War with Iran?

136,087 Views | 2180 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by whiterock
boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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FLBear5630
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historian said:

FLBear5630 said:

TinFoilHatPreacherBear said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.


We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.


Have you not followed politics very long?


Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...



Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.




Yep, I mean we have Trump's first term. Peace. And we have him this term where he tried to pursue peace for other wars. He avoided Ukraine. But for the drama queens, there can be no excuse great enough, or any benefit of the doubt. Just arm chair quarterbacks who believe it's OK if Iran makes nukes or other WMDs.
Would you have been ok with Biden bombing Iran? You weren't with providing weapons to Ukraine, that was pushing WW3. And this isn't?

The ONLY example I can think of Pres Obama doing something, literally anything, that was in America's interest was when he took out the Somali pirates. The metrosexual wimp actually showed real leadership & did something decisive. It was good for America and for the world. And the Somali pirates were no longer a threat.

Heck, Hollywood even made a movie about it starring Tom Hanks.

If Biden, or his auto pen, had done something similar, I would have been pleased. But Biden (his auto pen) did not do a single thing that benefitted the country, not that I can recall.
Agree with all of that.

The inconsistency between message and actions are what set me off.
Doc Holliday
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The_barBEARian
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Doc Holliday said:



Will AIPAC send flowers to the victims familes?
Doc Holliday
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Mothra
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Doc Holliday said:


ME has been an unstable powder keg for years. The idea that there was a suicide attack in Syria because of anything the US did is pretty preposterous. We didn't even support the regime currently in place there.
boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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Doc Holliday
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Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:


ME has been an unstable powder keg for years. The idea that there was a suicide attack in Syria because of anything the US did is pretty preposterous. We didn't even support the regime currently in place there.
I don't think it's because of anything we did. That's not the argument.

The argument for our attempts at regime change was nation building and a complete change to the region which should exclude this behavior. That didn't take place.
The_barBEARian
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Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:


ME has been an unstable powder keg for years. The idea that there was a suicide attack in Syria because of anything the US did is pretty preposterous. We didn't even support the regime currently in place there.

Bestweekeverr
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boognish_bear said:




I think Trump's biggest fear is having his picture stuck on gas pumps saying "I did that!"
The_barBEARian
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Doc Holliday said:

Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:


ME has been an unstable powder keg for years. The idea that there was a suicide attack in Syria because of anything the US did is pretty preposterous. We didn't even support the regime currently in place there.
I don't think it's because of anything we did. That's not the argument.

The argument for our attempts at regime change was nation building and a complete change to the region which should exclude this behavior. That didn't take place.

Iraq War destabilized Syria.

Assad protected the Syrian Christians.

Under the new ISIS guy, expect the number of Syrian Christians to trend towards zero
Mothra
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The_barBEARian said:

Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:


ME has been an unstable powder keg for years. The idea that there was a suicide attack in Syria because of anything the US did is pretty preposterous. We didn't even support the regime currently in place there.


ATL Bear
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I'd say the missile strikes were Iranians saving face. It gives Trump an opening to be magnanimous and say the U.S. isn't going to retaliate in order to give a chance for deescalation/peace. He can put a deadline on it. Carefully orchestrated gunboat diplomacy.
Mothra
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Doc Holliday said:

Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:


ME has been an unstable powder keg for years. The idea that there was a suicide attack in Syria because of anything the US did is pretty preposterous. We didn't even support the regime currently in place there.
I don't think it's because of anything we did. That's not the argument.

The argument for our attempts at regime change was nation building and a complete change to the region which should exclude this behavior. That didn't take place.
You quoted a tweet that directly attributed the terrorist act in Syria to US regime change in Syria. That did not happen.

