Why can't young people afford houses?

26,978 Views | 326 Replies | Last: 9 hrs ago by boognish_bear
Johnny Bear
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Fre3dombear said:

Redbrickbear said:




Elections have consequences


Especially stolen ones.

But then again there were enough morons voting for this disaster to make it close enough to where stealing it was far more doable.
Mothra
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Forest Bueller_bf said:

Mothra said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.
I've read that the problem is, companies like Blackrock and other big corporations are buying up residential property like crazy, and then renting them out. Big business has discovered that investing in residential property is good for business.

Here in Austin, which is or at least was the fastest appreciating city in America, I have had 3 investors approach me about purchasing my house in the last couple of years. When we bought the home 8 years ago, it was a solid middle class home, production build, in a middle class neighborhood, and a bit of a fixer-upper. I could sell it today for more than 3 times what we paid for it.

That's insane.
Wow, but lucky for you.

Except for the property tax increases.
It sounds good on paper until you factor in that if we sold and made a lateral move here in Austin, I'm going to be using all of my equity in the house on the purchase of another one, with higher taxes and interest.

The people I really feel sorry for is my kids. However they will ever live around us I do not know.
Golem
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Additional factors:

1. Government subsidies for college (loans) have driven up the price for universities exponentially.

2. Students go into debt for utterly worthless degrees that offer no chance to pay off those loans.

3. Students and young people want "experiences" rather than saving for asset acquisition. They waste their money and thus have none to invest.

4. Young people (many) refuse to get roommates. They also refuse to get married, which would act as a similar fix as a roommate.
ShooterTX
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KaiBear said:

Wangchung said:

The massive influx of illegals taking up all cheap property does not help.
Illegals can't aquire mortgage loans.


So unless they have some substantial cash in their travel bags.....it ain't happening.
Illegals are getting money from the government for "rent assistance" and food.

So they are getting free rent in cheap apartments & houses.
ShooterTX
Redbrickbear
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Golem said:

Additional factors:


2. Students go into debt for utterly worthless degrees that offer no chance to pay off those loans.




Everything you say is true.

But it's not just feminist Afro-centric basket weaving majors hurting.

My 1st semester at Baylor I had a 3.8 GPA…after 4.5 years of hard drinking I graduated with a BBA with around a 3.4 GPA

I came out to a job making $600 a week…before taxes.

My parents made me pay for my last 1.5 years of Baylor on loans. (Understandable)

If I had paid for all 4 I would still be renting and be totally screwed at life

My sister went to u.t Austin and is a lawyer… and she was just 4 years ago able to afford her first home.

Something is very very wrong
Stranger
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Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.


once up, they never come down
I'm a Bearbacker
ShooterTX
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There a lot of major corporations that are buying up homes across the nation. Their plan is to rent them out.
They get much better loans that a traditional mortgage, so they can afford to rent them out and make a profit. If you try that with a traditional loan at the current rates, the rent would be too high for you to find renters.

What few are actually talking about is that many of these corporations are NOT American companies. There are corporations from all over Europe, investing in American housing. Same is true for China and the Middle East.

In other words, we are quickly moving towards a scenario where the majority of houses in America are owned by corporations as rentals. Many of these houses will be owned by people outside of the USA.

This is also a trend in farm real estate. Many foreign companies are buying up farm & ranch properties in the USA, and then renting it out for farming or grazing rights.

We are losing our private property ownership, and control over our domestic food production.

It is far beyond time for the government to restrict private property ownership to citizens of the United States only. There are plenty of western nations which have similar restrictions. It is an issue of national security, and the security of our economy as well. If banks across Asian suddenly fail, then those corporations would have no choice but to dump their RE holdings in the US. That would have a massive ripple effect on the US housing market. We shouldn't allow ourselves to be so directly affected by foreign economies.
ShooterTX
Realitybites
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Florida is a bit of a unique case given how many people are moving there.

"The Census Bureau's latest estimates show that a net total of about 320,000 Americans moved into Florida between 2021 and 2022, the largest number among the 49 states and Washington, DC."

That's almost a thousand people a day.

But mass immigration, section 8 housing vouchers, and ownership of single family homes by corporate entities is not helping.
whiterock
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FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
J.R.
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Very good question as I'm close to the situation as I'm in the MultiFamily business in the southern US including Dallas , Houston...no Austin. Our biggest competitor is the 1st time home buyer. Couple of things. One thing I noticed which is very different then when I got married in the early 90s.

Money was relatively cheap and lots of product on the market. We just thought that buying a house in the burbs (which we did..Richardson) for the school district. That was fairly the mindset back in the day. Now days, the young folks do not want to live in the burbs. They want to live Downtown and will spend the requisite $ to do it. They spend an inordinate amount of $ of rent and going out! I lived in HP for 20yrs and that was a great investment in terms of family and appreciation. Now, I live in a high rise in the city and rent on purpose (works for me). Avg rent increase annually is 19% on all our properties that we renovate. I do believe that interests rates and the rise of product prices seriously hamper the first time buyer.
Fre3dombear
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ShooterTX said:

KaiBear said:

Wangchung said:

The massive influx of illegals taking up all cheap property does not help.
Illegals can't aquire mortgage loans.


So unless they have some substantial cash in their travel bags.....it ain't happening.
Illegals are getting money from the government for "rent assistance" and food.

So they are getting free rent in cheap apartments & houses.


This has been epic in helping drive up the rent of my rentals.

Love leveraging the socialists.
Redbrickbear
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J.R. said:

One thing I noticed which is very different then when I got married in the early 90s.

Money was relatively cheap and lots of product on the market. We just thought that buying a house in the burbs (which we did..Richardson) for the school district. That was fairly the mindset back in the day. Now days, the young folks do not want to live in the burbs. They want to live Downtown and will spend the requisite $ to do it. They spend an inordinate amount of $ of rent and going out!


How much do you think this has to do with the fact that most young people now are not getting married or having kids?


[the marriage rates of U.S. women age 15 and older declined from 2011 to 2021. In 2021, the U.S. marriage rate was 14.5 marriages in the last year per 1,000 women, down from 17.5 a decade earlier.]







[What many demographic experts hoped was the start of a rising birthrate trend in 2021 apparently fizzled out in 2022. The number of births was essentially flat, while the general fertility rate continued to decline, albeit by just 1%. In 2022 America, there were only 56 births per 1,000 females of prime childbearing age.]




Redbrickbear
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FLBear5630
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whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.



KaiBear
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ShooterTX said:

KaiBear said:

Wangchung said:

The massive influx of illegals taking up all cheap property does not help.
Illegals can't aquire mortgage loans.


So unless they have some substantial cash in their travel bags.....it ain't happening.
Illegals are getting money from the government for "rent assistance" and food.

So they are getting free rent in cheap apartments & houses.
Tenants who get their rent paid for by the government ( Section 8 ) often trash the property.

As a result we never rent to such tenants.

J.R.
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KaiBear said:

ShooterTX said:

KaiBear said:

Wangchung said:

The massive influx of illegals taking up all cheap property does not help.
Illegals can't aquire mortgage loans.


So unless they have some substantial cash in their travel bags.....it ain't happening.
Illegals are getting money from the government for "rent assistance" and food.

So they are getting free rent in cheap apartments & houses.
Tenants who get their rent paid for by the government ( Section 8 ) often trash the property.

As a result we never rent to such tenants.


I will respond to this from my perspective. Ironically, in our complexes in Dallas, the Hispanic are generally some of our best tenants. The pay in cash and don't miss rent. They may have 10 people in one unit, but they take great care of their unit , hence our properties. Best deal we ever did were 2 properties across from each other , totally prolly 600 doors. Investors love that. 5 banger.
Harrison Bergeron
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KaiBear said:

Forest Bueller_bf said:

Redbrickbear said:


Yea, historically high home values plus increasing interest rates and in Texas at least high property tax amounts, price most young adults out of the market.


All true.

Another factor is the difficulty young people have saving up enough cash for the down payment and closing costs.

If they have student loans and credit card debt it is almost impossible to buy a house unless their family helps them out.

And most families can't or don't help them out.
Most young people - probably exacerbated by social media - do not understand frugality or what it takes to save. The same Gen Z kids complaining are the same that have weekly mani / pedis, week hair appointments, go out to eat seven days a week, go to the bars three days a week, drive new cars, wear luxury goods, etc. It's no different than many lower middle class folks. I used to work with a lot of those folks, and they ate out daily (I brought my lunch most days), they went to the salon every payday, they drove nicer cars than I did, and they spend $100 / week on nails. It's not revenue but income. We do not value or teach people how to live a frugal lifestyle.
KaiBear
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J.R. said:

KaiBear said:

ShooterTX said:

KaiBear said:

Wangchung said:

The massive influx of illegals taking up all cheap property does not help.
Illegals can't aquire mortgage loans.


So unless they have some substantial cash in their travel bags.....it ain't happening.
Illegals are getting money from the government for "rent assistance" and food.

So they are getting free rent in cheap apartments & houses.
Tenants who get their rent paid for by the government ( Section 8 ) often trash the property.

As a result we never rent to such tenants.


I will respond to this from my perspective. Ironically, in our complexes in Dallas, the Hispanic are generally some of our best tenants. The pay in cash and don't miss rent. They may have 10 people in one unit, but they take great care of their unit , hence our properties. Best deal we ever did were 2 properties across from each other , totally prolly 600 doors. Investors love that. 5 banger.


You missed my point.

Have found that race has little to do with the quality of a tenant. Although we would never allow 10 unrelated individuals to occupy one of our houses ( and in most communities it is illegal to do so )

However some of our associates have discovered the hard way that if the government is paying a tenants rent it is common for such tenants to absolutely trash the place.

From our experience the most potentially dangerous tenant is the single mother.

They often don't take proper care of their landscaping, have unending drama resulting from their revolving door of live in boyfriends and feel entitled to ignore the terms of their lease
due to their perpetual victimhood.

Interesting enough single Dad's make good tenants.
whiterock
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FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
FLBear5630
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whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)
ShooterTX
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FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)

I must agree with the sentiment here... but maybe not the specifics.

