Tucker's attempt to normalize Nick Fuentes

204,720 Views | 2702 Replies | Last: 6 hrs ago by Mothra
boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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The_barBEARian
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wHy aRe YoU sO oBSeSsED wItH iSrAeL???

boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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Mothra
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boognish_bear said:



This guy REALLY dislikes Israel.
historian
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The_barBEARian said:

wHy aRe YoU sO oBSeSsED wItH iSrAeL???



You should ask yours at of that question. Daily.
boognish_bear
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Mothra
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boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.
DallasBear9902
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Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.
Mothra
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DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.
DallasBear9902
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Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.
Mothra
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DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?
muddybrazos
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boognish_bear said:





Mothra
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muddybrazos said:

boognish_bear said:







I don't disagree with Kent on everything, but man does he have some bad takes. While reducing support for Israel is a good idea, the idea that there's "no lasting military solution" cuts both ways. If that's true, then reducing leverage - by walking away or scaling back support - doesn't strengthen diplomacy, it weakens it. Iran's negotiating posture is heavily influenced by pressure and constraints. If Tehran believes the U.S. is disengaging and Israel is being restrained, that likely reinforces their sense that time is on their side, not the opposite. It gives them all of the leverage and the idea that they won.

Terrible idea.
DallasBear9902
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Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.
Mothra
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DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.



muddybrazos
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DallasBear9902
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Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.
Mothra
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DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.

While there are no good options, the option of doing nothing is a worse option, IMO. Relying on the good will of a regime that wants us destroyed is not a viable option.

What it looks like right now is a seriously weakened regime without much in the way of nuclear capabilities. I'll take that over what you propose - doing nothing.
DallasBear9902
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Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.

While there are no good options, the option of doing nothing is a worse option, IMO. Relying on the good will of a regime that wants us destroyed is not a viable option.

What it looks like right now is a seriously weakened regime without much in the way of nuclear capabilities. I'll take that over what you propose - doing nothing.


Unless we put boots on the ground, Iran is going to come out of this in a stronger position for the short to medium term. They'll either get nukes (least likely option) or explicit control over the Strait of Hormuz.
Oldbear83
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DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.

While there are no good options, the option of doing nothing is a worse option, IMO. Relying on the good will of a regime that wants us destroyed is not a viable option.

What it looks like right now is a seriously weakened regime without much in the way of nuclear capabilities. I'll take that over what you propose - doing nothing.



Unless we put boots on the ground, Iran is going to come out of this in a stronger position for the short to medium term. They'll either get nukes (least likely option) or explicit control over the Strait of Hormuz.


Disagree, in part because there are things unknown to the public which drive the outcomes. Problem is, the truth of the matter depends on who you listen to.
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier
DallasBear9902
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Oldbear83 said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.

While there are no good options, the option of doing nothing is a worse option, IMO. Relying on the good will of a regime that wants us destroyed is not a viable option.

What it looks like right now is a seriously weakened regime without much in the way of nuclear capabilities. I'll take that over what you propose - doing nothing.



Unless we put boots on the ground, Iran is going to come out of this in a stronger position for the short to medium term. They'll either get nukes (least likely option) or explicit control over the Strait of Hormuz.


Disagree, in part because there are things unknown to the public which drive the outcomes. Problem is, the truth of the matter depends on who you listen to.


I'm not arguing with you right now. Just for posterity, I want to go on the record:

There will be no internally driven regime change in Iran.

They are going to keep the Strait blockaded until they come out of this in a materially better position. It will look something like the following for Iran:

A. A regional defense bloc along the lines of NATO involving the Gulf states.

B. Right to procure or develop nukes (least likely).

C. Economic control over the Strait. It won't be a toll as that would be illegal under international law, but it'll be something like a navigation fee. This will be useful for the medium term, but new pipelines will be built to get around the Strait.

Unless we put boots on the ground, the above is how this will end.

To toot my own horn, I was on record that Israel was heading into Lebanon weeks before it happened. And I still believe Lebanon was what the most recent attacks on Iran were really about.
Mothra
How long do you want to ignore this user?
DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.

While there are no good options, the option of doing nothing is a worse option, IMO. Relying on the good will of a regime that wants us destroyed is not a viable option.

What it looks like right now is a seriously weakened regime without much in the way of nuclear capabilities. I'll take that over what you propose - doing nothing.



