Republicans see 'scary' lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
Pollsters and GOP groups are raising the alarm about an unmotivated base in an election year that would be tough no matter what, given the president's low approval.
WAPO

Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Republicans see 'scary' lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
Pollsters and GOP groups are raising the alarm about an unmotivated base in an election year that would be tough no matter what, given the president's low approval.
WAPO

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Ds pumping up their base via nonsense articles during an election cycle……wow, has that ever happened before?

Well, except every election.

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Mitchell Brown, a Republican pollster at the firm Cygnal, said Democrats are as enthusiastic about voting as they were at the same time ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, when they swept back into power in the House. But Republicans are far less excited to vote at this point than they were then, posing an issue for the party.

Osodecentx said:

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Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Republicans see 'scary' lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
Pollsters and GOP groups are raising the alarm about an unmotivated base in an election year that would be tough no matter what, given the president's low approval.
WAPO

---

Ds pumping up their base via nonsense articles during an election cycle……wow, has that ever happened before?

Well, except every election.

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Mitchell Brown, a Republican pollster at the firm Cygnal, said Democrats are as enthusiastic about voting as they were at the same time ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, when they swept back into power in the House. But Republicans are far less excited to vote at this point than they were then, posing an issue for the party.

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List all the pollsters that were correct within 3% of final results in a mere 2 of the last 5 national elections.
You might as well cite a random toddler from the nursery of your choice.

You are spewing nonsense as though the basis for it is gospel.

Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Republicans see 'scary' lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
Pollsters and GOP groups are raising the alarm about an unmotivated base in an election year that would be tough no matter what, given the president's low approval.
WAPO

---

Ds pumping up their base via nonsense articles during an election cycle……wow, has that ever happened before?

Well, except every election.

---

Mitchell Brown, a Republican pollster at the firm Cygnal, said Democrats are as enthusiastic about voting as they were at the same time ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, when they swept back into power in the House. But Republicans are far less excited to vote at this point than they were then, posing an issue for the party.

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List all the pollsters that were correct within 3% of final results in a mere 2 of the last 5 national elections.
You might as well cite a random toddler from the nursery of your choice.

You are spewing nonsense as though the basis for it is gospel.

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And that doesn't even touch the difference between summer polling and the final polls.

Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Republicans see 'scary' lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
Pollsters and GOP groups are raising the alarm about an unmotivated base in an election year that would be tough no matter what, given the president's low approval.
WAPO

---

Ds pumping up their base via nonsense articles during an election cycle……wow, has that ever happened before?

Well, except every election.

---

Mitchell Brown, a Republican pollster at the firm Cygnal, said Democrats are as enthusiastic about voting as they were at the same time ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, when they swept back into power in the House. But Republicans are far less excited to vote at this point than they were then, posing an issue for the party.

---

List all the pollsters that were correct within 3% of final results in a mere 2 of the last 5 national elections.
You might as well cite a random toddler from the nursery of your choice.

You are spewing nonsense as though the basis for it is gospel.

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You asked "has it happened before "? Yes , in 2018

Osodecentx said:

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Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Republicans see 'scary' lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
Pollsters and GOP groups are raising the alarm about an unmotivated base in an election year that would be tough no matter what, given the president's low approval.
WAPO

---

Ds pumping up their base via nonsense articles during an election cycle……wow, has that ever happened before?

Well, except every election.

---

Mitchell Brown, a Republican pollster at the firm Cygnal, said Democrats are as enthusiastic about voting as they were at the same time ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, when they swept back into power in the House. But Republicans are far less excited to vote at this point than they were then, posing an issue for the party.

---

List all the pollsters that were correct within 3% of final results in a mere 2 of the last 5 national elections.
You might as well cite a random toddler from the nursery of your choice.

You are spewing nonsense as though the basis for it is gospel.

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You asked "has it happened before "? Yes , in 2018

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LMFAO….you are very predictable.

can't answer a simple question with facts so you make up a different question and answer it.
how do you function in the real world?

Osodecentx said:

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Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Adriacus Peratuun said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Republicans see 'scary' lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
Pollsters and GOP groups are raising the alarm about an unmotivated base in an election year that would be tough no matter what, given the president's low approval.
WAPO

---

Ds pumping up their base via nonsense articles during an election cycle……wow, has that ever happened before?