Unregulated development has become a disaster in Texas. It is ruining our communities, infrastructure, ecology,... it just needs to stop.

I know we need development, but there needs to be SOME form of macro planning involved.

You go out into the counties surrounding Bexar County (San Antonio), and it is a free for all disaster. Massive neighborhoods are being built, with no roadways, sewage, water or grid planning. I know, I know... the engineering firms will pop in here and claim that I'm wrong. I can tell you from experience that once these developments are complete and they hit over 90% occupancy... the roads are overwhelmed, the sewage treatment becomes a major hazard, there are water issues, and whenever a storm hits the elecrical fails.

The required planning & engineering is just not enough right now. But beyond that... they shouldn't be allowed to drop over 2,000 homes in the middle of nowhere on a 400 acre piece of land. It is just irresponsible.

One example I've seen is in Burnet county. Along highway 281, they are building a very large apartment complex. There is nothing but ranches and roads for miles in every direction... but someone decided to drop a freaking apartment complex out there. What the hell? It's a part of a 2,000 home development on a 1,000 acre site, featuring homes by DR Horton and Lennar. Basically this kind of community is for "starter homes", but it is miles and miles from the jobs those folks will be working in Austin. It's about an hour drive from there to the intersection of 360 & MoPac... without traffic. So they are building about 1,000 apartments and 1,000 postage stamp lots out in the middle of nowhere. The average postage stamp lot home will be over $250,000. The only thing going for this development is that 281 and 71 can handle the load. What about the local water supply? What about the local schools? What about the grid?

To me, nothing is more disgusting than seeing a city-style development dropped in the middle of the country. If you want to live in a city neighborhood, then stay in the freaking city. No one in the country wants those city folks.
ShooterTX
FLBear5630
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ShooterTX said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)

I must agree with the sentiment here... but maybe not the specifics.

Unregulated development has become a disaster in Texas. It is ruining our communities, infrastructure, ecology,... it just needs to stop.

I know we need development, but there needs to be SOME form of macro planning involved.

You go out into the counties surrounding Bexar County (San Antonio), and it is a free for all disaster. Massive neighborhoods are being built, with no roadways, sewage, water or grid planning. I know, I know... the engineering firms will pop in here and claim that I'm wrong. I can tell you from experience that once these developments are complete and they hit over 90% occupancy... the roads are overwhelmed, the sewage treatment becomes a major hazard, there are water issues, and whenever a storm hits the elecrical fails.

The required planning & engineering is just not enough right now. But beyond that... they shouldn't be allowed to drop over 2,000 homes in the middle of nowhere on a 400 acre piece of land. It is just irresponsible.

One example I've seen is in Burnet county. Along highway 281, they are building a very large apartment complex. There is nothing but ranches and roads for miles in every direction... but someone decided to drop a freaking apartment complex out there. What the hell? It's a part of a 2,000 home development on a 1,000 acre site, featuring homes by DR Horton and Lennar. Basically this kind of community is for "starter homes", but it is miles and miles from the jobs those folks will be working in Austin. It's about an hour drive from there to the intersection of 360 & MoPac... without traffic. So they are building about 1,000 apartments and 1,000 postage stamp lots out in the middle of nowhere. The average postage stamp lot home will be over $250,000. The only thing going for this development is that 281 and 71 can handle the load. What about the local water supply? What about the local schools? What about the grid?

To me, nothing is more disgusting than seeing a city-style development dropped in the middle of the country. If you want to live in a city neighborhood, then stay in the freaking city. No one in the country wants those city folks.
I agree.

Spent first part of my career private sector traffic analysis for large developments. Things have changed. It used to be that a project used to be profitable, which usually included a 15% profit. Now, it is not good enough to be profitable, it has to be uber-profitable. Bonuses used to be in the 1000s. Now, they are in the 10's of thousands. For the CEO or owner, it went from a good bonue being 50k to 20 million. This is permiating throug our society. To hit those levels, the boundaries have to be pushed and ofen it involves getting out of providing for the areas these projects occur, be it infrastructure or environmental. Sorry, building a 1000 unit condo in a downtown and the only improvement being a ped signal is ricdiculous...

Greed is going to be the downfall of our Nation. The goal now, is getting as much as possible and cashing out. Play the rest of your life. We have lost the desire to contribute, leave a legacy, make things better than before. The further we get from the Depression and WW2 generations, the worse it is getting. If you can screw people and make a fortune that is a good thing. Wanting to work in your 70's to build things, is consdered strange. Retire, cash out, take it easy. China is not taking it easy.
whiterock
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FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)
MAGA has no problems with roads & bridges, dude. they do have issues with what they perceive as use of Eminent Domain (ED) on behalf of private enterprise (toll roads). That is actually a positive dynamic....it keeps politicians honest. They are pushing toll roads because it keeps debt off of the state balance sheet. Ok. Good. But without voter skepticism of such arrangements, who knows how artful (fraudulent) such deals might become. Knowing voter concerns, politicians have to calibrate. Balance.....

The biggest budget limitation we face is crowd-out from entitlement programs. I think at state level we are close to 80% of state budget being committed before the legislature sits.

If cities want to grow, the citizens are going to have to pony up some money. Perfectly fair for the developers to put in sewer pipe within their subdivisions and lift stations; no fair to ask them to pay for the trunk lines or treatment plants. City does have some skin in the game....city is going to grow, get the property and sales taxes off of that growth, the businesses who re-locate to exploit the concentrated labor.

It's a good thing those developers are stacking up cash. Eventually, the boom will turn to bust and they're going to have to dip into capital reserves a bit. (speaking from experience....)
FLBear5630
How long do you want to ignore this user?
whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)
MAGA has no problems with roads & bridges, dude. they do have issues with what they perceive as use of Eminent Domain (ED) on behalf of private enterprise (toll roads). That is actually a positive dynamic....it keeps politicians honest. They are pushing toll roads because it keeps debt off of the state balance sheet. Ok. Good. But without voter skepticism of such arrangements, who knows how artful (fraudulent) such deals might become. Knowing voter concerns, politicians have to calibrate. Balance.....

The biggest budget limitation we face is crowd-out from entitlement programs. I think at state level we are close to 80% of state budget being committed before the legislature sits.

If cities want to grow, the citizens are going to have to pony up some money. Perfectly fair for the developers to put in sewer pipe within their subdivisions and lift stations; no fair to ask them to pay for the trunk lines or treatment plants. City does have some skin in the game....city is going to grow, get the property and sales taxes off of that growth, the businesses who re-locate to exploit the concentrated labor.

It's a good thing those developers are stacking up cash. Eventually, the boom will turn to bust and they're going to have to dip into capital reserves a bit. (speaking from experience....)
Toll roads are not all private enterprises, most in the US are part of DOTs. There are several independent Toll Authorities that are created by the Legislature and are Agencies of the State. Private Concessionaire projects are through DOTs. You only go to the private sector for public infrastructure as a last resort, basically when there is no money. Most of the Concessionaires are foreign, Australian, French, and Spanish.

As for good for developers stacking up cash. Your premise only works when they reinvest, after paying their fair share of the infrastructure impacts. They aren't. They are cashing out. Basically, leaving the local Governments dealing with the mess of providing infrastructure. (I am speaking from experience).

From a local Government perspective, at least the Dems are willing to raise taxes to provide services, my experience is that the GOP is all about infrastructure as long as someone else is paying. Conservative cash out and then ***** about taxes for roads, water, utilities, transit, education and all the other services that locals have to provide. Not a big fan of Developers.

Don't get me going on Eminent Domain! You will be the first person buying property in advance of road projects and make the DOT "take" it in Court. Driving the cost of building roads through the roof. over a million dollars a mile to build a local road with about 40% ROW (may be more now, older numbers). The number of projects when you look at the ownership of the property needed for all alternatives is the same people. They go and buy in advance of the project. Usually, good, conservative GOP types against Government funding...
Doc Holliday
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Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.
Big banks and corporations like blackrock will simply buy them all up and create a class of renters.
whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)
MAGA has no problems with roads & bridges, dude. they do have issues with what they perceive as use of Eminent Domain (ED) on behalf of private enterprise (toll roads). That is actually a positive dynamic....it keeps politicians honest. They are pushing toll roads because it keeps debt off of the state balance sheet. Ok. Good. But without voter skepticism of such arrangements, who knows how artful (fraudulent) such deals might become. Knowing voter concerns, politicians have to calibrate. Balance.....

The biggest budget limitation we face is crowd-out from entitlement programs. I think at state level we are close to 80% of state budget being committed before the legislature sits.

If cities want to grow, the citizens are going to have to pony up some money. Perfectly fair for the developers to put in sewer pipe within their subdivisions and lift stations; no fair to ask them to pay for the trunk lines or treatment plants. City does have some skin in the game....city is going to grow, get the property and sales taxes off of that growth, the businesses who re-locate to exploit the concentrated labor.

It's a good thing those developers are stacking up cash. Eventually, the boom will turn to bust and they're going to have to dip into capital reserves a bit. (speaking from experience....)
Toll roads are not all private enterprises, most in the US are part of DOTs. There are several independent Toll Authorities that are created by the Legislature and are Agencies of the State. Private Concessionaire projects are through DOTs. You only go to the private sector for public infrastructure as a last resort, basically when there is no money. Most of the Concessionaires are foreign, Australian, French, and Spanish.
They are a big recent trend for new roads, particularly in Tx.

As for good for developers stacking up cash. Your premise only works when they reinvest, after paying their fair share of the infrastructure impacts. They aren't. They are cashing out. Basically, leaving the local Governments dealing with the mess of providing infrastructure. (I am speaking from experience)
They do reinvest, just not in public infrastructure projects that are, rightly, outside their area of responsibility.

From a local Government perspective, at least the Dems are willing to raise taxes to provide services, my experience is that the GOP is all about infrastructure as long as someone else is paying. Conservative cash out and then ***** about taxes for roads, water, utilities, transit, education and all the other services that locals have to provide. Not a big fan of Developers.
That much is obvious. Democrats develop things, too, particularly in all those big blue states.

