"Trump is popular only among Republicans. He is very unpopular outside of that demographic."
Let's look at that.
There is a NY Times/Siena poll dated August 1 for all registered voters which shows Trump with 41% 'somewhat or very favorable' opinion of Trump, versus 43% for Biden, but only 39% 'strong or somewhat approve' of Biden's job as President.
DeSantis holds 31% favorability in that poll.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/08/01/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voters-toplines.html
A July 25 YouGov poll gives Trump 40% favorable support (46 male, 36 female) , versus 44% for Biden (45 male, 44 female)
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/pvpz4fi6ym/econTabReport.pdf
A Harvard-Harris poll from July 17 gives Trump 45% favorability to Biden's 39%, but says the Republicans and Democrats both suffer from net disapproval.
https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/HHP_July2023_KeyResults.pdf
You are correct that if Trump is to win, he is going to need to improve his support among women. The bigger problem is that this would be true for any Republican. The good news is that Biden's economic performance is so bad that he can create the opportunity for the GOP nominee.
The numbers tell us it's a race, and the calendar says there is a long way to go to produce a winner.
Anyone pretending to know the outcome now has basically given up and is an anti-cheerleader for our nation by now.
Let's look at that.
There is a NY Times/Siena poll dated August 1 for all registered voters which shows Trump with 41% 'somewhat or very favorable' opinion of Trump, versus 43% for Biden, but only 39% 'strong or somewhat approve' of Biden's job as President.
DeSantis holds 31% favorability in that poll.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/08/01/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voters-toplines.html
A July 25 YouGov poll gives Trump 40% favorable support (46 male, 36 female) , versus 44% for Biden (45 male, 44 female)
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/pvpz4fi6ym/econTabReport.pdf
A Harvard-Harris poll from July 17 gives Trump 45% favorability to Biden's 39%, but says the Republicans and Democrats both suffer from net disapproval.
https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/HHP_July2023_KeyResults.pdf
You are correct that if Trump is to win, he is going to need to improve his support among women. The bigger problem is that this would be true for any Republican. The good news is that Biden's economic performance is so bad that he can create the opportunity for the GOP nominee.
The numbers tell us it's a race, and the calendar says there is a long way to go to produce a winner.
Anyone pretending to know the outcome now has basically given up and is an anti-cheerleader for our nation by now.
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier