ATL Bear said:
whiterock said:
ATL Bear said:
Oldbear83 said:
ATL Bear said:
Oldbear83 said:
You use the tools available to you, not imaginary things .
Like the imaginary new manufacturing jobs that tariffs create?
Nope. Imaginary like ignoring tariffs and just hoping other countries stop using them on us, like we have seen the last several decades.
What's not imaginary is the ability to negotiate trade deals. You want lower tariffs on your goods in another market? Ask for it. Don't punish your citizens for it. And why do we want to be more like Europe? Do we not understand that model doesn't work? The facts and numbers don't lie. But lying about imaginary manufacturing jobs so you can raise prices on your citizens is an unfortunate reality.
LOL those other countries do not agree that tariffs punish their citizens. The model works for them. Why should it not work for us?
Perplexed that you cannot see that imbalanced trade is bad for us.
The model isn't working. Why do you think Europe has been stagnating under higher prices, low wage growth, and reduced outputs for years?
Faulty premise alert - trade is neither the only nor the most significant policy lever available to address macroeconomic problems
I want to attack the real reasons behind the trade imbalances, which is sustainable and puts us back at a competitive advantage. Not proven ineffective government tax gimmicks hoping it's some magical fix.
Trade 101: the primary reason for the trade imbalance is the non-market support for the value of the USD (i.e. its use as a reserve currency, which insulates the USD from supply/demand pressures that drive pricing).
For example: Europe has no significant competitive advantage over us in automobile manufacturing. It uses tariffs to protect its market, and subsidies to promote its exports. And we never challenged them on it, for a number of reasons most of which involve national security.
Pure Free Trade arguments ALWAYS presume that only wealth creation matters. In the real world, it doesn't matter how much wealth you generate......if you cannot defend it. And automobile manufacturing involves skills and assets which a state must have if it has any hope of outfitting armies & navies that can fight & win wars. EU protects its automakers not just to protect jobs, but to protect the ability to have machinists with machines to make ordnance. So if we are allied with EU (via Nato), it is indeed in our interest not to have our ally totally dependent upon our merchant marine to carry US-made ordnance over the Atlantic. It is a good thing that they can much and possibly all of their own supply. such will free our industry up to focus on China, who unfortunately now has 12x the steel production capability we have. We promoted free trade with China based on the classical liberal belief that trade brings peace. Well, it can. But not always. We helped China enter the WTO. They used free trade to build up steel mills. and we bought the cheap steel. And 60 years later, China is no more of a partner in peace than they were before Nixon went to Beijing, only they have 12x the steel production capability we do. (and are now building assault barges to retake Taiwan in an open challenge to the USA.)
We COULD have protected our steel industries (more than we did). Yes, we would have paid more for steel . But we would have the ability to make enough steel to replenish our armies & navies. Now we don't, at least with respect to China. But the free traders keep banging the table about wealth creation, as though it's all that matters.
the model of a structural trade deficit offset by capital account surplus is the business model of a Switzerland or Holland or Singapore or......a state which does not have the resources to become a more balanced economy. We are not that kind of state, and it would be foolish for us to continue to act like it.
Again, free trade does not exist. Never has. Never will. Free trade agreements are not negotiated by markets. They are negotiated by political elites who have existential interest to protect their industries. We never played hardball. There was a valid argument for doing so in the Cold War. But the Cold War is over....
We built the post-WWII global order. And because of it, we won the Cold War. It was in our interest to let market forces whittle away our manufacturing base, because doing so strengthened our allies, whom we needed very badly. Now, it is no longer in our interest to do so. We have a manufacturing base to rebuild. Trump is going about it cleverly. He's put every CEO in the position of having to calculate potential US tariffs into how they build supply chains. Many are concluding its wise to invest in manufacturing capacity here, rather than abroad, for fear of getting locked out of the US market altogether.
Trump using the bully pulpit to drive trillions of dollars of investment to the US. And yet, you complain.....