Don't get me going on Eminent Domain! You will be the first person buying property in advance of road projects and make the DOT "take" it in Court. Driving the cost of building roads through the roof. over a million dollars a mile to build a local road with about 40% ROW (may be more now, older numbers). The number of projects when you look at the ownership of the property needed for all alternatives is the same people. They go and buy in advance of the project. Usually, good, conservative GOP types against Government funding...
Eminent domain costs what it costs99% of people affected are owners residing or doing business and are being forced to sell against their will. The homeowners can always find a place to live and any loss is usually emotional. But an ED taking for a business is a potential existential moment. No guarantee they survive a new location. Sure, you can find examples of people buying in advance of road projects, but they will not do it for the ED sale. They will do it for the value of the new road frontage created! That's all good capitalism. Location location location......
Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
FLBear5630
How long do you want to ignore this user?
whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)
MAGA has no problems with roads & bridges, dude. they do have issues with what they perceive as use of Eminent Domain (ED) on behalf of private enterprise (toll roads). That is actually a positive dynamic....it keeps politicians honest. They are pushing toll roads because it keeps debt off of the state balance sheet. Ok. Good. But without voter skepticism of such arrangements, who knows how artful (fraudulent) such deals might become. Knowing voter concerns, politicians have to calibrate. Balance.....

The biggest budget limitation we face is crowd-out from entitlement programs. I think at state level we are close to 80% of state budget being committed before the legislature sits.

If cities want to grow, the citizens are going to have to pony up some money. Perfectly fair for the developers to put in sewer pipe within their subdivisions and lift stations; no fair to ask them to pay for the trunk lines or treatment plants. City does have some skin in the game....city is going to grow, get the property and sales taxes off of that growth, the businesses who re-locate to exploit the concentrated labor.

It's a good thing those developers are stacking up cash. Eventually, the boom will turn to bust and they're going to have to dip into capital reserves a bit. (speaking from experience....)
Toll roads are not all private enterprises, most in the US are part of DOTs. There are several independent Toll Authorities that are created by the Legislature and are Agencies of the State. Private Concessionaire projects are through DOTs. You only go to the private sector for public infrastructure as a last resort, basically when there is no money. Most of the Concessionaires are foreign, Australian, French, and Spanish.
They are a big recent trend for new roads, particularly in Tx.

As for good for developers stacking up cash. Your premise only works when they reinvest, after paying their fair share of the infrastructure impacts. They aren't. They are cashing out. Basically, leaving the local Governments dealing with the mess of providing infrastructure. (I am speaking from experience)
They do reinvest, just not in public infrastructure projects that are, rightly, outside their area of responsibility.

From a local Government perspective, at least the Dems are willing to raise taxes to provide services, my experience is that the GOP is all about infrastructure as long as someone else is paying. Conservative cash out and then ***** about taxes for roads, water, utilities, transit, education and all the other services that locals have to provide. Not a big fan of Developers.
That much is obvious. Democrats develop things, too, particularly in all those big blue states.

Don't get me going on Eminent Domain! You will be the first person buying property in advance of road projects and make the DOT "take" it in Court. Driving the cost of building roads through the roof. over a million dollars a mile to build a local road with about 40% ROW (may be more now, older numbers). The number of projects when you look at the ownership of the property needed for all alternatives is the same people. They go and buy in advance of the project. Usually, good, conservative GOP types against Government funding...
Eminent domain costs what it costs99% of people affected are owners residing or doing business and are being forced to sell against their will. The homeowners can always find a place to live and any loss is usually emotional. But an ED taking for a business is a potential existential moment. No guarantee they survive a new location. Sure, you can find examples of people buying in advance of road projects, but they will not do it for the ED sale. They will do it for the value of the new road frontage created! That's all good capitalism. Location location location......
Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
The RFPs are put out by TXDOT, they are selling the user fees to build the road. So, now you are not only paying tolls but a 15-20% profit margin built in. Check out who owns the Companies, they are usually European or Australian.

So, they take profit, don't provide for the infrastructure and leave the County and City holding the bag. Yup, about right. Hedge funds then make out like bandits. Ag land gone, County having to provide millions in infrastructure and the developer invests in Asia...

BS, the property they are buying is under blacktop. Talk to some of the DOT Eminent Domain guys for what really happens.

Yeah, see who comes in and buys from the owners. 9 out 0f 10 it is someone that came in and bought when they saw a road was scheduled. But, that is not eating at the public trough, right? Because you would do it, so it is cool, "good capitalism". Otherwise, it is the nasty Dems, bankrupting America. You and the GOP are just as guilty, just different means.

Dude, I wrote a published Best Practices for Corridor Preservation. Don't tell me how great it is for a Developer to drop 5000 units 12 miles outside of town on Ag land because the Farmer died and the kids sell it. Corridor Preservation is a huge issue, no one wants to do ED and rightly so. ED is a last resort, usually because some ******* bought it up 6 monts before the contract was let. It take 12 months for public sector to hire a contractor. It takes less than 6 months to buy property, do the math.
RightRevBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
You must take into account wage stagnation and education costs into this conversation. If you have less buying power due to wage stagnation and have to pay more in education to get this job, you are going to struggle to be able to afford a house, especially when the cost has drastically increased due to inflation in the housing market.
whiterock
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FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)
MAGA has no problems with roads & bridges, dude. they do have issues with what they perceive as use of Eminent Domain (ED) on behalf of private enterprise (toll roads). That is actually a positive dynamic....it keeps politicians honest. They are pushing toll roads because it keeps debt off of the state balance sheet. Ok. Good. But without voter skepticism of such arrangements, who knows how artful (fraudulent) such deals might become. Knowing voter concerns, politicians have to calibrate. Balance.....

The biggest budget limitation we face is crowd-out from entitlement programs. I think at state level we are close to 80% of state budget being committed before the legislature sits.

If cities want to grow, the citizens are going to have to pony up some money. Perfectly fair for the developers to put in sewer pipe within their subdivisions and lift stations; no fair to ask them to pay for the trunk lines or treatment plants. City does have some skin in the game....city is going to grow, get the property and sales taxes off of that growth, the businesses who re-locate to exploit the concentrated labor.

It's a good thing those developers are stacking up cash. Eventually, the boom will turn to bust and they're going to have to dip into capital reserves a bit. (speaking from experience....)
Toll roads are not all private enterprises, most in the US are part of DOTs. There are several independent Toll Authorities that are created by the Legislature and are Agencies of the State. Private Concessionaire projects are through DOTs. You only go to the private sector for public infrastructure as a last resort, basically when there is no money. Most of the Concessionaires are foreign, Australian, French, and Spanish.
They are a big recent trend for new roads, particularly in Tx.

As for good for developers stacking up cash. Your premise only works when they reinvest, after paying their fair share of the infrastructure impacts. They aren't. They are cashing out. Basically, leaving the local Governments dealing with the mess of providing infrastructure. (I am speaking from experience)
They do reinvest, just not in public infrastructure projects that are, rightly, outside their area of responsibility.

From a local Government perspective, at least the Dems are willing to raise taxes to provide services, my experience is that the GOP is all about infrastructure as long as someone else is paying. Conservative cash out and then ***** about taxes for roads, water, utilities, transit, education and all the other services that locals have to provide. Not a big fan of Developers.
That much is obvious. Democrats develop things, too, particularly in all those big blue states.

Don't get me going on Eminent Domain! You will be the first person buying property in advance of road projects and make the DOT "take" it in Court. Driving the cost of building roads through the roof. over a million dollars a mile to build a local road with about 40% ROW (may be more now, older numbers). The number of projects when you look at the ownership of the property needed for all alternatives is the same people. They go and buy in advance of the project. Usually, good, conservative GOP types against Government funding...
Eminent domain costs what it costs99% of people affected are owners residing or doing business and are being forced to sell against their will. The homeowners can always find a place to live and any loss is usually emotional. But an ED taking for a business is a potential existential moment. No guarantee they survive a new location. Sure, you can find examples of people buying in advance of road projects, but they will not do it for the ED sale. They will do it for the value of the new road frontage created! That's all good capitalism. Location location location......
Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
The RFPs are put out by TXDOT, they are selling the user fees to build the road. So, now you are not only paying tolls but a 15-20% profit margin built in. Check out who owns the Companies, they are usually European or Australian.

So, they take profit, don't provide for the infrastructure and leave the County and City holding the bag. Yup, about right. Hedge funds then make out like bandits. Ag land gone, County having to provide millions in infrastructure and the developer invests in Asia...

BS, the property they are buying is under blacktop. Talk to some of the DOT Eminent Domain guys for what really happens.

Yeah, see who comes in and buys from the owners. 9 out 0f 10 it is someone that came in and bought when they saw a road was scheduled. But, that is not eating at the public trough, right? Because you would do it, so it is cool, "good capitalism". Otherwise, it is the nasty Dems, bankrupting America. You and the GOP are just as guilty, just different means.

Dude, I wrote a published Best Practices for Corridor Preservation. Don't tell me how great it is for a Developer to drop 5000 units 12 miles outside of town on Ag land because the Farmer died and the kids sell it. Corridor Preservation is a huge issue, no one wants to do ED and rightly so. ED is a last resort, usually because some ******* bought it up 6 monts before the contract was let. It take 12 months for public sector to hire a contractor. It takes less than 6 months to buy property, do the math.

You're kinda all over the map. 130-loop around Austin was done by a Spanish outfit. You seem to be suggesting that they should have also done infrastructure for the subsequent residential and commercial development along the frontage (which was at the time way the hell out in the country). That's nuts. The State doesn't do that on new highway construction. Why should a private entity do it for a toll road? CIty of Austin has for 50 years wanted to develop eastwards, placed all its energies & planning there, yet raced west out into the hill country despite the city doing everything it could to stop/delay it. FINALLY, when the Toll Road went in, the eastward development kicked off in earnest. The MARKET wanted to go west, but the PEOPLE via their elected representative, wanted to go east. And it is entirely appropriate in such a circumstances for the PEOPLE to make the investment in infrastructure....to create such conditions as are necessary to force the market to go where the market does not otherwise want to go.