Unless we put boots on the ground, Iran is going to come out of this in a stronger position for the short to medium term. They'll either get nukes (least likely option) or explicit control over the Strait of Hormuz.


Couldn't disagree more. But I guess we will see.
Mothra
How long do you want to ignore this user?
DallasBear9902 said:

Oldbear83 said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.

While there are no good options, the option of doing nothing is a worse option, IMO. Relying on the good will of a regime that wants us destroyed is not a viable option.

What it looks like right now is a seriously weakened regime without much in the way of nuclear capabilities. I'll take that over what you propose - doing nothing.



Unless we put boots on the ground, Iran is going to come out of this in a stronger position for the short to medium term. They'll either get nukes (least likely option) or explicit control over the Strait of Hormuz.


Disagree, in part because there are things unknown to the public which drive the outcomes. Problem is, the truth of the matter depends on who you listen to.


I'm not arguing with you right now. Just for posterity, I want to go on the record:

There will be no internally driven regime change in Iran.

They are going to keep the Strait blockaded until they come out of this in a materially better position. It will look something like the following for Iran:

A. A regional defense bloc along the lines of NATO involving the Gulf states.

B. Right to procure or develop nukes (least likely).

C. Economic control over the Strait. It won't be a toll as that would be illegal under international law, but it'll be something like a navigation fee. This will be useful for the medium term, but new pipelines will be built to get around the Strait.

Unless we put boots on the ground, the above is how this will end.

To toot my own horn, I was on record that Israel was heading into Lebanon weeks before it happened. And I still believe Lebanon was what the most recent attacks on Iran were really about.

Didn't you also predict that the US could not touch Iran's nuclear facilities?
DallasBear9902
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Oldbear83 said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.

While there are no good options, the option of doing nothing is a worse option, IMO. Relying on the good will of a regime that wants us destroyed is not a viable option.

What it looks like right now is a seriously weakened regime without much in the way of nuclear capabilities. I'll take that over what you propose - doing nothing.



Unless we put boots on the ground, Iran is going to come out of this in a stronger position for the short to medium term. They'll either get nukes (least likely option) or explicit control over the Strait of Hormuz.


Disagree, in part because there are things unknown to the public which drive the outcomes. Problem is, the truth of the matter depends on who you listen to.


I'm not arguing with you right now. Just for posterity, I want to go on the record:

There will be no internally driven regime change in Iran.

They are going to keep the Strait blockaded until they come out of this in a materially better position. It will look something like the following for Iran:

A. A regional defense bloc along the lines of NATO involving the Gulf states.

B. Right to procure or develop nukes (least likely).

C. Economic control over the Strait. It won't be a toll as that would be illegal under international law, but it'll be something like a navigation fee. This will be useful for the medium term, but new pipelines will be built to get around the Strait.

Unless we put boots on the ground, the above is how this will end.

To toot my own horn, I was on record that Israel was heading into Lebanon weeks before it happened. And I still believe Lebanon was what the most recent attacks on Iran were really about.

Didn't you also predict that the US could not touch Iran's nuclear facilities?


Yes, and the best analysis I have seen said we spent upwards of $500 million plus to bury their facility entrances under rubble and it'll take them a few bulldozers and under $100k to open them back up.
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
The_barBEARian
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear said:




The insane ramblings of a religious extremist... if we were living in a real country people like Mike Huckabee would never be near a position of authority or given any real responsibilities
Oldbear83
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Look where he's speaking.
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier
Mothra
How long do you want to ignore this user?
DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Oldbear83 said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

DallasBear9902 said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:



Always found the isolationist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe that the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.


Always found the interventionist mindset fascinating in today's global world.

It's almost as if these guys believe the rest of the world has weapons incapable of hitting us.

This is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the isolationists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if left alone and that disengagement won't create power vacuums for other countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant, and the void WILL be filled, often times by bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to neocon policies, but isolationism also isn't the answer.


This interventionist mindset is what you would call a false binary. In reality there's a broad middle ground of strategic alliances, deterrence, and selective involvement that is somewhere in the middle of intervention and isolationism.

Of course, the interventionists seem to assume that hostile actors will behave peacefully if we constantly attack them and that interventionist engagement won't create power vacuums for other countries or different hostile actors within attacked countries to fill, both of which history suggests are risky assumptions. The truth is modern capabilities make distance largely irrelevant and we shouldn't go intervening around the world as if these guys won't ever be able to hit us, especially with the assistance, bad actors (see China).