FTR, I agree we shouldn't be engaged in regime change in the ME. Let's the savages choose their own authoritarians and despots to lord over them.
Mothra
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ATL Bear said:

I'd say the missile strikes were Iranians saving face. It gives Trump an opening to be magnanimous and say the U.S. isn't going to retaliate in order to give a chance for deescalation/peace. He can put a deadline on it. Carefully orchestrated gunboat diplomacy.
Yup. Just like when he killed Soleimani.
historian
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“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
The_barBEARian
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Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:

Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:


ME has been an unstable powder keg for years. The idea that there was a suicide attack in Syria because of anything the US did is pretty preposterous. We didn't even support the regime currently in place there.
I don't think it's because of anything we did. That's not the argument.

The argument for our attempts at regime change was nation building and a complete change to the region which should exclude this behavior. That didn't take place.
You quoted a tweet that directly attributed the terrorist act in Syria to US regime change in Syria. That did not happen.

FTR, I agree we shouldn't be engaged in regime change in the ME. Let's the savages choose their own authoritarians and despots to lord over them.

US intervention in the Syrian civil war - Wikipedia

Don't let facts get in the way of your delusions.
Mothra
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The_barBEARian said:

Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:

Mothra said:

Doc Holliday said:


ME has been an unstable powder keg for years. The idea that there was a suicide attack in Syria because of anything the US did is pretty preposterous. We didn't even support the regime currently in place there.
I don't think it's because of anything we did. That's not the argument.

The argument for our attempts at regime change was nation building and a complete change to the region which should exclude this behavior. That didn't take place.
You quoted a tweet that directly attributed the terrorist act in Syria to US regime change in Syria. That did not happen.

FTR, I agree we shouldn't be engaged in regime change in the ME. Let's the savages choose their own authoritarians and despots to lord over them.

US intervention in the Syrian civil war - Wikipedia

Don't let facts get in the way of your delusions.
Do you even read what you've linked? The US hasn't provided any support to the Syrian opposition since 2017. Trump ended same when he took office. The brutal Al-Assad regime had long been the target of opposition forces before any US military support for the Kurds, whom he was slaughtering. The regime that took charge last year wasn't supported by the US, militarily or financially.

Again, the idea that US regime change actions in Syria were responsible for the terrorist attack is just hogwash supporting a baseless narrative.
LIB,MR BEARS
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ATL Bear said:

I'd say the missile strikes were Iranians saving face. It gives Trump an opening to be magnanimous and say the U.S. isn't going to retaliate in order to give a chance for deescalation/peace. He can put a deadline on it. Carefully orchestrated gunboat diplomacy.

I noticed that it's being reported that Qutar shot down the missiles.


No harm
No foul

Back in the peace making business will be the talking points if this is the end of US involvement.

The Ones being called "woke right" will need to find a way to save face. Probably something like Trump spoke to congressional leaders within the required 48 hours where our concerns were made known.

Heaven forbid a democrat ever step out of line publicly.

Rs not all shouting a company line at least tells me there is some debate going on and not a strong arm party leader like Obama was for so long.
Porteroso
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LIB,MR BEARS said:


Please don't post fake news. I'm sure you knew what you were posting was bs, but not everyone is so intelligent.
Porteroso
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GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.


We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.


Have you not followed politics very long?


Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...



Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.
I think we do actually know. Iranian air defenses have been so weakened by Israel, and their ability to retaliate through proxy so degraded, that this was likely the best opportunity to fly the B-52s over Iranian airspace we will ever have. It's as simple as that.

Estimates were that they could rush forward to a nuclear weapon in 3 weeks, from where they were. In the future that timeframe could be a problem, even if 3 days ago, they were not trying to build a nuclear weapon. We decided to take the opportunity Israel gave us, rather than potentially let it come back to bite us.
Sam Lowry
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Porteroso said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.


We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.


Have you not followed politics very long?


Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...



Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.
I think we do actually know. Iranian air defenses have been so weakened by Israel, and their ability to retaliate through proxy so degraded, that this was likely the best opportunity to fly the B-52s over Iranian airspace we will ever have. It's as simple as that.

