whiterock said:
Putin certainly could at any time invade Ukraine and own it all. But I don't think that's what he wants to do.
I think he'd back off with a simple pledge from NATO that Ukraine will never be a member state.
I'm not sure I'd be willing to give that pledge. I'd rather let him have eastern Ukraine in exchange for a guarantee of a neutral Western Ukraine.
I think the Biden Admin is hyping the tension so that anything less than a full-bore invasion of Ukraine will look like a diplomatic victory.
Putin can do a variety of things and sell it to the Russian people as a win.
But if he wants all of Ukraine he will get it and Biden won't stop him. See the Crimea.
And yes, President Clinton should have left a non-aligned buffer around Russia. NATO expansion poked the bear without delivering any gains for US interests.
“Life, liberty, and property do not exist because men have made laws. On the contrary, it was the fact that life, liberty, and property existed beforehand that caused men to make laws in the first place.” (The Law, p.6) Frederic Bastiat