - Jackson +2

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 12, 2026

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All those will get closer

Many will be toss ups

Sen. Susan Collins (R) will win in Maine…never under estimate her

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Cooper wins NC

Official Statement from James Talarico on Ken Paxton Refusing to Debate pic.twitter.com/kSLvGZ2o6M

— JT Ennis (@jt_ennis) August 13, 2026

Q: What's your thoughts on the state's THC ban?

KEN PAXTON: Uhm. I don't know the details of it, but let's talk later.

(Paxton is currently being sued because he's trying to enforce Texas's ban to the maximum extent possible, so this is a lie!) pic.twitter.com/DmGT6nVcje

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) August 15, 2026

Texas Governor Greg Abbott is launching a review to potentially take back state funding from Dallas and Houston airports due to amenities that were created for Muslim travelers. He is also calling on federal officials to do the same. https://t.co/OFAvq4vWNu

— FOX 4 NEWS (@FOX4) August 15, 2026

boognish_bear said:

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Government-owned airports cannot favor one religion over all others.

DFW plans to install Islamic wudu washing facilities are illegal. I've directed a review of all state grants to both airports for possible revocation, and referred DFW & IAH to USDOT for investigation.

Texas… pic.twitter.com/XY58WAKJ8N

— Greg Abbott (@GregAbbott_TX) August 14, 2026

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These additional "washing stations" should go in near the interfaith chapel area. And the chapel area expanded again to stand alone space for each faith. (And let each faith pay for their own space area/worship space)

If the airport wants to be accommodating to faith

And it looks like the airport has had some since 2019

[Ablution stations provide a designated place for ritual washing. In Islam, the practice is known as Wudu and involves washing parts of the body, including the hands, face and feet, before prayer.

The airport has offered two ablution stations on the post-security side of Terminal D since 2019, when it relocated and expanded its interfaith chapel near Gate D40. The airport announced at the time that the renovated chapel included the stations for "ritual purification," along with shoe storage, kneelers and additional space for religious texts.]

let's goooooo

Down with Sharia law

James Talarico accused Ken Paxton of voter fraud for voting under an address where he no longer lived. The Tribune and ProPublica found the Democratic Senate candidate also appears to have done so. https://t.co/DPU5P7ZdQh

— Texas Tribune (@TexasTribune) August 15, 2026

boognish_bear said:

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TEXAS POLITICS: Security escorts man out of Ken Paxton’s rally in San Antonio on Saturday after the man yells “you cheated on your wife.” pic.twitter.com/jgonzgz8Il

— Michael Karlis (@MichaelKarlis) August 8, 2026

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Odd crowd response. USA, USA? Get outta here loser?