The real question isn't whether to engage at all, but how to balance involvement and restraint in a world where threats and influence don't stay contained. Nobody's suggested a return to pure isolationism policies, but neocon America as world police style intervention also isn't the answer.

While I think you might need to check the definition of "false binary," I don't disagree with your strawman argument. As I said, I've never advocated for interventionism.

On the other hand, you have advocated for pretty strict isolationism on these boards. Glad to see your mindset has changed. Is providing military support or financial support for, say, a Taiwan or Ukraine, a good idea, or still beyond the pale for you? Still believe trying to check Iranian nuclear ambitions to be a bad idea?


Beyond the pale for me if it involves American troops (especially general infantry) in overseas battles.

Deterrence and (perhaps) arms sales to build up regional actors/alliances for things outside of the western hemisphere. Strong intervention in anything involving the western hemisphere.

I think the current stalemate in Iran demonstrates the folly there. You were adamant that I was wrong about Iran and that we could control Iran/prevent nuclear armament without boots on the ground. My position, that Iran would absolutely require boots on the ground to achieve our strategic objectives, and thus my opposition to involvement there, is becoming more right by the day. Unless Trump is willing to deploy troops, Iran is going to come out of this in a strategically stronger position.

We are in agreement on your first two paragraphs. What's interesting, is that has always been my position. And to think I thought I was talking to a strict isolationist and you thought you were talking with a neocon.

As for Iran, while I agreed with taking out nuclear sites through surgical strikes (and still do), I've never argued this current conflict was a good course of action.





Taking out nuclear sites is whack-a-mole game that will eventually be lost. To win that game we have to get lucky every time. For our side to lose, they have to get lucky once....

Permanent nuclear prevention requires regime change. Which requires boots on the ground. Otherwise, it looks exactly like it looks right now.

While there are no good options, the option of doing nothing is a worse option, IMO. Relying on the good will of a regime that wants us destroyed is not a viable option.

What it looks like right now is a seriously weakened regime without much in the way of nuclear capabilities. I'll take that over what you propose - doing nothing.



Unless we put boots on the ground, Iran is going to come out of this in a stronger position for the short to medium term. They'll either get nukes (least likely option) or explicit control over the Strait of Hormuz.


Disagree, in part because there are things unknown to the public which drive the outcomes. Problem is, the truth of the matter depends on who you listen to.


I'm not arguing with you right now. Just for posterity, I want to go on the record:

There will be no internally driven regime change in Iran.

They are going to keep the Strait blockaded until they come out of this in a materially better position. It will look something like the following for Iran:

A. A regional defense bloc along the lines of NATO involving the Gulf states.

B. Right to procure or develop nukes (least likely).

C. Economic control over the Strait. It won't be a toll as that would be illegal under international law, but it'll be something like a navigation fee. This will be useful for the medium term, but new pipelines will be built to get around the Strait.

Unless we put boots on the ground, the above is how this will end.

To toot my own horn, I was on record that Israel was heading into Lebanon weeks before it happened. And I still believe Lebanon was what the most recent attacks on Iran were really about.

Didn't you also predict that the US could not touch Iran's nuclear facilities?


Yes, and the best analysis I have seen said we spent upwards of $500 million plus to bury their facility entrances under rubble and it'll take them a few bulldozers and under $100k to open them back up.


Where did this "best" analysis come from? I've read a number of articles on this. It ranges from their nuclear program has been set back for years to minimal damage being done. It's hard to know what the truth is. But I suspect it's quite a bit worse than the analysis you believe. Likely somewhere in the middle.

Bottom line is that prediction wasn't accurate.
Mothra
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear said:




He's not wrong about scripture being unequivocal that the descendants of Abraham remain in a covenant with God. I wouldn't go so far as to say we are commanded to fall in line with the Israeli government, however.
Mothra
How long do you want to ignore this user?
The_barBEARian said:

boognish_bear said:




The insane ramblings of a religious extremist... if we were living in a real country people like Mike Huckabee would never be near a position of authority or given any real responsibilities


lol. Spoken like an atheist zealot.

Maybe you should move to the Middle East, Russia, China, or one of the other authoritarian countries that restrict free speech. It sounds like that's more of your style.
 
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