Well, except every election.

---

Mitchell Brown, a Republican pollster at the firm Cygnal, said Democrats are as enthusiastic about voting as they were at the same time ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, when they swept back into power in the House. But Republicans are far less excited to vote at this point than they were then, posing an issue for the party.

---

List all the pollsters that were correct within 3% of final results in a mere 2 of the last 5 national elections.
You might as well cite a random toddler from the nursery of your choice.

You are spewing nonsense as though the basis for it is gospel.

---

You asked "has it happened before "? Yes , in 2018

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LMFAO….you are very predictable.

can't answer a simple question with facts so you make up a different question and answer it.
how do you function in the real world?

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Your question: " has that ever happened before?"
11:55 on 7/26

Answer: Yes, in 2018

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So you don't understand a rhetorical question to set up a comment. Noted.

The 2018 election was not in July, I believe.

corrected date

Nguyen One Soon said:

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Oldbear83 said:

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The 2028 election was not in July, I believe.

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Am I in a time travel warp? Thought I was living in 2026.

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Sorry, had lunch with the Jetsons and that boy Elroy messed with my settings.

Oldbear83 said:

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The 2018 election was not in July, I believe.

corrected date

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Poll was measuring voter enthusiasm in July

Osodecentx said:

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Oldbear83 said:

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The 2018 election was not in July, I believe.

corrected date

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Poll was measuring voter enthusiasm in July

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Indeed. And elections are held ... not in July.

Oldbear83 said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Oldbear83 said:

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The 2018 election was not in July, I believe.

corrected date

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Poll was measuring voter enthusiasm in July

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Indeed. And elections are held ... not in July.

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Wow! Great information

If democrats are so enthusiastic to vote back in the failed policies of Biden then why did 8 million of them sit out and not vote for VP Giggles?

Osodecentx said:

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Oldbear83 said:

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Osodecentx said:

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Oldbear83 said:

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The 2018 election was not in July, I believe.

corrected date

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Poll was measuring voter enthusiasm in July

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Indeed. And elections are held ... not in July.

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Wow! Great information

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Quality reporting you just won't get from Fox or CNN.

It was retarded that the TXGOP ever elected him in the first place. Once the Boomers die off the days of pretending to be retarded to “prove” we aren’t racist will be over.

— Moar (@chimkinpls) July 28, 2026

Polls not looking good for Paxton. He's down five points around 90 days from election day. Poll highlights:
1. Paxton is losing the vote of the non-college grad (traditionally a republican stronghold in TX)
2. Less than 1/4 of independents surveyed said they would vote for Paxton (they also tend to lean R in TX)
3. 1 in 5 GOP voters surveyed are still undecided or said they would vote for Talarico.
4. 53% of poll respondents said they voted for Trump. 42% said Kamala.

https://www.texastribune.org/2026/07/28/texas-senate-poll-james-talarico-ken-paxton-july-2026/

El Oso said:

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Polls not looking good for Paxton. He's down five points around 90 days from election day. Poll highlights:
1. Paxton is losing the vote of the non-college grad (traditionally a republican stronghold in TX)
2. Less than 1/4 of independents surveyed said they would vote for Paxton (they also tend to lean R in TX)
3. 1 in 5 GOP voters surveyed are still undecided or said they would vote for Talarico.
4. 53% of poll respondents said they voted for Trump. 42% said Kamala.

https://www.texastribune.org/2026/07/28/texas-senate-poll-james-talarico-ken-paxton-july-2026/

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Low T can't get the blacks to vote for him and you think he is up in the polls?

The truth is not racist. What is racist is hiding from the truth because of someone's ethnicity

GrowlTowel said:

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El Oso said:

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Polls not looking good for Paxton. He's down five points around 90 days from election day. Poll highlights:
1. Paxton is losing the vote of the non-college grad (traditionally a republican stronghold in TX)
2. Less than 1/4 of independents surveyed said they would vote for Paxton (they also tend to lean R in TX)
3. 1 in 5 GOP voters surveyed are still undecided or said they would vote for Talarico.
4. 53% of poll respondents said they voted for Trump. 42% said Kamala.

https://www.texastribune.org/2026/07/28/texas-senate-poll-james-talarico-ken-paxton-july-2026/

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Low T can't get the blacks to vote for him and you think he is up in the polls?