Like you said. The highway plans are public knowledge. Those with capital choose to invest where the roads will go. Completely expected in a free market. Poor people don't invest......rich people do.

You're infantilizing the original owners. THEY know why the developer wants the property. And they choose to sell (sometimes to avoid the ED). You know the steps. You don't negotiate in ED. You accept, or you litigate. (our family did....got 5x the offer at mediation, then settled for half-that when state appealed). Process is not for the faint of heart, and particularly cruel on those who are ignorant and dumb - who don't even know who to call for help on what to do. Complexity always hits hardest those least able to deal with it.

I'm a local elected official, so see a different angle than you do. ED and public P&Z issues are not unlike Federal budgeting. Messy places where sausage gets made. Nobody's happy, not even the developers. But somehow, usually, the ship of state waddles & squiggles mostly forward to a mostly beneficial place. And the grease that makes it all happen is tax money and private profit........ The key is not to focus on efficiency, but rather effectiveness - did things get there they needed to get. If they did....well....they did.....
FLBear5630
How long do you want to ignore this user?
whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

The market "should" fix that. If no one can afford those homes, their price will decrease.

Free markets would. But when govt massively interdicts market functions wuth irrational "nudging" such as politically driven subsidies, regulations, and outright fiat price fixing, markets do not work efficiently. Distortions occur, as we see with real estate prices relative to entry level wages.
Are you also against zoning, land use and HOAs?
nope.

Talking about green energy, sub-prime mortgages, artificially low interest rates (to make budgeting of enormous deficits financeable), use of inflation to service national debt, open border policies to stimulate the economy (which simultaneously depresses wages and creates housing shortages(, etc.......... Each one of those things was a solution to a problem real or imagined. Problem is, most of the problems are derivative of solutions to yesterday's problems.

"There are no solutions, only tradeoffs."
--Thomas Sowell

The more government tries to do, the more it distorts market functions. At. some. point. we have to stand back let markets clear. The more we fiddle with them, the more we proliferate the pain.
Well, I agree to a point. For homes, I have mixed feelings. I have spent my career watching Developers distort the market and forcing the local governments spend more than they can afford. Providing transportation, power and water is a *****, very expensive. So, do the developers pick up the total tab for the subdivisions 20 miles in the middle of nowhere? Keep in mind, scratch the dirt off a farmer, you have a developer...

Believe me, I have been a Milton Friedman and Chicago School guy, but watching developers hire the best consultants to abuse local government staff that have no way of ensuring that the development is reasonable. Add on lobbyist to the CIty Councils and County Commissioners. Tax payers are getting raped.

True story, after Christmas about 15 years ago I went to a meeting as a traffic consultant. Lawyers asked what we did over holidays. I said skied. The Lawyer said me too. So did the Developer. They asked where.

Developer - Garmish in Germany.
Attorney - Aspen, CO
Engineer - Upper Peninsula of Michigan...

Not really relevant, but makes a point.




Developers normally do have to put in all the infrastructure within the subdivision, to city spec. Cities might expand network trunks to link up the subdivisions, and that's a decision for P&Z and Councils to deliberate upon pursuant to strategic growth plans. *

Developers are NOT the problem. They are providing housing supply and will do no more on infrastructure than required.

When you increase the supply of money faster than the supply of goods, you have inflation. The responsible parties are not the corporate entities providing products to consumers. The responsible party is the sovereign who is printing fecking money. Further, developers are not demanding anything on energy regulations or energy subsidies (which drive up cost of energy). Etc.....
*federal grant monies greatly impact city decisions on such things, and we STILL have not spent all the Covid money made available.

Developers are a small micro. Our problems are macro macro macro......
The internal infrastructure to some developers 50 acres is peanuts compared to the connective infrastructure. Moving the Urban Service Boundary is Government Bonding type decision. Adding a few local road and drainage is nothing. Most of the time they don't even pay their Developer Agreement contributions, after the fact they contribute to some County Commissioner's election and get it waived.

All of this cost money, big money, and you can't charge the Developer (he may have to go to Aspen rather than Garmish poor abused guy.), you can't raise taxes, and you can't limit services. Govt workers are told how incompetent they are because traffic sucks, there is local flooding and no sidewalks. You do toll roads and user fees are not allowable, another tax. This is one small part of the puzzle. Money has to come from somewhere to build and operate a Nation. There are 350 million in the US, all of them can't have their own little road, off the grid and totally self-sustaining due to wise investments.

Probably doesn't mean **** to you, but I can't remember the last time the US had a top 10 infrastructure project in the world. China, Dubai, Europe and Japan all are out investing us in infrastructure. They don't have the funding problems we do, they use special assessments, taxes and user fees (public and private). We are hamstrung by the Progressives on one hand and MAGA on the other. We have to figure out how to fund roads, ports, rails, airports (NE airports are like 3rd world!), as well as drainage, wastewater, water and electric grid. I don't think people get how much is there. Developers getting sweet heart deals doesn't help anyone but the Developer (See Trump Atlantic City...)
MAGA has no problems with roads & bridges, dude. they do have issues with what they perceive as use of Eminent Domain (ED) on behalf of private enterprise (toll roads). That is actually a positive dynamic....it keeps politicians honest. They are pushing toll roads because it keeps debt off of the state balance sheet. Ok. Good. But without voter skepticism of such arrangements, who knows how artful (fraudulent) such deals might become. Knowing voter concerns, politicians have to calibrate. Balance.....

The biggest budget limitation we face is crowd-out from entitlement programs. I think at state level we are close to 80% of state budget being committed before the legislature sits.

If cities want to grow, the citizens are going to have to pony up some money. Perfectly fair for the developers to put in sewer pipe within their subdivisions and lift stations; no fair to ask them to pay for the trunk lines or treatment plants. City does have some skin in the game....city is going to grow, get the property and sales taxes off of that growth, the businesses who re-locate to exploit the concentrated labor.

It's a good thing those developers are stacking up cash. Eventually, the boom will turn to bust and they're going to have to dip into capital reserves a bit. (speaking from experience....)
Toll roads are not all private enterprises, most in the US are part of DOTs. There are several independent Toll Authorities that are created by the Legislature and are Agencies of the State. Private Concessionaire projects are through DOTs. You only go to the private sector for public infrastructure as a last resort, basically when there is no money. Most of the Concessionaires are foreign, Australian, French, and Spanish.
They are a big recent trend for new roads, particularly in Tx.

As for good for developers stacking up cash. Your premise only works when they reinvest, after paying their fair share of the infrastructure impacts. They aren't. They are cashing out. Basically, leaving the local Governments dealing with the mess of providing infrastructure. (I am speaking from experience)
They do reinvest, just not in public infrastructure projects that are, rightly, outside their area of responsibility.

From a local Government perspective, at least the Dems are willing to raise taxes to provide services, my experience is that the GOP is all about infrastructure as long as someone else is paying. Conservative cash out and then ***** about taxes for roads, water, utilities, transit, education and all the other services that locals have to provide. Not a big fan of Developers.
That much is obvious. Democrats develop things, too, particularly in all those big blue states.

Don't get me going on Eminent Domain! You will be the first person buying property in advance of road projects and make the DOT "take" it in Court. Driving the cost of building roads through the roof. over a million dollars a mile to build a local road with about 40% ROW (may be more now, older numbers). The number of projects when you look at the ownership of the property needed for all alternatives is the same people. They go and buy in advance of the project. Usually, good, conservative GOP types against Government funding...
Eminent domain costs what it costs99% of people affected are owners residing or doing business and are being forced to sell against their will. The homeowners can always find a place to live and any loss is usually emotional. But an ED taking for a business is a potential existential moment. No guarantee they survive a new location. Sure, you can find examples of people buying in advance of road projects, but they will not do it for the ED sale. They will do it for the value of the new road frontage created! That's all good capitalism. Location location location......
Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
The RFPs are put out by TXDOT, they are selling the user fees to build the road. So, now you are not only paying tolls but a 15-20% profit margin built in. Check out who owns the Companies, they are usually European or Australian.

So, they take profit, don't provide for the infrastructure and leave the County and City holding the bag. Yup, about right. Hedge funds then make out like bandits. Ag land gone, County having to provide millions in infrastructure and the developer invests in Asia...

BS, the property they are buying is under blacktop. Talk to some of the DOT Eminent Domain guys for what really happens.

Yeah, see who comes in and buys from the owners. 9 out 0f 10 it is someone that came in and bought when they saw a road was scheduled. But, that is not eating at the public trough, right? Because you would do it, so it is cool, "good capitalism". Otherwise, it is the nasty Dems, bankrupting America. You and the GOP are just as guilty, just different means.

Dude, I wrote a published Best Practices for Corridor Preservation. Don't tell me how great it is for a Developer to drop 5000 units 12 miles outside of town on Ag land because the Farmer died and the kids sell it. Corridor Preservation is a huge issue, no one wants to do ED and rightly so. ED is a last resort, usually because some ******* bought it up 6 monts before the contract was let. It take 12 months for public sector to hire a contractor. It takes less than 6 months to buy property, do the math.

You're kinda all over the map. 130-loop around Austin was done by a Spanish outfit. You seem to be suggesting that they should have also done infrastructure for the subsequent residential and commercial development along the frontage (which was at the time way the hell out in the country). That's nuts. The State doesn't do that on new highway construction. Why should a private entity do it for a toll road? CIty of Austin has for 50 years wanted to develop eastwards, placed all its energies & planning there, yet raced west out into the hill country despite the city doing everything it could to stop/delay it. FINALLY, when the Toll Road went in, the eastward development kicked off in earnest. The MARKET wanted to go west, but the PEOPLE via their elected representative, wanted to go east. And it is entirely appropriate in such a circumstances for the PEOPLE to make the investment in infrastructure....to create such conditions as are necessary to force the market to go where the market does not otherwise want to go.

Like you said. The highway plans are public knowledge. Those with capital choose to invest where the roads will go. Completely expected in a free market. Poor people don't invest......rich people do.

