"the care deeply about mankind, but no man in particular."He Hate Me said:whiterock said:
Mathusianism never dies.
can't remember who said it, but boy does it fit the democrats. They've gone completely collective with their caring.
"the care deeply about mankind, but no man in particular."He Hate Me said:whiterock said:
Mathusianism never dies.
Contraceptive met need & women’s access to education is estimated by groups like IHME to have a huge impact on fertility outcomes in a country. Look at their Niger example. The fastest met need has TFR crashing below replacement in the 2050s (replacement TFR in Niger is >2.0). pic.twitter.com/mMsMXdEy6T
— Aaronal (@Aaronal16) January 12, 2023
In 1971, just 18% of 30-year-olds had no children – today the figure has risen to 50% 🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/8COQUHw2Ht
— Sir Walter Raleigh 🏴 (@NxlAnglo) January 15, 2023
Golem said:contrario said:
Why must the population sustain itself? Why would it be a bad thing for there to be less people?
There won't be less people. There will be less intelligent people.
Redbrickbear said:In 1971, just 18% of 30-year-olds had no children – today the figure has risen to 50% 🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/8COQUHw2Ht
— Sir Walter Raleigh 🏴 (@NxlAnglo) January 15, 2023
Canada2017 said:Redbrickbear said:In 1971, just 18% of 30-year-olds had no children – today the figure has risen to 50% 🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/8COQUHw2Ht
— Sir Walter Raleigh 🏴 (@NxlAnglo) January 15, 2023
Strongly suspect this increase is due to UK's Muslim/ immigrant population influx over the last 20 years.
Fre3dombear said:Canada2017 said:Redbrickbear said:In 1971, just 18% of 30-year-olds had no children – today the figure has risen to 50% 🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/8COQUHw2Ht
— Sir Walter Raleigh 🏴 (@NxlAnglo) January 15, 2023
Strongly suspect this increase is due to UK's Muslim/ immigrant population influx over the last 20 years.
What's the logic there?
This is an earthquake. https://t.co/Tv2OzqbMaj
— Rod D. Martin (@RodDMartin) January 17, 2023
Redbrickbear said:This is an earthquake. https://t.co/Tv2OzqbMaj
— Rod D. Martin (@RodDMartin) January 17, 2023
Quote:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/16/business/china-birth-rate.html
China's Population Falls, Heralding a Demographic Crisis
Deaths outnumbered births last year for the first time in six decades. Experts see major implications for China, its economy and the world.
Even as birth rates decline overpopulation remains a global challenge https://t.co/zjcBTNZ1Le pic.twitter.com/hQWD0lkS3P
— World Economic Forum (@Davos) April 6, 2018
India’s looming demographic crisis will be just as extreme as China’s today | Paul Morland https://t.co/2fD6HjM9qh
— UnHerd (@unherd) January 18, 2023
The ONS has just revised the TFR of England and Wales downward from 1.61 to 1.55 kids per woman in 2021, taking the new census results into account.
— Birth Gauge (@BirthGauge) January 19, 2023
Due to the revisions, there are no districts left with above replacement level fertility. Luton, previously thought as having the highest TFR with 2.23 was revised to 1.89. The true record holder is now Tandridge in Surrey with a TFR of 1.96.
— Birth Gauge (@BirthGauge) January 19, 2023
I love how it's just wildly accepted that by 2030, half of women will be single and childless, testosterone/ sperm counts are dropping heavily every generation and our bodies are filling up with plastic.
— Poe's Law, Esq: Poe's Lawyer (@dyingscribe) January 19, 2023
Nobody is even caring about it.
We just accept this shit
I enjoyed Zeilhan's book. The End of the World is just beginningwhiterock said:
smattering of articles like this. Peter Zeihan insists it's true.
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/china/china-has-been-overstating-its-population-numbers-since-1990-says-us-academic/articleshow/58835756.cms
ATL Bear said:
Sounds like AI advances are coming at the right time. Smaller workforce, exponential increases in productivity. TFR decline is incredibly difficult to reverse.
Redbrickbear said:ATL Bear said:
Sounds like AI advances are coming at the right time. Smaller workforce, exponential increases in productivity. TFR decline is incredibly difficult to reverse.