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I don't think he's up in the polls--he is up in the polls. I posted the link. It's the most current poll in the race. I cannot find a link to another poll that has Paxton in the lead right now.

Now the predictions market is another story. Paxton still has a 13 point lead there 55-42, but that 55 is down from 75 three months ago. There was a five point drop from the start of July to the end of July. If that rate continues, this is a coin flip election day. There are still 90 days to go, and it is Texas, so leading now isn't a huge worry, but it should bring the campaign some concern as they move through the last 90 days.

RCP Average is Abbott +7.. nice try

— Ayden Dennis (@A26ghyy) July 28, 2026

Abbott will probably win by at least 5-10. I wish we had had a better choice in March.

historian said:

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Abbott will probably win by at least 5-10. I wish we had had a better choice in March.

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This could also be a problem for Paxton. In 2016, Abbott won big, but many voters seemed to skip the next line on the ballot and Cruz beat Beto by less than 3 points. Nowhere near as many voters voted in the senate race even though, on my ballot, it was the very next thing to vote for. It seemed republicans protected Abbott, but were less willing to protect Cruz. History may repeat itself with Paxton which would make this race very close.

It's more likely that history won't repeat itself. Talarico is virtually unelectable in Texas and grows more so by the day. Anyone who thinks he has a chance is deluding himself.

Rental Ram Revealed: Talarico Props Up 'Real Texan' Image With Enterprise Rental Truck

https://twitchy.com/justmindy/2026/07/29/talarico-rented-a-truck-for-his-ad-n2430757

Nope

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-gop-divisions-shape-texas-senate-race

In a poll *not* conducted by one of Rep. Talarico's best buddies: The Fox News poll has Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48% and Gina Hinojosa neck and neck with Greg Abbott - he's at 50% she's at 49%. Giddyup https://t.co/ZiPp5BVGQh

— Scott Braddock (@scottbraddock) July 30, 2026

Fox News Poll: GOP divisions shape Texas Senate race
Victoria BalaraJul 30, 2026
President Donald Trump won the Lone Star state by nearly 14 percentage points in 2024, but a new Fox News Poll of Texas registered voters suggests this year's Senate race is far less settled. Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton has yet to fully unify the GOP despite the president's endorsement in the GOP primary against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn.

In addition, more voters are concerned Paxton lacks the character to serve than worry Democratic challenger James Talarico is too extreme, and more Democrats than Republicans are extremely motivated to vote (by 7 points) and extremely interested in the midterms (by 6).

Those dynamics give Talarico a 3-point edge over Paxton (51% vs. 48%) in the Senate contest (within the survey's margin of sampling error).

Talarico's advantage in the race grows to 6 points among both extremely motivated and extremely interested voters (53% vs. 47% in each group).

Most independents (68%) and virtually all Democrats support Talarico (98%), while fewer Republicans are unified behind Paxton (89%).

In part, that's because one quarter of non-MAGA Republicans back Talarico (24%).

Paxton is the choice among White evangelical Christians, White men without a college degree, rural voters, regular worship attenders, men and voters ages 65 and older.

Some of Talarico's best groups are Black voters, moderates, voters under age 30, Hispanic voters, women and voters with a college degree.

"Although Paxton dominated Cornyn in the GOP primary, that bruising contest left scars," said Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox News polls with Democrat Chris Anderson.

"He has considerable work to do with non-MAGA Republicans and independents, and that undoubtedly requires aggressively tying Talarico to the Democratic Party's far left."

By a 12-point margin, more voters are concerned Paxton lacks the character to serve as a senator than believe Talarico is too extreme (59% vs. 47%).

Twice as many Republicans are concerned about Paxton's character as Democrats are that Talarico is too extreme (36% vs. 17%).

Still, about 8 in 10 Paxton and Talarico supporters say their backing is more about where the candidates stand on the issues than who they are as people.

Trump received a 55% favorable vs. 44% unfavorable rating in the 2024 Texas Fox News Voter Analysis (FNVA) election survey. Today, those numbers have flipped: 45% favorable vs. 54% unfavorable, for a minus-9 net negative rating.