You're infantilizing the original owners. THEY know why the developer wants the property. And they choose to sell (sometimes to avoid the ED). You know the steps. You don't negotiate in ED. You accept, or you litigate. (our family did....got 5x the offer at mediation, then settled for half-that when state appealed). Process is not for the faint of heart, and particularly cruel on those who are ignorant and dumb - who don't even know who to call for help on what to do. Complexity always hits hardest those least able to deal with it.

I'm a local elected official, so see a different angle than you do. ED and public P&Z issues are not unlike Federal budgeting. Messy places where sausage gets made. Nobody's happy, not even the developers. But somehow, usually, the ship of state waddles & squiggles mostly forward to a mostly beneficial place. And the grease that makes it all happen is tax money and private profit........ The key is not to focus on efficiency, but rather effectiveness - did things get there they needed to get. If they did....well....they did.....
They are public/private partnerships, the State allows those deals to happen and manages them through TxDOT, CTR or NTTA. They are done through Design Builds. availability payments, or a whole host of other financing tools. If lucky, may be able to get TIFIA at a sweetheart rate. I work in for a toll authority, I am ALL FOR toll roads. They are operated as close to private sector as any Government entitiy by either TxDOT or a Toll Aurthority. We get no tax dollars and live 100% on user fees. If we screw up the road and no one uses it, we go belly up and lose our jobs. Toll road/User Fee Revenue Agencies are great. GOP should love them

As for your other comments, rich people invest. Yeah, going to an MPO meeting finding out where road routes are going to be and buying the land in front of it to get to ED Court, same as Municipal Bonds. Buying property in front of a road project to have the Government pay you is not different from the others at the trough. You electeds just do it so it is rationalized as OK. It is no different than the Defense Contractor, the State Employee, or anyone else getting a check for something land, time, or a screws. No different, the check comes from DC or Austin with public funds. Whatever you need to tell yourself Dude. You are a regular Milton Friedman...
whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
FLBear5630 said:


Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
The RFPs are put out by TXDOT, they are selling the user fees to build the road. So, now you are not only paying tolls but a 15-20% profit margin built in. Check out who owns the Companies, they are usually European or Australian.

So, they take profit, don't provide for the infrastructure and leave the County and City holding the bag. Yup, about right. Hedge funds then make out like bandits. Ag land gone, County having to provide millions in infrastructure and the developer invests in Asia...

BS, the property they are buying is under blacktop. Talk to some of the DOT Eminent Domain guys for what really happens.

Yeah, see who comes in and buys from the owners. 9 out 0f 10 it is someone that came in and bought when they saw a road was scheduled. But, that is not eating at the public trough, right? Because you would do it, so it is cool, "good capitalism". Otherwise, it is the nasty Dems, bankrupting America. You and the GOP are just as guilty, just different means.

Dude, I wrote a published Best Practices for Corridor Preservation. Don't tell me how great it is for a Developer to drop 5000 units 12 miles outside of town on Ag land because the Farmer died and the kids sell it. Corridor Preservation is a huge issue, no one wants to do ED and rightly so. ED is a last resort, usually because some ******* bought it up 6 monts before the contract was let. It take 12 months for public sector to hire a contractor. It takes less than 6 months to buy property, do the math.

You're kinda all over the map. 130-loop around Austin was done by a Spanish outfit. You seem to be suggesting that they should have also done infrastructure for the subsequent residential and commercial development along the frontage (which was at the time way the hell out in the country). That's nuts. The State doesn't do that on new highway construction. Why should a private entity do it for a toll road? CIty of Austin has for 50 years wanted to develop eastwards, placed all its energies & planning there, yet raced west out into the hill country despite the city doing everything it could to stop/delay it. FINALLY, when the Toll Road went in, the eastward development kicked off in earnest. The MARKET wanted to go west, but the PEOPLE via their elected representative, wanted to go east. And it is entirely appropriate in such a circumstances for the PEOPLE to make the investment in infrastructure....to create such conditions as are necessary to force the market to go where the market does not otherwise want to go.

Like you said. The highway plans are public knowledge. Those with capital choose to invest where the roads will go. Completely expected in a free market. Poor people don't invest......rich people do.

You're infantilizing the original owners. THEY know why the developer wants the property. And they choose to sell (sometimes to avoid the ED). You know the steps. You don't negotiate in ED. You accept, or you litigate. (our family did....got 5x the offer at mediation, then settled for half-that when state appealed). Process is not for the faint of heart, and particularly cruel on those who are ignorant and dumb - who don't even know who to call for help on what to do. Complexity always hits hardest those least able to deal with it.

I'm a local elected official, so see a different angle than you do. ED and public P&Z issues are not unlike Federal budgeting. Messy places where sausage gets made. Nobody's happy, not even the developers. But somehow, usually, the ship of state waddles & squiggles mostly forward to a mostly beneficial place. And the grease that makes it all happen is tax money and private profit........ The key is not to focus on efficiency, but rather effectiveness - did things get there they needed to get. If they did....well....they did.....
They are public/private partnerships, the State allows those deals to happen and manages them through TxDOT, CTR or NTTA. They are done through Design Builds. availability payments, or a whole host of other financing tools. If lucky, may be able to get TIFIA at a sweetheart rate. I work in for a toll authority, I am ALL FOR toll roads. They are operated as close to private sector as any Government entitiy by either TxDOT or a Toll Aurthority. We get no tax dollars and live 100% on user fees. If we screw up the road and no one uses it, we go belly up and lose our jobs. Toll road/User Fee Revenue Agencies are great. GOP should love them

As for your other comments, rich people invest. Yeah, going to an MPO meeting finding out where road routes are going to be and buying the land in front of it to get to ED Court, same as Municipal Bonds. Buying property in front of a road project to have the Government pay you is not different from the others at the trough. You electeds just do it so it is rationalized as OK. It is no different than the Defense Contractor, the State Employee, or anyone else getting a check for something land, time, or a screws. No different, the check comes from DC or Austin with public funds. Whatever you need to tell yourself Dude. You are a regular Milton Friedman...
I am quite a fan of Uncle Miiltie, actually. I also live in the real world - a little community that would be much improved by the kind of breakneck growth you decry. There are small communities all over the country that cannot afford to fix the streets or sewers in place because they don't have enough sales tax revenue. You cannot run a city (easily anyway) on property tax revenue. You've gotta have long retail streets with sales tax generators. And to get those, you have to have subdivisions scattered about. The cities fortunate enough to be in a growth area and have room to expand are going to take advantage of it.....for the benefit of all. It's quite a wealth transfer. the New Growth generates the revenue to take care of the older stuff. And, yes, people are going to make money while all that happens.

What are you going to do, prevent all private treaty sales within a designated future corridor? For how long? By whom? Who oversees it? A govt. office somewhere? A commission? Is not a willing seller/willing buyer transaction a better gauge of value than a government hired appraiser? You think an arbitration hearing or court appeal is superior to market transaction?

The scenarios you raise are also not applicable in all cases. Nobody is going to buy farm land in Abbott Texas because of the widening of I-35. If they did so for the 130 loop around Austin, it took better than a decade of mowing cattle pasture before there was any development, so it was hardly a hotcake flipping program. I-35 past campus was a very poor & declining neighborhood. The man after whom that section of freeway (Jack Kultgen, local businessman, civic leader) saw I35 as a great opportunity for urban renewal. And, after about 50 years, it has finally paid off. Big money maker there...whoop-te-doo Nobody is rushing to buy lots in the ghettos of Philly or Chicago because of a new fly-oever being planned with stimulus money.

You are looking at a rather narrower scenario......fast developing suburban areas in fastest growing states in the union.

You're normally the practical one......
FLBear5630
How long do you want to ignore this user?
whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:


Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
The RFPs are put out by TXDOT, they are selling the user fees to build the road. So, now you are not only paying tolls but a 15-20% profit margin built in. Check out who owns the Companies, they are usually European or Australian.

So, they take profit, don't provide for the infrastructure and leave the County and City holding the bag. Yup, about right. Hedge funds then make out like bandits. Ag land gone, County having to provide millions in infrastructure and the developer invests in Asia...

BS, the property they are buying is under blacktop. Talk to some of the DOT Eminent Domain guys for what really happens.

Yeah, see who comes in and buys from the owners. 9 out 0f 10 it is someone that came in and bought when they saw a road was scheduled. But, that is not eating at the public trough, right? Because you would do it, so it is cool, "good capitalism". Otherwise, it is the nasty Dems, bankrupting America. You and the GOP are just as guilty, just different means.

Dude, I wrote a published Best Practices for Corridor Preservation. Don't tell me how great it is for a Developer to drop 5000 units 12 miles outside of town on Ag land because the Farmer died and the kids sell it. Corridor Preservation is a huge issue, no one wants to do ED and rightly so. ED is a last resort, usually because some ******* bought it up 6 monts before the contract was let. It take 12 months for public sector to hire a contractor. It takes less than 6 months to buy property, do the math.

You're kinda all over the map. 130-loop around Austin was done by a Spanish outfit. You seem to be suggesting that they should have also done infrastructure for the subsequent residential and commercial development along the frontage (which was at the time way the hell out in the country). That's nuts. The State doesn't do that on new highway construction. Why should a private entity do it for a toll road? CIty of Austin has for 50 years wanted to develop eastwards, placed all its energies & planning there, yet raced west out into the hill country despite the city doing everything it could to stop/delay it. FINALLY, when the Toll Road went in, the eastward development kicked off in earnest. The MARKET wanted to go west, but the PEOPLE via their elected representative, wanted to go east. And it is entirely appropriate in such a circumstances for the PEOPLE to make the investment in infrastructure....to create such conditions as are necessary to force the market to go where the market does not otherwise want to go.

Like you said. The highway plans are public knowledge. Those with capital choose to invest where the roads will go. Completely expected in a free market. Poor people don't invest......rich people do.

You're infantilizing the original owners. THEY know why the developer wants the property. And they choose to sell (sometimes to avoid the ED). You know the steps. You don't negotiate in ED. You accept, or you litigate. (our family did....got 5x the offer at mediation, then settled for half-that when state appealed). Process is not for the faint of heart, and particularly cruel on those who are ignorant and dumb - who don't even know who to call for help on what to do. Complexity always hits hardest those least able to deal with it.

