YOU RUINED GOOD CHANCES OF THE BIG XII GETTING 2-3 TEAMS IN THE CFP JUST TO FREAKING MISS A BOWL GAME?!?!?!?!

YOU FREAKING TERRORIST ORG, YOU!!!! pic.twitter.com/8nblRUzo4R

— Some.BYU.Dude (@ByuSome) November 30, 2024

Here's what I'm thinking

Guaranteed-

B10: Oregon, Penn State, Indiana, Ohio State

SEC: UGA, UT, Tennessee

ACC: Champion

Big12: Champion

Independent: Notre Dame

G5: Boise St

Next up:

I'm currently guessing Miami since they only have 2 losses but I'm replacing them with SMU if they lose the ACC since they would have 2 quality losses

Aggie could make it if they win out (unlikely)

Bama or South Carolina are also watching from the outside but it's also unlikely since they have 3 losses

How the hell did Bama lose to this OU team?

Cows are playing better than the Aggies. The only reason the Aggies gave a score is a lucky break: 93 yard pick six. I think the Cows will win, although I hope not. It doesn't really matter because I'm not sure either team can beat Georgia next week.

If Alabama is left out then obviously the CFP will expand to 16 teams next year....

A 10-2 BYU deserves a playoff spot over 10-2 Miami

— Joe Wheat (@joewheat27) December 1, 2024

If anyone is wondering how a Big12 team would do in the SEC?? Texas just lost 1 conference game and made the SEC Championship.. #ItJustMeansMore pic.twitter.com/yDnAqH0OoT

— Sherman Young Jr. (@ShermStu_2) December 1, 2024

Jack Bauer said:

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If Alabama is left out then obviously the CFP will expand to 16 teams next year....

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Bama does not deserve to be in. Period. But if their being left out leads to a 16 team playoff with no byes, that alone us reason enough to leave them out.

A middle of the road Big 12 team with minimal success over the past decade until they won the title in 2023.
If they can do it, so can Baylor, K Stare, or anyone else.

Possibly, but you have to factor in the unbalanced schedules… UT avoided Tenn, Ole Miss, Bama, SC, Mizzou and LSU. They got arguably the easiest conference schedule possible
Texas isn't 11-1 with say Georgias schedule or Ole Miss schedule

I'm not so sure. They had a terrible first half against Georgia, but have otherwise basically enforced their will on other teams. Ewers is good for a few bonehead plays every game, and an elite QB could maybe give them some problems, but there are no elite QBs in the SEC this year.

We might have to disagree there. AM is the only SEC team that Tx beat that finished with a winning record in conference play. Hell aside from GA and AM they didn't played no one in the SEC that finished with a winning record. They absolutely feasted on the bottom of the SEC.
Tx is damm good. Zero doubt about that. But they were gift wrapped a conference title with that slate

Valid point.

However, most SEC teams are mediocre like Aggie, Ole Miss, & South Carolina. They have little chance of competing for a conference title in any year. There are only a few at the top who will do that regularly, over the past decade that was Bama, LSU, & Georgia. Without Saban, Bama is in doubt & LSU has declined since their natty. Even when the mediocre teams seem to be having a good year, it usually falls apart in November. This certainly is the case with the Aggies who have never played in the SEC title game. The mediocre teams will have limited opportunities to play the leaders each year.

If we're calling those teams mediocre we're calling the entire B12 mediocre… heck you're calling the entire country mediocre those are still good teams. Great? No, but very few are. Not even sure there's a single great team this year. Oregons the closest but they have a few flaws albeit small ones

historian said:

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Valid point.

However, most SEC teams are mediocre like Aggie, Ole Miss, & South Carolina. They have little chance of competing for a conference title in any year. There are only a few at the top who will do that regularly, over the past decade that was Bama, LSU, & Georgia. Without Saban, Bama is in doubt & LSU has declined since their natty. Even when the mediocre teams seem to be having a good year, it usually falls apart in November. This certainly is the case with the Aggies who have never played in the SEC title game. The mediocre teams will have limited opportunities to play the leaders each year.

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Ole Miss is mediocre? Do you watch football?