Estimates were that they could rush forward to a nuclear weapon in 3 weeks, from where they were. In the future that timeframe could be a problem, even if 3 days ago, they were not trying to build a nuclear weapon. We decided to take the opportunity Israel gave us, rather than potentially let it come back to bite us.
We had an AI that the Israelis claim can monitor intentions. A predictive model, in other words. Has to be one of the stupidest things ever.
FLBear5630
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Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.


We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.


Have you not followed politics very long?


Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...



Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.
I think we do actually know. Iranian air defenses have been so weakened by Israel, and their ability to retaliate through proxy so degraded, that this was likely the best opportunity to fly the B-52s over Iranian airspace we will ever have. It's as simple as that.

Estimates were that they could rush forward to a nuclear weapon in 3 weeks, from where they were. In the future that timeframe could be a problem, even if 3 days ago, they were not trying to build a nuclear weapon. We decided to take the opportunity Israel gave us, rather than potentially let it come back to bite us.
We had an AI that the Israelis claim can monitor intentions. A predictive model, in other words. Has to be one of the stupidest things ever.
Don't laugh, Predictive Analytics is a thing. The more AI we see the more you will see predictive analytics used.
boognish_bear
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Porteroso
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Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.
We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.
Have you not followed politics very long?
Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...
Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.
I think we do actually know. Iranian air defenses have been so weakened by Israel, and their ability to retaliate through proxy so degraded, that this was likely the best opportunity to fly the B-52s over Iranian airspace we will ever have. It's as simple as that.

Estimates were that they could rush forward to a nuclear weapon in 3 weeks, from where they were. In the future that timeframe could be a problem, even if 3 days ago, they were not trying to build a nuclear weapon. We decided to take the opportunity Israel gave us, rather than potentially let it come back to bite us.
We had an AI that the Israelis claim can monitor intentions. A predictive model, in other words. Has to be one of the stupidest things ever.
If it even got a sniff of training from reading what Trump said he'd do v what he did, it's a very broken model of intention.
Porteroso
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boognish_bear said:


Everyone knows the 6 missiles were just posturing.

The sleeper cell in America thing is what will spook people. You have to think whatever they are planning could take years.
ATL Bear
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LIB,MR BEARS said:

ATL Bear said:

I'd say the missile strikes were Iranians saving face. It gives Trump an opening to be magnanimous and say the U.S. isn't going to retaliate in order to give a chance for deescalation/peace. He can put a deadline on it. Carefully orchestrated gunboat diplomacy.

I noticed that it's being reported that Qutar shot down the missiles.


No harm
No foul

Back in the peace making business will be the talking points if this is the end of US involvement.

The Ones being called "woke right" will need to find a way to save face. Probably something like Trump spoke to congressional leaders within the required 48 hours where our concerns were made known.

Heaven forbid a democrat ever step out of line publicly.

Rs not all shouting a company line at least tells me there is some debate going on and not a strong arm party leader like Obama was for so long.

I am very much hoping it marks an opportunity to end the escalated hostilities, and for more reasons than world peace. As I posted in the bear cave, I'm scheduled to take the family to Dubai and then Maldives with a stop in Qatar on the way home. We depart Sunday. Great timing…lol
Realitybites
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Quote:

The sleeper cell in America thing is what will spook people. You have to think whatever they are planning could take years.


My concern is a simultaneous decentralized attack on large segments of the power grid. Not the "EMP" that everyone is worried about, but equally damaging given the inability to get spares.

Attacks and suspicious activity at U.S. power stations reached a decade-long high last year, with more than 100 reported incidents in the first eight months of 2022, according to a TIME review of the Department of Energy's most recent data, which runs through August. Since then, there have been at least 18 more publicly reported attacks or potential attacks on substations and power plants in Florida, North Carolina, Oregon, South Carolina, and Washington.