I'm a local elected official, so see a different angle than you do. ED and public P&Z issues are not unlike Federal budgeting. Messy places where sausage gets made. Nobody's happy, not even the developers. But somehow, usually, the ship of state waddles & squiggles mostly forward to a mostly beneficial place. And the grease that makes it all happen is tax money and private profit........ The key is not to focus on efficiency, but rather effectiveness - did things get there they needed to get. If they did....well....they did.....
They are public/private partnerships, the State allows those deals to happen and manages them through TxDOT, CTR or NTTA. They are done through Design Builds. availability payments, or a whole host of other financing tools. If lucky, may be able to get TIFIA at a sweetheart rate. I work in for a toll authority, I am ALL FOR toll roads. They are operated as close to private sector as any Government entitiy by either TxDOT or a Toll Aurthority. We get no tax dollars and live 100% on user fees. If we screw up the road and no one uses it, we go belly up and lose our jobs. Toll road/User Fee Revenue Agencies are great. GOP should love them

As for your other comments, rich people invest. Yeah, going to an MPO meeting finding out where road routes are going to be and buying the land in front of it to get to ED Court, same as Municipal Bonds. Buying property in front of a road project to have the Government pay you is not different from the others at the trough. You electeds just do it so it is rationalized as OK. It is no different than the Defense Contractor, the State Employee, or anyone else getting a check for something land, time, or a screws. No different, the check comes from DC or Austin with public funds. Whatever you need to tell yourself Dude. You are a regular Milton Friedman...
I am quite a fan of Uncle Miiltie, actually. I also live in the real world - a little community that would be much improved by the kind of breakneck growth you decry. There are small communities all over the country that cannot afford to fix the streets or sewers in place because they don't have enough sales tax revenue. You cannot run a city (easily anyway) on property tax revenue. You've gotta have long retail streets with sales tax generators. And to get those, you have to have subdivisions scattered about. The cities fortunate enough to be in a growth area and have room to expand are going to take advantage of it.....for the benefit of all. It's quite a wealth transfer. the New Growth generates the revenue to take care of the older stuff. And, yes, people are going to make money while all that happens.

What are you going to do, prevent all private treaty sales within a designated future corridor? For how long? By whom? Who oversees it? A govt. office somewhere? A commission? Is not a willing seller/willing buyer transaction a better gauge of value than a government hired appraiser? You think an arbitration hearing or court appeal is superior to market transaction?

The scenarios you raise are also not applicable in all cases. Nobody is going to buy farm land in Abbott Texas because of the widening of I-35. If they did so for the 130 loop around Austin, it took better than a decade of mowing cattle pasture before there was any development, so it was hardly a hotcake flipping program. I-35 past campus was a very poor & declining neighborhood. The man after whom that section of freeway (Jack Kultgen, local businessman, civic leader) saw I35 as a great opportunity for urban renewal. And, after about 50 years, it has finally paid off. Big money maker there...whoop-te-doo Nobody is rushing to buy lots in the ghettos of Philly or Chicago because of a new fly-oever being planned with stimulus money.

You are looking at a rather narrower scenario......fast developing suburban areas in fastest growing states in the union.

You're normally the practical one......
Me too. Capitalism and Freedom is on my bookshelf at work, home and I gave to my kids when they turned 18. Yet, he worked for Universities his whole career that took Federal and State funds...

They don't have enough revenue because it is being used in other areas AND they are not allowed to raise taxes by elected officials. There is an optional 5 cent gas tax in FL, there are communities that are on 50 year resurfacing (12 is optimal, 15-20 normal) but will not max it. They let the roads go to ***** It is a narrow
example, but it is systemic.

I am practical, there is not enough money to provide basic services. There are 2 options, cut the services provided (often not an option) or raise more revenue. I get pissed when we get 4 year electeds or CEOs that slash and burn, tout how they saved money and then leave to let the rest of us deal with the fallout. Almost every elected officials net worth goes up after "serving". It is a problem, from local to Fed. They are artificially changing how Govt runs in response to Lobbyiest. Dem, GOP no difference, different master.

By the way, I know about small towns, especially in West Texas and the Plains States. Saddest things I have seen is watching places not having money for water purification with Benzene in the supply. Corporation kept appealing and using lawyers to not pay... Enough to piss you off.
whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:


Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
The RFPs are put out by TXDOT, they are selling the user fees to build the road. So, now you are not only paying tolls but a 15-20% profit margin built in. Check out who owns the Companies, they are usually European or Australian.

So, they take profit, don't provide for the infrastructure and leave the County and City holding the bag. Yup, about right. Hedge funds then make out like bandits. Ag land gone, County having to provide millions in infrastructure and the developer invests in Asia...

BS, the property they are buying is under blacktop. Talk to some of the DOT Eminent Domain guys for what really happens.

Yeah, see who comes in and buys from the owners. 9 out 0f 10 it is someone that came in and bought when they saw a road was scheduled. But, that is not eating at the public trough, right? Because you would do it, so it is cool, "good capitalism". Otherwise, it is the nasty Dems, bankrupting America. You and the GOP are just as guilty, just different means.

Dude, I wrote a published Best Practices for Corridor Preservation. Don't tell me how great it is for a Developer to drop 5000 units 12 miles outside of town on Ag land because the Farmer died and the kids sell it. Corridor Preservation is a huge issue, no one wants to do ED and rightly so. ED is a last resort, usually because some ******* bought it up 6 monts before the contract was let. It take 12 months for public sector to hire a contractor. It takes less than 6 months to buy property, do the math.

You're kinda all over the map. 130-loop around Austin was done by a Spanish outfit. You seem to be suggesting that they should have also done infrastructure for the subsequent residential and commercial development along the frontage (which was at the time way the hell out in the country). That's nuts. The State doesn't do that on new highway construction. Why should a private entity do it for a toll road? CIty of Austin has for 50 years wanted to develop eastwards, placed all its energies & planning there, yet raced west out into the hill country despite the city doing everything it could to stop/delay it. FINALLY, when the Toll Road went in, the eastward development kicked off in earnest. The MARKET wanted to go west, but the PEOPLE via their elected representative, wanted to go east. And it is entirely appropriate in such a circumstances for the PEOPLE to make the investment in infrastructure....to create such conditions as are necessary to force the market to go where the market does not otherwise want to go.

Like you said. The highway plans are public knowledge. Those with capital choose to invest where the roads will go. Completely expected in a free market. Poor people don't invest......rich people do.

You're infantilizing the original owners. THEY know why the developer wants the property. And they choose to sell (sometimes to avoid the ED). You know the steps. You don't negotiate in ED. You accept, or you litigate. (our family did....got 5x the offer at mediation, then settled for half-that when state appealed). Process is not for the faint of heart, and particularly cruel on those who are ignorant and dumb - who don't even know who to call for help on what to do. Complexity always hits hardest those least able to deal with it.

I'm a local elected official, so see a different angle than you do. ED and public P&Z issues are not unlike Federal budgeting. Messy places where sausage gets made. Nobody's happy, not even the developers. But somehow, usually, the ship of state waddles & squiggles mostly forward to a mostly beneficial place. And the grease that makes it all happen is tax money and private profit........ The key is not to focus on efficiency, but rather effectiveness - did things get there they needed to get. If they did....well....they did.....
They are public/private partnerships, the State allows those deals to happen and manages them through TxDOT, CTR or NTTA. They are done through Design Builds. availability payments, or a whole host of other financing tools. If lucky, may be able to get TIFIA at a sweetheart rate. I work in for a toll authority, I am ALL FOR toll roads. They are operated as close to private sector as any Government entitiy by either TxDOT or a Toll Aurthority. We get no tax dollars and live 100% on user fees. If we screw up the road and no one uses it, we go belly up and lose our jobs. Toll road/User Fee Revenue Agencies are great. GOP should love them

As for your other comments, rich people invest. Yeah, going to an MPO meeting finding out where road routes are going to be and buying the land in front of it to get to ED Court, same as Municipal Bonds. Buying property in front of a road project to have the Government pay you is not different from the others at the trough. You electeds just do it so it is rationalized as OK. It is no different than the Defense Contractor, the State Employee, or anyone else getting a check for something land, time, or a screws. No different, the check comes from DC or Austin with public funds. Whatever you need to tell yourself Dude. You are a regular Milton Friedman...
I am quite a fan of Uncle Miiltie, actually. I also live in the real world - a little community that would be much improved by the kind of breakneck growth you decry. There are small communities all over the country that cannot afford to fix the streets or sewers in place because they don't have enough sales tax revenue. You cannot run a city (easily anyway) on property tax revenue. You've gotta have long retail streets with sales tax generators. And to get those, you have to have subdivisions scattered about. The cities fortunate enough to be in a growth area and have room to expand are going to take advantage of it.....for the benefit of all. It's quite a wealth transfer. the New Growth generates the revenue to take care of the older stuff. And, yes, people are going to make money while all that happens.

What are you going to do, prevent all private treaty sales within a designated future corridor? For how long? By whom? Who oversees it? A govt. office somewhere? A commission? Is not a willing seller/willing buyer transaction a better gauge of value than a government hired appraiser? You think an arbitration hearing or court appeal is superior to market transaction?

The scenarios you raise are also not applicable in all cases. Nobody is going to buy farm land in Abbott Texas because of the widening of I-35. If they did so for the 130 loop around Austin, it took better than a decade of mowing cattle pasture before there was any development, so it was hardly a hotcake flipping program. I-35 past campus was a very poor & declining neighborhood. The man after whom that section of freeway (Jack Kultgen, local businessman, civic leader) saw I35 as a great opportunity for urban renewal. And, after about 50 years, it has finally paid off. Big money maker there...whoop-te-doo Nobody is rushing to buy lots in the ghettos of Philly or Chicago because of a new fly-oever being planned with stimulus money.

You are looking at a rather narrower scenario......fast developing suburban areas in fastest growing states in the union.

You're normally the practical one......
Me too. Capitalism and Freedom is on my bookshelf at work, home and I gave to my kids when they turned 18. Yet, he worked for Universities his whole career that took Federal and State funds...