No, he doesn't. Love Historian but he's admitted he doesn't watch anyone outside the B12. Which is perfectly fine. But it throws his outrageous takes about other teams/leagues out the window.

IowaBear said:

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Possibly, but you have to factor in the unbalanced schedules… UT avoided Tenn, Ole Miss, Bama, SC, Mizzou and LSU. They got arguably the easiest conference schedule possible
Texas isn't 11-1 with say Georgias schedule or Ole Miss schedule

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These super conferences are going to need to figure out a better system for scheduling. Perhaps going back to divisions isn't the worst idea in the world.

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

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historian said:

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Valid point.

However, most SEC teams are mediocre like Aggie, Ole Miss, & South Carolina. They have little chance of competing for a conference title in any year. There are only a few at the top who will do that regularly, over the past decade that was Bama, LSU, & Georgia. Without Saban, Bama is in doubt & LSU has declined since their natty. Even when the mediocre teams seem to be having a good year, it usually falls apart in November. This certainly is the case with the Aggies who have never played in the SEC title game. The mediocre teams will have limited opportunities to play the leaders each year.

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Ole Miss is mediocre? Do you watch football?

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They are undefeated in hypothetical matchups.

Agreed, and it's not just Texas. Look across the country. Indiana avoided Oregon, Penn St, Iowa, Illinois
The top 3 of the ACC SMU, Clemson, Miami didn't play each other

Can someone explain to me how the SEC gets away with only playing 8 conference games while every else does 9?

I'd have to double check but I'm almost certain the ACC also plays 4 non con games too

IowaBear said:

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I'd have to double check but I'm almost certain the ACC also plays 4 non con games too

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Correct. And as a result 13 of 16 SECSECSEC and 14 of 18 ACC teams are bowl eligible, including OU and Cal who both went 2-6 in conference play.

B1G got 12 of 18 bowl eligible, but only Nebraska qualified at 3-6. Big12 only had 9 of 16 bowl eligible, but all 9 had a winning conference record.

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

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historian said:

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Valid point.

However, most SEC teams are mediocre like Aggie, Ole Miss, & South Carolina. They have little chance of competing for a conference title in any year. There are only a few at the top who will do that regularly, over the past decade that was Bama, LSU, & Georgia. Without Saban, Bama is in doubt & LSU has declined since their natty. Even when the mediocre teams seem to be having a good year, it usually falls apart in November. This certainly is the case with the Aggies who have never played in the SEC title game. The mediocre teams will have limited opportunities to play the leaders each year.

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Ole Miss is mediocre? Do you watch football?

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There is a belief among some here that if a SEC team isn't in the top band of the SEC, it's automatically mediocre by national P4 standards. That take isn't based on reality.

BigGameBaylorBear said:

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Here's what I'm thinking

Guaranteed-

B10: Oregon, Penn State, Indiana, Ohio State

SEC: UGA, UT, Tennessee

ACC: Champion

Big12: Champion

Independent: Notre Dame

G5: Boise St

Bama or South Carolina are also watching from the outside but it's also unlikely since they have 3 losses

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I pretty much agree with this. However, if Boise State loses to UNLV in the title game, I'm not sure what the next highest ranked conference champion is.

To give you an idea of how strong the SEC/Big 10 bias is in this scam, this from an article this morning: "Georgia, which will meet Texas in the SEC championship game, needed eight overtimes on Friday night to beat rival Georgia Tech and likely punch its ticket win or lose against the Horns"

Win or lose...lose means that the presstitutes are pretty sure that a 9-4 UGA team is an automatic at large bid at this point.

Also, here are Bleacher Report's predicted matchups in light of this weekend's games.

Updated CFB Playoff Projection

No. 1 Oregon (Big Ten Champion)
No. 2 Texas (SEC Champion)
No. 3 SMU (ACC Champion)
No. 4 Boise State (Best Group of 5 Champion)
No. 12 South Carolina vs. No. 5 Penn State

No. 11 Arizona State vs. No. 6 Notre Dame [That's Arizona State going to South Bend, Indiana in December...It's 26 degrees and cloudy there now, tonight's low is forecast to be 21.]

No. 10 Indiana vs. No. 7 Georgia
No. 9 Ohio State vs. No. 8 Tennessee

Realitybites said:

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Also, here are Bleacher Report's predicted matchups in light of this weekend's games.

