quash said:
OsoCoreyell said:
quash said:
whiterock said:
Until the odds of failure become likely, illegals are not going to quit giving the cartels their life saving to carry them to the USA.
Better option: put the trafficking cartels out of business by opening the border to workers.
If there was an intelligent guest worker setup, I could see wide support. But you do have to recognize that (1) guest worker programs do tend to drive down real wages in many blue-collar job sectors, and (2) the guest worker programs in Europe have been very hard to enforce, with many, many guest workers overstaying. There are tradeoffs and costs.
I can't convince the KnowNothings on this board, but most of the illegals here are visa overstays, so that has always been a problem. But they had time limited visas from the start; the bracero approach lasted as long as the job did, so a reduced overstay (basically some of those who lose their job).
I'm willing to have a small increase in overstays to get rid of the cartels. But when push comes to shove most on this thread will balk at any solution that allows one illegal to commit one property crime. Just unrealistic.
Yes, a better guest worker program will help (we have one, so we're talking reform, not creation.).
Yes, in the past, most illegals are visa overstays (about 60/40, before border crisis of the last decade.)
But. And this is key:
Most illegals did not come here to work.
They came here for citizenship.
If they'll overstay a B1/B2 visitors visa, they'll overstay an H1 temporary work visa.So the worker program has to think bigger than just worker permits.
Straight from Consular Commission training: The American People have never looked kindly on an expatriate class of worker living here without full citizenship rights. And policing that expatriate class will test law on civil liberties. Courts have always (rightly) considered Constitutional Rights to apply to everyone, not just citizens. Moreover, the more one polices expatriates in their society, the more citizens and families get ground up in the enforcement gears. Just comes with the territory. In that context, it's not likely a large class of guest workers (so incredibly logical in the abstract) will not likely retain public support (given traditional American views on such things.)
Amid all of that, the flow of immigrants (legal or not) solves a real problem of demography endemic to all developed societies - low birthrates, shortages of unskilled labor. (all those visa overstays are NOT unskilled labor, btw......) So if we are to slash the immigration, then we have to propel the growth rate. Propelling the growth rate will require us to reverse decades of policy. We will have to increase tax incentives for families to have children. We will have to radically rethink the cost of raising children - specifically....what we spend money on in education. We cannot afford to throw around money to teach social sciences like we do when we have such a shortage of skilled AND unskilled labor = cut back on college loans and increase technical school loans. This will have to be a thoroughgoing exercise. Was no-fault divorce really such a good idea? How can we ever expect to have more of the traditional family structures it take to create children when we are letting the children we have now be educated such rot on what is a man and what is a woman? Guys, we need lathe operators, electricians, plumbers, burger flippers and LOT more than we need another Gender Studies major who can't do anything but criticize capitalism as racism.
We are not at in a tweaking phase. We are in an "end of phase" moment, and societal establishments are going to fight the needed changes like hell. Public sentiment is turning against the very dynamic that has kept our society ahead of the demographic monsters that fell developed societies.
And what does polite society say about that?
It's all Trump's fault.