They don't have enough revenue because it is being used in other areas AND they are not allowed to raise taxes by elected officials. There is an optional 5 cent gas tax in FL, there are communities that are on 50 year resurfacing (12 is optimal, 15-20 normal) but will not max it. They let the roads go to ***** It is a narrow
example, but it is systemic.

I am practical, there is not enough money to provide basic services. There are 2 options, cut the services provided (often not an option) or raise more revenue. I get pissed when we get 4 year electeds or CEOs that slash and burn, tout how they saved money and then leave to let the rest of us deal with the fallout. Almost every elected officials net worth goes up after "serving". It is a problem, from local to Fed. They are artificially changing how Govt runs in response to Lobbyiest. Dem, GOP no difference, different master.


By the way, I know about small towns, especially in West Texas and the Plains States. Saddest things I have seen is watching places not having money for water purification with Benzene in the supply. Corporation kept appealing and using lawyers to not pay... Enough to piss you off.
City of Waco has 2.5x the taxrate of the lowest municipality in McLennan Co, but because it has the preponderant share all of the commercial development, it's citizens actually pay a much lower overall tax burden than those of that lowest rated municipality given their water & street services that smaller communities will never be able to afford. There literally is not enough tax base in most small bedroom communities to keep streets on a10-15 year refurbishment cycle...at any reasonable tax rate. If you community has 2500 water meters to take care of +$100m worth of streets, those streets are going to get pretty rough. I could go on with more examples, but suffice to say.....
=bedroom communities are not viable municipal entities.
+unfunded mandates from federal and state govts are a contributing factor = significantly increase costs.

You are living in a dream world if you think getting elected to a school board or city council is financial enrichment exercise. Sure, maybe in a major urban area with organized criminal activity, anything can happen. But that is not representative of may thousands of taxing entities across the country. The pretty accurate rule of thumb is - the more seats in the institution, the less value each seat has. There's only 100 Senate Seats, 50 Governor mansions, etc.....while there are millions of city council and county commissioners offices. Guess who raises all the money?

You're letting your cynicism get the better of your thinking here.
FLBear5630
How long do you want to ignore this user?
whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:


Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
The RFPs are put out by TXDOT, they are selling the user fees to build the road. So, now you are not only paying tolls but a 15-20% profit margin built in. Check out who owns the Companies, they are usually European or Australian.

So, they take profit, don't provide for the infrastructure and leave the County and City holding the bag. Yup, about right. Hedge funds then make out like bandits. Ag land gone, County having to provide millions in infrastructure and the developer invests in Asia...

BS, the property they are buying is under blacktop. Talk to some of the DOT Eminent Domain guys for what really happens.

Yeah, see who comes in and buys from the owners. 9 out 0f 10 it is someone that came in and bought when they saw a road was scheduled. But, that is not eating at the public trough, right? Because you would do it, so it is cool, "good capitalism". Otherwise, it is the nasty Dems, bankrupting America. You and the GOP are just as guilty, just different means.

Dude, I wrote a published Best Practices for Corridor Preservation. Don't tell me how great it is for a Developer to drop 5000 units 12 miles outside of town on Ag land because the Farmer died and the kids sell it. Corridor Preservation is a huge issue, no one wants to do ED and rightly so. ED is a last resort, usually because some ******* bought it up 6 monts before the contract was let. It take 12 months for public sector to hire a contractor. It takes less than 6 months to buy property, do the math.

You're kinda all over the map. 130-loop around Austin was done by a Spanish outfit. You seem to be suggesting that they should have also done infrastructure for the subsequent residential and commercial development along the frontage (which was at the time way the hell out in the country). That's nuts. The State doesn't do that on new highway construction. Why should a private entity do it for a toll road? CIty of Austin has for 50 years wanted to develop eastwards, placed all its energies & planning there, yet raced west out into the hill country despite the city doing everything it could to stop/delay it. FINALLY, when the Toll Road went in, the eastward development kicked off in earnest. The MARKET wanted to go west, but the PEOPLE via their elected representative, wanted to go east. And it is entirely appropriate in such a circumstances for the PEOPLE to make the investment in infrastructure....to create such conditions as are necessary to force the market to go where the market does not otherwise want to go.

Like you said. The highway plans are public knowledge. Those with capital choose to invest where the roads will go. Completely expected in a free market. Poor people don't invest......rich people do.

You're infantilizing the original owners. THEY know why the developer wants the property. And they choose to sell (sometimes to avoid the ED). You know the steps. You don't negotiate in ED. You accept, or you litigate. (our family did....got 5x the offer at mediation, then settled for half-that when state appealed). Process is not for the faint of heart, and particularly cruel on those who are ignorant and dumb - who don't even know who to call for help on what to do. Complexity always hits hardest those least able to deal with it.

I'm a local elected official, so see a different angle than you do. ED and public P&Z issues are not unlike Federal budgeting. Messy places where sausage gets made. Nobody's happy, not even the developers. But somehow, usually, the ship of state waddles & squiggles mostly forward to a mostly beneficial place. And the grease that makes it all happen is tax money and private profit........ The key is not to focus on efficiency, but rather effectiveness - did things get there they needed to get. If they did....well....they did.....
They are public/private partnerships, the State allows those deals to happen and manages them through TxDOT, CTR or NTTA. They are done through Design Builds. availability payments, or a whole host of other financing tools. If lucky, may be able to get TIFIA at a sweetheart rate. I work in for a toll authority, I am ALL FOR toll roads. They are operated as close to private sector as any Government entitiy by either TxDOT or a Toll Aurthority. We get no tax dollars and live 100% on user fees. If we screw up the road and no one uses it, we go belly up and lose our jobs. Toll road/User Fee Revenue Agencies are great. GOP should love them

As for your other comments, rich people invest. Yeah, going to an MPO meeting finding out where road routes are going to be and buying the land in front of it to get to ED Court, same as Municipal Bonds. Buying property in front of a road project to have the Government pay you is not different from the others at the trough. You electeds just do it so it is rationalized as OK. It is no different than the Defense Contractor, the State Employee, or anyone else getting a check for something land, time, or a screws. No different, the check comes from DC or Austin with public funds. Whatever you need to tell yourself Dude. You are a regular Milton Friedman...
I am quite a fan of Uncle Miiltie, actually. I also live in the real world - a little community that would be much improved by the kind of breakneck growth you decry. There are small communities all over the country that cannot afford to fix the streets or sewers in place because they don't have enough sales tax revenue. You cannot run a city (easily anyway) on property tax revenue. You've gotta have long retail streets with sales tax generators. And to get those, you have to have subdivisions scattered about. The cities fortunate enough to be in a growth area and have room to expand are going to take advantage of it.....for the benefit of all. It's quite a wealth transfer. the New Growth generates the revenue to take care of the older stuff. And, yes, people are going to make money while all that happens.

What are you going to do, prevent all private treaty sales within a designated future corridor? For how long? By whom? Who oversees it? A govt. office somewhere? A commission? Is not a willing seller/willing buyer transaction a better gauge of value than a government hired appraiser? You think an arbitration hearing or court appeal is superior to market transaction?

The scenarios you raise are also not applicable in all cases. Nobody is going to buy farm land in Abbott Texas because of the widening of I-35. If they did so for the 130 loop around Austin, it took better than a decade of mowing cattle pasture before there was any development, so it was hardly a hotcake flipping program. I-35 past campus was a very poor & declining neighborhood. The man after whom that section of freeway (Jack Kultgen, local businessman, civic leader) saw I35 as a great opportunity for urban renewal. And, after about 50 years, it has finally paid off. Big money maker there...whoop-te-doo Nobody is rushing to buy lots in the ghettos of Philly or Chicago because of a new fly-oever being planned with stimulus money.

You are looking at a rather narrower scenario......fast developing suburban areas in fastest growing states in the union.

You're normally the practical one......
Me too. Capitalism and Freedom is on my bookshelf at work, home and I gave to my kids when they turned 18. Yet, he worked for Universities his whole career that took Federal and State funds...

They don't have enough revenue because it is being used in other areas AND they are not allowed to raise taxes by elected officials. There is an optional 5 cent gas tax in FL, there are communities that are on 50 year resurfacing (12 is optimal, 15-20 normal) but will not max it. They let the roads go to ***** It is a narrow
example, but it is systemic.

I am practical, there is not enough money to provide basic services. There are 2 options, cut the services provided (often not an option) or raise more revenue. I get pissed when we get 4 year electeds or CEOs that slash and burn, tout how they saved money and then leave to let the rest of us deal with the fallout. Almost every elected officials net worth goes up after "serving". It is a problem, from local to Fed. They are artificially changing how Govt runs in response to Lobbyiest. Dem, GOP no difference, different master.


By the way, I know about small towns, especially in West Texas and the Plains States. Saddest things I have seen is watching places not having money for water purification with Benzene in the supply. Corporation kept appealing and using lawyers to not pay... Enough to piss you off.
City of Waco has 2.5x the taxrate of the lowest municipality in McLennan Co, but because it has the preponderant share all of the commercial development, it's citizens actually pay a much lower overall tax burden than those of that lowest rated municipality given their water & street services that smaller communities will never be able to afford. There literally is not enough tax base in most small bedroom communities to keep streets on a10-15 year refurbishment cycle...at any reasonable tax rate. If you community has 2500 water meters to take care of +$100m worth of streets, those streets are going to get pretty rough. I could go on with more examples, but suffice to say.....
=bedroom communities are not viable municipal entities.
+unfunded mandates from federal and state govts are a contributing factor = significantly increase costs.

You are living in a dream world if you think getting elected to a school board or city council is financial enrichment exercise. Sure, maybe in a major urban area with organized criminal activity, anything can happen. But that is not representative of may thousands of taxing entities across the country. The pretty accurate rule of thumb is - the more seats in the institution, the less value each seat has. There's only 100 Senate Seats, 50 Governor mansions, etc.....while there are millions of city council and county commissioners offices. Guess who raises all the money?

You're letting your cynicism get the better of your thinking here.
School Board??? That is just hell on earth!