Updated CFB Playoff Projection

No. 1 Oregon (Big Ten Champion)
No. 2 Texas (SEC Champion)
No. 3 SMU (ACC Champion)
No. 4 Boise State (Best Group of 5 Champion)
No. 12 South Carolina vs. No. 5 Penn State

No. 11 Arizona State vs. No. 6 Notre Dame [That's Arizona State going to South Bend, Indiana in December...It's 26 degrees and cloudy there now, tonight's low is forecast to be 21.]

No. 10 Indiana vs. No. 7 Georgia
No. 9 Ohio State vs. No. 8 Tennessee

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Not sure how South Carolina would get in over Bama. I dislike them as much as the next person but Bama beat SC head to head and have just as good ranked wins.

If you lose at home to a 21 point underdog, there is NO WAY IN EVER LIVING HELL should you host a CFB Playoff game with 2 losses.

Ohio State does NOT deserve a 1st round home game.

— Peter Burns (@PeterBurnsESPN) December 1, 2024

How CFP would look based on the AP rankings:

1 Oregon*
2 Texas*
3 SMU*
4 Boise*
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5 Penn State
12 Arizona State*

6 Notre Dame
11 Alabama

7 Georgia
10 Indiana

8 Tennessee
9 Ohio State
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First out
- South Carolina
- Miami
- Ole Miss

*conference champion https://t.co/w0hBNU6drU

— Ross Dellenger (@RossDellenger) December 1, 2024

Proof that no one is good.

AP poll
No. 1 beat 5-7 Wisc by just 3
No. 2 beat 6-6 Vandy by just 3
No. 3 beat 7-5 Minn by just 1
No. 4 lost to 7-5 NIU
No. 5 went 8 OTs w/7-5 GT
No. 6 lost to 6-6 Ark
No. 7 lost to 7-5 Mich
No. 8 beat 3-10 Nev by just 5
No. 9 lost only ranked game by…

— 💫🅰️♈️🆔 (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 1, 2024

I'm not predicting ND to win...but I would say they probably present the best betting value here

.@CircaSports national title odds

Oregon +315
Ohio St +425
Texas +475
Georgia 5-1
Notre Dame 10-1
Penn St 12-1
Alabama 20-1
Tennessee 25-1
SMU 45-1
Boise St 50-1
Indiana 60-1
SCarolina 75-1
Clemson 80-1
Arizona St 100-1
Miami 150-1
Iowa St 175-1
Ole Miss, UNLV 200-1

— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) December 1, 2024

Lane Kiffin tweets: "Clearly Ole Miss should be in the playoff over Alabama, but Bama is the bigger brand & more than likely will get in over Ole Miss." 💀 https://t.co/ZvVrrams2i

— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) December 2, 2024

boognish_bear said:

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Lane Kiffin tweets: "Clearly Ole Miss should be in the playoff over Alabama, but Bama is the bigger brand & more than likely will get in over Ole Miss." 💀 https://t.co/ZvVrrams2i

— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) December 2, 2024

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Go enjoy the Gator Bowl, Lane. Ole Miss won't have to worry about trying to beat a Big 12 opponent without Eli Manning on the sideline.

It's kind of funny that tripling the number of teams invited to the CFP has done nothing to turn down the controversy

I couldn’t agree more @Lane_Kiffin here is a thought for the @CFBPlayoff

Ole miss #31 strength of schedule and has 3 losses to unranked Kentucky, Florida and 8-4 LSU team 🤷‍♂️#Illinois HAS #30 strength of schedule and has 3 losses to #1 Oregon and #4 Penn State and a one… https://t.co/Bw8haGFf8s

— Bret Bielema (@BretBielema) December 2, 2024

Excluding Indiana, five Big Ten teams won 8 games. Indiana faced one and lost at Ohio State 38-15, gaining 151 total yards in the game...

— Chris Fallica (@chrisfallica) December 2, 2024

Excluding Texas, six SEC teams won nine games. Texas faced only one - Georgia - and lost at home by 15 points to the Bulldogs.

— Chris Fallica (@chrisfallica) December 2, 2024