Serious question....has anyone ever reversed TFR decline?
Other than replenishing massive human loss from war or disease, think Middle Ages, I don't think it's ever occurred.Redbrickbear said:ATL Bear said:
Sounds like AI advances are coming at the right time. Smaller workforce, exponential increases in productivity. TFR decline is incredibly difficult to reverse.
Serious question....has anyone ever reversed TFR decline?
I would love to step up and do my part in populating the earth. I have two grown kids. My wife had her tubes tied after the birth of our second. As much as I want to plant my seed and save humanity, she is NOT on board! She says if I continue to pursue this good cause, she is going to take half of my *****Redbrickbear said:
ATL Bear said:Other than replenishing massive human loss from war or disease, think Middle Ages, I don't think it's ever occurred.Redbrickbear said:ATL Bear said:
Sounds like AI advances are coming at the right time. Smaller workforce, exponential increases in productivity. TFR decline is incredibly difficult to reverse.
Serious question....has anyone ever reversed TFR decline?
you shoulda done your part and had 2.1 children. slacker.RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:I would love to step up and do my part in populating the earth. I have two grown kids. My wife had her tubes tied after the birth of our second. As much as I want to plant my seed and save humanity, she is NOT on board! She says if I continue to pursue this good cause, she is going to take half of my *****Redbrickbear said:
Interesting article on Chinese plans to subsidize IVF. The country will be an interesting lab for demographers interested in policy effects, as I suspect the government will adopt increasingly agressive pro-natalist policies over the next 20 years. https://t.co/shAU2U1o9m pic.twitter.com/veEeLZwoSD
— Sander Wagner (@sanderwagner) January 22, 2023
This IVF plan could augment their genetic engineering technology, including designer babies with characteristics advantageous to the state.Redbrickbear said:Interesting article on Chinese plans to subsidize IVF. The country will be an interesting lab for demographers interested in policy effects, as I suspect the government will adopt increasingly agressive pro-natalist policies over the next 20 years. https://t.co/shAU2U1o9m pic.twitter.com/veEeLZwoSD
— Sander Wagner (@sanderwagner) January 22, 2023
China is dying and its fertility rate (TFR) will be difficult to stabilize at 0.8. It is expected that about 8.3 million births will be officially announced for 2023. TFR for 2021 & 2022 are estimated by applying age-specific fertility of 2020 census, based on births. pic.twitter.com/iNnGNhmWjU
— 易富贤Yi Fuxian《大国空巢》 (@fuxianyi) February 3, 2023
To put the Uruguayan fertility decline into perspective, here a comparison with Spain. Until 1980 both countries had the same fertility level, but then Spain's TFR fell rapidly after the end of Franco's reign. Now Uruguay seems to catch up with the same speed of decline. pic.twitter.com/5m1m22eTJM
— Birth Gauge (@BirthGauge) February 3, 2023
The Turkish population register counted 4% fewer 0-year olds in 2022 than the year before. From that, it follows that the TFR of Turkey in 2022 was 1.64, down from 1.70 in 2021. In the provinces of Istanbul, Ankara and Izmir, the TFR was just 1.3 kids per woman anymore. https://t.co/GRX7axojDj
— Birth Gauge (@BirthGauge) February 6, 2023
The simple truth is people will have to get married earlier, in order to have more kids, over a fixed duration (we both cannot extend life or fertility reliably) pic.twitter.com/vAf3eya0wS
— ib (@lndian_Bronson) February 8, 2023
How successful were other countries attempts to raise fertility? Sweden: https://t.co/j2rx8tWh3y pic.twitter.com/KwL73L0Oxf
— True Discipline (@TruueDiscipline) February 10, 2023
Absolutely massive -16.66% decline in January 2023 births in Taiwan. As a reminder Taiwan had a TFR of only 0.89 in 2022 so they’re really having a go at displacing South Korea for world worst fertility rate crown. Births typically lower in the year preceding the Dragon Year. https://t.co/vHWD1lozMf
— Aaronal (@Aaronal16) February 11, 2023