Others?? Depends. I have seen both. Usually many use it to springboard to State Legislature. Or, they have pet interests they want to see pushed. In FL, it is the County Commission that has the power. In TX, Counties very weak.

People are cynical for a reason, it is usually what you see. Depends on the pond you play in. MacGregor City Council, you are right no one is getting upwardly mobile. Austin, San Antonio, Houston or Metroplex City Council??? Different stratosphere.

I stay away now. Too cynical.

whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:

whiterock said:

FLBear5630 said:


Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

Dude. Developers are not the reason housing costs are so high......
The RFPs are put out by TXDOT, they are selling the user fees to build the road. So, now you are not only paying tolls but a 15-20% profit margin built in. Check out who owns the Companies, they are usually European or Australian.

So, they take profit, don't provide for the infrastructure and leave the County and City holding the bag. Yup, about right. Hedge funds then make out like bandits. Ag land gone, County having to provide millions in infrastructure and the developer invests in Asia...

BS, the property they are buying is under blacktop. Talk to some of the DOT Eminent Domain guys for what really happens.

Yeah, see who comes in and buys from the owners. 9 out 0f 10 it is someone that came in and bought when they saw a road was scheduled. But, that is not eating at the public trough, right? Because you would do it, so it is cool, "good capitalism". Otherwise, it is the nasty Dems, bankrupting America. You and the GOP are just as guilty, just different means.

Dude, I wrote a published Best Practices for Corridor Preservation. Don't tell me how great it is for a Developer to drop 5000 units 12 miles outside of town on Ag land because the Farmer died and the kids sell it. Corridor Preservation is a huge issue, no one wants to do ED and rightly so. ED is a last resort, usually because some ******* bought it up 6 monts before the contract was let. It take 12 months for public sector to hire a contractor. It takes less than 6 months to buy property, do the math.

You're kinda all over the map. 130-loop around Austin was done by a Spanish outfit. You seem to be suggesting that they should have also done infrastructure for the subsequent residential and commercial development along the frontage (which was at the time way the hell out in the country). That's nuts. The State doesn't do that on new highway construction. Why should a private entity do it for a toll road? CIty of Austin has for 50 years wanted to develop eastwards, placed all its energies & planning there, yet raced west out into the hill country despite the city doing everything it could to stop/delay it. FINALLY, when the Toll Road went in, the eastward development kicked off in earnest. The MARKET wanted to go west, but the PEOPLE via their elected representative, wanted to go east. And it is entirely appropriate in such a circumstances for the PEOPLE to make the investment in infrastructure....to create such conditions as are necessary to force the market to go where the market does not otherwise want to go.

Like you said. The highway plans are public knowledge. Those with capital choose to invest where the roads will go. Completely expected in a free market. Poor people don't invest......rich people do.

You're infantilizing the original owners. THEY know why the developer wants the property. And they choose to sell (sometimes to avoid the ED). You know the steps. You don't negotiate in ED. You accept, or you litigate. (our family did....got 5x the offer at mediation, then settled for half-that when state appealed). Process is not for the faint of heart, and particularly cruel on those who are ignorant and dumb - who don't even know who to call for help on what to do. Complexity always hits hardest those least able to deal with it.

I'm a local elected official, so see a different angle than you do. ED and public P&Z issues are not unlike Federal budgeting. Messy places where sausage gets made. Nobody's happy, not even the developers. But somehow, usually, the ship of state waddles & squiggles mostly forward to a mostly beneficial place. And the grease that makes it all happen is tax money and private profit........ The key is not to focus on efficiency, but rather effectiveness - did things get there they needed to get. If they did....well....they did.....
They are public/private partnerships, the State allows those deals to happen and manages them through TxDOT, CTR or NTTA. They are done through Design Builds. availability payments, or a whole host of other financing tools. If lucky, may be able to get TIFIA at a sweetheart rate. I work in for a toll authority, I am ALL FOR toll roads. They are operated as close to private sector as any Government entitiy by either TxDOT or a Toll Aurthority. We get no tax dollars and live 100% on user fees. If we screw up the road and no one uses it, we go belly up and lose our jobs. Toll road/User Fee Revenue Agencies are great. GOP should love them

As for your other comments, rich people invest. Yeah, going to an MPO meeting finding out where road routes are going to be and buying the land in front of it to get to ED Court, same as Municipal Bonds. Buying property in front of a road project to have the Government pay you is not different from the others at the trough. You electeds just do it so it is rationalized as OK. It is no different than the Defense Contractor, the State Employee, or anyone else getting a check for something land, time, or a screws. No different, the check comes from DC or Austin with public funds. Whatever you need to tell yourself Dude. You are a regular Milton Friedman...
I am quite a fan of Uncle Miiltie, actually. I also live in the real world - a little community that would be much improved by the kind of breakneck growth you decry. There are small communities all over the country that cannot afford to fix the streets or sewers in place because they don't have enough sales tax revenue. You cannot run a city (easily anyway) on property tax revenue. You've gotta have long retail streets with sales tax generators. And to get those, you have to have subdivisions scattered about. The cities fortunate enough to be in a growth area and have room to expand are going to take advantage of it.....for the benefit of all. It's quite a wealth transfer. the New Growth generates the revenue to take care of the older stuff. And, yes, people are going to make money while all that happens.

What are you going to do, prevent all private treaty sales within a designated future corridor? For how long? By whom? Who oversees it? A govt. office somewhere? A commission? Is not a willing seller/willing buyer transaction a better gauge of value than a government hired appraiser? You think an arbitration hearing or court appeal is superior to market transaction?

The scenarios you raise are also not applicable in all cases. Nobody is going to buy farm land in Abbott Texas because of the widening of I-35. If they did so for the 130 loop around Austin, it took better than a decade of mowing cattle pasture before there was any development, so it was hardly a hotcake flipping program. I-35 past campus was a very poor & declining neighborhood. The man after whom that section of freeway (Jack Kultgen, local businessman, civic leader) saw I35 as a great opportunity for urban renewal. And, after about 50 years, it has finally paid off. Big money maker there...whoop-te-doo Nobody is rushing to buy lots in the ghettos of Philly or Chicago because of a new fly-oever being planned with stimulus money.

You are looking at a rather narrower scenario......fast developing suburban areas in fastest growing states in the union.

You're normally the practical one......
Me too. Capitalism and Freedom is on my bookshelf at work, home and I gave to my kids when they turned 18. Yet, he worked for Universities his whole career that took Federal and State funds...

They don't have enough revenue because it is being used in other areas AND they are not allowed to raise taxes by elected officials. There is an optional 5 cent gas tax in FL, there are communities that are on 50 year resurfacing (12 is optimal, 15-20 normal) but will not max it. They let the roads go to ***** It is a narrow
example, but it is systemic.

I am practical, there is not enough money to provide basic services. There are 2 options, cut the services provided (often not an option) or raise more revenue. I get pissed when we get 4 year electeds or CEOs that slash and burn, tout how they saved money and then leave to let the rest of us deal with the fallout. Almost every elected officials net worth goes up after "serving". It is a problem, from local to Fed. They are artificially changing how Govt runs in response to Lobbyiest. Dem, GOP no difference, different master.


By the way, I know about small towns, especially in West Texas and the Plains States. Saddest things I have seen is watching places not having money for water purification with Benzene in the supply. Corporation kept appealing and using lawyers to not pay... Enough to piss you off.
City of Waco has 2.5x the taxrate of the lowest municipality in McLennan Co, but because it has the preponderant share all of the commercial development, it's citizens actually pay a much lower overall tax burden than those of that lowest rated municipality given their water & street services that smaller communities will never be able to afford. There literally is not enough tax base in most small bedroom communities to keep streets on a10-15 year refurbishment cycle...at any reasonable tax rate. If you community has 2500 water meters to take care of +$100m worth of streets, those streets are going to get pretty rough. I could go on with more examples, but suffice to say.....
=bedroom communities are not viable municipal entities.
+unfunded mandates from federal and state govts are a contributing factor = significantly increase costs.

You are living in a dream world if you think getting elected to a school board or city council is financial enrichment exercise. Sure, maybe in a major urban area with organized criminal activity, anything can happen. But that is not representative of may thousands of taxing entities across the country. The pretty accurate rule of thumb is - the more seats in the institution, the less value each seat has. There's only 100 Senate Seats, 50 Governor mansions, etc.....while there are millions of city council and county commissioners offices. Guess who raises all the money?

You're letting your cynicism get the better of your thinking here.
School Board??? That is just hell on earth!

Others?? Depends. I have seen both. Usually many use it to springboard to State Legislature. Or, they have pet interests they want to see pushed. In FL, it is the County Commission that has the power. In TX, Counties very weak.

People are cynical for a reason, it is usually what you see. Depends on the pond you play in. MacGregor City Council, you are right no one is getting upwardly mobile. Austin, San Antonio, Houston or Metroplex City Council??? Different stratosphere.

I stay away now. Too cynical.


Here's your sign: by population, Waco is the 176th largest SMSA in the country. City Council is no stepping stone to anything. Alumni include a County Assessor/Collector of Taxes, a failed congressional candidate, etc...... Current statehouse rep toiled for years on various boards & associations, and GOP party stuff. Two candidates for that soon to be vacant seat are a businessman and a GOP county/state board leader. Such is typical for cities of the size in Tx.

Temple-Killeen is #118
Scranton PA is #100
Birmingham AL (just across the 1m pop line) is #50
None of those places are springboards to power.

You are talking about the very tippy top of the scale.......And even there, it's spotty. In Tx, the mayor of DFW, Houston, and San Antonio have occasionally stepped up for statewide, for a simple reason: those are the three big fundraising pots in Tx, so a city-wide elected has an edge in fundraising over others, to include Congressional types. (when you get further down into the weeds, you actually see that state and federal politics are two completely different tracks with crossovers the exception rather than the rule. Congress is a relative dead-end and the larger the state the more that tends to be the case.)

That is not to say partisan ideology does not impact at municipal level. It does. Larger municipalities are blue and their policies tend to reflect that........

If you want to find the seamier stuff, look to school boards, taxing appraisal, law firms, engineering firms, etc......lots of $$$ being flopped around there.
 
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