Paxton garners a minus-6 net personal rating, 45% favorable vs. 51% unfavorable, while Talarico is in positive territory by 6 points, 49% vs. 43%.

Talarico is more popular than the Democratic Party while the GOP edges out Paxton.

While both parties are viewed negatively, the GOP is underwater by only 2 points (48% favorable vs. 50% unfavorable), compared with the Democratic Party at minus-9 (45% vs. 54%).

Despite Texas being a border state, nearly 4 in 10 say inflation will be the most important issue to their Senate vote, while 2 in 10 say immigration and 1 in 10 say healthcare, political divisions and unemployment.

By more than a 2-to-1 margin, Texas voters say they are falling behind financially rather than getting ahead (35% vs. 16%). Half are holding steady.

In the race for governor, incumbent Republican Gov. Greg Abbott is favored by 1 point over Democrat Gina Hinojosa.

Part of Abbott's edge comes from a touch more crossover support: 12% of Talarico supporters back Abbott, while 9% of Paxton supporters back Hinojosa.

Hinojosa has the advantage among extremely motivated (+6) and extremely interested voters (+5).

Abbott has a net positive personal rating by a single point (50% favorable vs. 49% unfavorable). Hinojosa is in positive territory by 11 points (45% vs. 34%), although nearly 1 in 5 are unable to rate her.

Texas last elected a Democratic governor in 1990 (Ann Richards), a Democratic Senator in 1988 (Lloyd Bentsen), and a Democratic presidential candidate in 1976 (Jimmy Carter).

A closer look at the Hispanic electorate

Hispanic voters say their Senate pick will be driven by inflation, as roughly 4 in 10 say it will be the most important issue to their vote and another 4 in 10 say they're falling behind financially. This mostly matches views among all Texas voters.

And as is the case with voters overall, there is an enthusiasm gap, as more Hispanic Democrats than Hispanic Republicans are interested and motivated to vote in the midterms.

Overall, Hispanic voters prefer Talarico by 18 points (59% vs. 41%).

Some 9% of Hispanic GOP voters crossover to support Talarico while 5% of Hispanic Democrats favor Paxton.

In 2024, Trump topped former Vice President Kamala Harris among Hispanic voters in Texas by 1 point, according to the Texas FNVA survey (49% Harris vs. 50% Trump).

By 20 points, more Hispanic voters are concerned that Paxton lacks the character to serve as senator than feel Talarico is too extreme (61% concerned vs. 41%).

For the governor's race, Hispanic voters back Hinojosa by 16 points in the new survey. By comparison, they preferred Beto O'Rourke over Abbott by 14 points in 2022.

More than half of Hispanic voters view Talarico (57% favorable), Hinojosa (53%), and the Democratic Party (53%) positively, while more than half have negative views of Paxton (56% unfavorable), Abbott (56%), Trump (61%), and the Republican Party (59%).

Conducted July 23-27, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,006 Texas registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (72) and cellphones (681) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (253). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of 3 percentage points.

The survey includes an oversample of 296 Hispanic voters, bringing the sample size for that subgroup to 556 (4). Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling errors, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis and voter file data.

Tarrant County Commissioners are considering cutting the number of Election Day voting locations nearly in half for the fall election. See maps here https://t.co/KzSeByOVwN pic.twitter.com/9WpiDewmks

— Bud Kennedy / #ReadLocal (@BudKennedy) July 30, 2026

lol... you Boomer ****s deserve this... you created the conditions for this...

TEXAS SENATE POLLS (June/July)

🔵 TPOR - Talarico +5
🔵 Fox News - Talarico +2
⚪️ NYT/Siena - Tied
🔵 A2 Insights - Talarico +2
🔴 SoCal - Paxton +2
🔴 Quantus - Paxton +2
🔴 UT/YouGov - Paxton +1
——
AVERAGE
🟦 James Talarico: 46.7%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 46.0% pic.twitter.com/FLxhgp4LzY

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 31, 2026

I still have trouble seeing Texas send a twink to the Senate, but if anyone could lose the general election it's Paxton.

This is all liberal BS. They do this before every election. Everyone knows who's gonna win