Whew, glad they didn't get those extra 2 points
Assassin said:
I dont get that. 35-27 - You could have kicked the 1, and been a TD and 1 to tie or TD and 2 to go ahead. Why go for the 2 now? Now you have no options but to go for 2 if you can score a TD
Wichitabear said:
Ok well I may have to revise my last statement
I would have to see the data. But you also pysch out your own players with the failure to convert. One of the things numbers dont tell youBearForce said:Assassin said:
I dont get that. 35-27 - You could have kicked the 1, and been a TD and 1 to tie or TD and 2 to go ahead. Why go for the 2 now? Now you have no options but to go for 2 if you can score a TD
Analytics apparently say if you go for 2 there and get it a TD wins and if you dont get it you get another chance to tie with a TD. Not saying I buy it but that is the logic.
Assassin said:
I would guess that was a Kellen Moore call on the pass to Jarwin. They could have run the clock down, punted and given the ball to Lions with 15 seconds left. An incomplete would have stopped the clock with quite a bit more time left
Assassin said:I would have to see the data. But you also pysch out your own players with the failure to convert. One of the things numbers dont tell youBearForce said:Assassin said:
I dont get that. 35-27 - You could have kicked the 1, and been a TD and 1 to tie or TD and 2 to go ahead. Why go for the 2 now? Now you have no options but to go for 2 if you can score a TD
Analytics apparently say if you go for 2 there and get it a TD wins and if you dont get it you get another chance to tie with a TD. Not saying I buy it but that is the logic.
So basically its just shy of a wash. 2 points just under half the time or 1 point nearly all the timetrey3216 said:Assassin said:I would have to see the data. But you also pysch out your own players with the failure to convert. One of the things numbers dont tell youBearForce said:Assassin said:
I dont get that. 35-27 - You could have kicked the 1, and been a TD and 1 to tie or TD and 2 to go ahead. Why go for the 2 now? Now you have no options but to go for 2 if you can score a TD
Analytics apparently say if you go for 2 there and get it a TD wins and if you dont get it you get another chance to tie with a TD. Not saying I buy it but that is the logic.
2 pt tries are something like 48.5% successful, or an expected score of .97 points.
Since they've moved the XP back, tries are somewhere near 94.5% successful. So the math says you will end up .025 points better over time by going for the 2.
but mathematics will tell you that better is better.Assassin said:So basically its just shy of a wash. 2 points just under half the time or 1 point nearly all the timetrey3216 said:Assassin said:I would have to see the data. But you also pysch out your own players with the failure to convert. One of the things numbers dont tell youBearForce said:Assassin said:
I dont get that. 35-27 - You could have kicked the 1, and been a TD and 1 to tie or TD and 2 to go ahead. Why go for the 2 now? Now you have no options but to go for 2 if you can score a TD
Analytics apparently say if you go for 2 there and get it a TD wins and if you dont get it you get another chance to tie with a TD. Not saying I buy it but that is the logic.
2 pt tries are something like 48.5% successful, or an expected score of .97 points.
Since they've moved the XP back, tries are somewhere near 94.5% successful. So the math says you will end up .025 points better over time by going for the 2.
What does Mathematics say about a team going for 2 without its starting QB and a RB who was just picked up off waivers? Is it still better?trey3216 said:but mathematics will tell you that better is better.Assassin said:So basically its just shy of a wash. 2 points just under half the time or 1 point nearly all the timetrey3216 said:Assassin said:I would have to see the data. But you also pysch out your own players with the failure to convert. One of the things numbers dont tell youBearForce said:Assassin said:
I dont get that. 35-27 - You could have kicked the 1, and been a TD and 1 to tie or TD and 2 to go ahead. Why go for the 2 now? Now you have no options but to go for 2 if you can score a TD
Analytics apparently say if you go for 2 there and get it a TD wins and if you dont get it you get another chance to tie with a TD. Not saying I buy it but that is the logic.
2 pt tries are something like 48.5% successful, or an expected score of .97 points.
Since they've moved the XP back, tries are somewhere near 94.5% successful. So the math says you will end up .025 points better over time by going for the 2.
Assassin said:What does Mathematics say about a team going for 2 without its starting QB and a RB who was just picked up off waivers? Is it still better?trey3216 said:but mathematics will tell you that better is better.Assassin said:So basically its just shy of a wash. 2 points just under half the time or 1 point nearly all the timetrey3216 said:Assassin said:I would have to see the data. But you also pysch out your own players with the failure to convert. One of the things numbers dont tell youBearForce said:Assassin said:
I dont get that. 35-27 - You could have kicked the 1, and been a TD and 1 to tie or TD and 2 to go ahead. Why go for the 2 now? Now you have no options but to go for 2 if you can score a TD
Analytics apparently say if you go for 2 there and get it a TD wins and if you dont get it you get another chance to tie with a TD. Not saying I buy it but that is the logic.
2 pt tries are something like 48.5% successful, or an expected score of .97 points.
Since they've moved the XP back, tries are somewhere near 94.5% successful. So the math says you will end up .025 points better over time by going for the 2.
Wichitabear said:
Really Jerry! Omg!