Talarico vs Paxton

193,595 Views | 2284 Replies | Last: 5 min ago by boognish_bear
EatMoreSalmon
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In reply to boognish_bear • 4:56p, 11/3/26
boognish_bear said:


Democrat primary voters OUT-VOTED Republican primary voters in Texas early voting.

Early voting is over. 7.7 MILLION Texans voted, near-presidential turnout. In 2022, Republican primary voters finished early voting 565,133 ballots AHEAD of Democrat primary voters. In 2024, we finished 944,796 ahead. This year we head into Election Day 25,836 BEHIND. This is hard voter file data from @longhornderek, the best in the business. No polling. No modeling. Just facts.

Santa Anna thought the war was won at the Alamo. Then came San Jacinto. Texas is never decided by how the fight starts. It is decided by how we finish.

Here is what is left: 2.7 MILLION of the most likely voters in Texas have NOT cast a ballot. 886,000 of them are Republican primary voters. The communists have 596,000. That is a 289,717 vote advantage sitting on the sidelines, but it wins NOTHING unless those Republicans show up. The other 1.2 MILLION likely voters have no primary history at all. This election belongs to whoever shows up Tuesday.

Texas is the foundation of the Republican Party in America. When the foundation breaks, it ALL falls apart. When we lose Texas, we lose the USA.

GO VOTE to defend our liberty on Election Day, TUESDAY, Nov. 3. RAIN OR SHINE.


I waited as long as I could possibly wait to hold my nose and vote this round. Paxton is hard to vote for, but is still better for the country than 6 years of Talrico. Will become more active in local elections to see how I can get involved to help prevent such a poor choice in the future.
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Oldbear83
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In reply to EatMoreSalmon • 5:03p, 11/3/26
Never forget the precinct caucuses. That's where state delegates are chosen, and the party platform built ground-up.

The GOP listens. They are stubborn and tone deaf, but if enough voters make noise, they will listen,


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boognish_bear
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5:17p, 11/3/26
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boognish_bear
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5:18p, 11/3/26
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boognish_bear
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5:57p, 11/3/26
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boognish_bear
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6:05p, 11/3/26
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Oldbear83
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7:36p, 11/3/26
Seems weird to me, CNN shows 25% of the vote in at this moment

Texas 2026 election results | CNN Politics

but the State of Texas official site only shows 1% counted so far

Election Results - Tuesday, November 3, 2026

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Frank Galvin
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7:36p, 11/3/26
Maybe Texas is different than Florida. But the GOP is running 9% behind their 2024 results across the Sunshine State, with most votes counted.
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Oldbear83
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In reply to Frank Galvin • 7:43p, 11/3/26
Frank Galvin said:
Maybe Texas is different than Florida. But the GOP is running 9% behind their 2024 results across the state, with most votes counted.

Where do you see most votes counted? Even CNN is only at 26% now.
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Frank Galvin
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In reply to Oldbear83 • 7:49p, 11/3/26
Oldbear83 said:
Frank Galvin said:
Maybe Texas is different than Florida. But the GOP is running 9% behind their 2024 results across the state, with most votes counted.

Where do you see most votes counted? Even CNN is only at 26% now.


Most Florida votes counted. My point is that if Paxton runs equal to what Florida and NC candidates are doing v 2024, he is toast
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Oldbear83
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In reply to Frank Galvin • 7:51p, 11/3/26
Frank Galvin said:
Oldbear83 said:
Frank Galvin said:
Maybe Texas is different than Florida. But the GOP is running 9% behind their 2024 results across the state, with most votes counted.

Where do you see most votes counted? Even CNN is only at 26% now.


Most Florida votes counted. My point is that if Paxton runs equal to what Florida and NC candidates are doing v 2024, he is toast

Paxton is depending on West Texas more than anything else. It comes down to whether he is in range when those votes get counted.
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Oldbear83
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7:54p, 11/3/26
CNN's map shows Harris and Dallas counties already in.
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Aliceinbubbleland
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In reply to Oldbear83 • 7:56p, 11/3/26
Oldbear83 said:
CNN's map shows Harris and Dallas counties already in.


Did we kick his ass ?
Iran has Trump by his pu**y and no way they will let go
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Oldbear83
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In reply to Aliceinbubbleland • 7:59p, 11/3/26
Aliceinbubbleland said:
Oldbear83 said:
CNN's map shows Harris and Dallas counties already in.


Did we kick his ass ?

What you do with your burro is not my concern.
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El Oso
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8:02p, 11/3/26
Everyone knew when results started coming in Talarico would have a huge lead. That's no surprise. However, he's well ahead of where he needed to be in those early returns to have a chance.

There's a 2.5 hour line to vote at UNT according to WFAA. A Denton County win for Talarico would be huge.

Early voting also seems to indicate many republicans voted for Abbott and then either skipped the senate race or went libertarian.
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Sam Lowry
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In reply to El Oso • 8:20p, 11/3/26
El Oso said:
There's a 2.5 hour line to vote at UNT according to WFAA. A Denton County win for Talarico would be huge.

Currently Talarico +9.
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boognish_bear
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8:28p, 11/3/26
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Aliceinbubbleland
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In reply to Oldbear83 • 8:30p, 11/3/26
Oldbear83 said:
Aliceinbubbleland said:
Oldbear83 said:
CNN's map shows Harris and Dallas counties already in.


Did we kick his ass ?

What you do with your burro is not my concern.


I'm not the one
suffering with gas tonight. Glorious night for American values. Absolutely FU to Putin ass kissers.
Iran has Trump by his pu**y and no way they will let go
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boognish_bear
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8:34p, 11/3/26
I thought Talarico had a 50-50 shot to win....I thought Abbott was a lock. I'm surprised to see the early Governor results.

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Oldbear83
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In reply to Aliceinbubbleland • 8:34p, 11/3/26
Go ahead and celebrate the Socialists' win.

For now.
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RD2WINAGNBEAR86
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8:55p, 11/3/26
"The polls are all wrong!!!!!" "The Democrat Party Is in trouble!!!" "The Democrats are broke and we have this huge mountain of money!!!" Blah.....blah.....blah!!!!

Arrogance and overconfidence is why the Republicans got wafflestomped.

This was a huge and well deserved FU to Donald Trump. The Republicans' biggest blunder was not listening to their constituents regarding affordability. In the wise words of Coon Ass James Carville, - "It's the economy, stupid!!"
Call it a tax, the people are outraged! Call it a tariff, the people get out their checkbooks and wave their American flags!!!
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J.R.
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In reply to Oldbear83 • 8:56p, 11/3/26
Oldbear83 said:
Go ahead and celebrate the Socialists' win.

For now.

Trump your savior lord gold Jesus is a huge socialists. A hell of more socialist than Talarico. Trust has made govt investments is 60 private companies. That is freaking socialism implemented by an Authoritarian want to be. I don't expect you to refute old bitter. You ain't good at answering questions directly. Just like Maga. lots of hate, jjudgment , hyperbole, innuendo , not to mention you have been proven to be a liar just like gold Jesus.
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Aliceinbubbleland
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In reply to Oldbear83 • 8:57p, 11/3/26
Oldbear83 said:
Go ahead and celebrate the Socialists' win.

For now.


If they are socialists we will pitch them in 2028 but for now all the crooks snd creeps are on our pitchforks. I would gladly have voted for Cornyn. But tonight is huge FU Trump.
Iran has Trump by his pu**y and no way they will let go
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Oldbear83
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In reply to Aliceinbubbleland • 8:58p, 11/3/26
"If they are socialists we will pitch them in 2028"

Democrats are like cockroaches and Aggie fans. A lot harder to get rid of once they get comfy.
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BylrFan
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8:58p, 11/3/26
The wheels are falling off for Abbott..
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TenBears
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8:59p, 11/3/26
Trump already blaming the candidates. (Sorry for talking about him on your Talarico thread dad). Hoping this whole thing leads to the Republicans nominating a functioning human being in 28!
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El Oso
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9:02p, 11/3/26
Paxton needs to get 60% of the remaining votes to come from behind according to ABC.
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boognish_bear
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9:02p, 11/3/26
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Aliceinbubbleland
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In reply to El Oso • 9:03p, 11/3/26
El Oso said:
Paxton needs to get 60% of the remaining votes to come from behind according to ABC.


For sure. Cross off Trump kids tonight.
Iran has Trump by his pu**y and no way they will let go
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Realitybites
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9:04p, 11/3/26
Frankly, Abbott has been a terrible governor. He completely fumbled the Covid response. He has been largely responsible for Texas becoming a lot less like Texas used to be...completely destructive to Texan culture. I can't say that I'm surprised.
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Bestweekeverr
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9:05p, 11/3/26
Mississippi now a tossup. My goodness, Trump has really kneecapped Republicans.
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boognish_bear
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9:07p, 11/3/26
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El Oso
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9:11p, 11/3/26
Kansas about to elect a democrat as Senator for the first time in 100 years.

If Talarico holds on, it will be the first democrat to win since 1988.
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IowaBear
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9:16p, 11/3/26
Red or blue who gives a ***** The democrats are going to gain control and do nothing the next few years besides attempt to impeach Trump. None of the bS they're selling to voters will become a reality.
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Realitybites
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9:17p, 11/3/26
Talarico is the projected winner, ahead 55.3%-43.0% with 68% of the votes in.
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