The tally includes at least half a dozen at Duke Energy facilities in Florida and at least six others on electrical substations in the Pacific Northwest in November and December. In one attack on Thanksgiving, two intruders cut through the fencing around a substation in Clackamas County, Ore., and "used firearms to shoot up and disable numerous pieces of equipment and cause significant damage," according to an incident report. And in the most high-profile incident, intruders breached the gates and opened fire on two Duke Energy substations in Moore County, N.C., in early December, damaging equipment in what local authorities called a "targeted" attack that cut off the power for more than 45,000 people.


The previous administration was trying to blame all this on "domestic extremists". Nothing to see here, according to the wokesters. Jolani's ISIS and Al-Qaeda buddies would be more than happy to do that sort of a thing.
nein51
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FLBear5630 said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.


We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.


Have you not followed politics very long?


Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...



Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.
I think we do actually know. Iranian air defenses have been so weakened by Israel, and their ability to retaliate through proxy so degraded, that this was likely the best opportunity to fly the B-52s over Iranian airspace we will ever have. It's as simple as that.

Estimates were that they could rush forward to a nuclear weapon in 3 weeks, from where they were. In the future that timeframe could be a problem, even if 3 days ago, they were not trying to build a nuclear weapon. We decided to take the opportunity Israel gave us, rather than potentially let it come back to bite us.
We had an AI that the Israelis claim can monitor intentions. A predictive model, in other words. Has to be one of the stupidest things ever.
Don't laugh, Predictive Analytics is a thing. The more AI we see the more you will see predictive analytics used.

Predictive analytics has been a thing for a decent amount of time now and it's incredibly good at what it does. The best predictive analytics in the world resides in your credit card company of choice.

I worked on some modeling back in like 08-09 for our CC division that was amazing and brought HUGE profits and it was really just the tip of the iceberg.

Target was accurately predicting pregnancy BEFORE people
knew they were pregnant by item purchases, MC was able to predict divorce to a high degree of accuracy, the fraud department at ALL of them can predict fraud almost instantly.

Read SuperCrunchers by Ian Ayers from 2007 which talks about using predictive models to help stem the tide of poor hygiene at a hospital network that saved lives or trying to predict horse races, etc. Excellent read.
FLBear5630
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nein51 said:

FLBear5630 said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.


We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.


Have you not followed politics very long?


Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...



Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.
I think we do actually know. Iranian air defenses have been so weakened by Israel, and their ability to retaliate through proxy so degraded, that this was likely the best opportunity to fly the B-52s over Iranian airspace we will ever have. It's as simple as that.

Estimates were that they could rush forward to a nuclear weapon in 3 weeks, from where they were. In the future that timeframe could be a problem, even if 3 days ago, they were not trying to build a nuclear weapon. We decided to take the opportunity Israel gave us, rather than potentially let it come back to bite us.
We had an AI that the Israelis claim can monitor intentions. A predictive model, in other words. Has to be one of the stupidest things ever.
Don't laugh, Predictive Analytics is a thing. The more AI we see the more you will see predictive analytics used.

Predictive analytics has been a thing for a decent amount of time now and it's incredibly good at what it does. The best predictive analytics in the world resides in your credit card company of choice.

I worked on some modeling back in like 08-09 for our CC division that was amazing and brought HUGE profits and it was really just the tip of the iceberg.

Target was accurately predicting pregnancy BEFORE people
knew they were pregnant by item purchases, MC was able to predict divorce to a high degree of accuracy, the fraud department at ALL of them can predict fraud almost instantly.

Read SuperCrunchers by Ian Ayers from 2007 which talks about using predictive models to help stem the tide of poor hygiene at a hospital network that saved lives or trying to predict horse races, etc. Excellent read.
We are using them in traffic analysis for safety. They are good for some things others, not so much yet. I have yet to see one do a credible job on sporting events or races.
ATL Bear
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nein51 said:

FLBear5630 said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.


We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.


Have you not followed politics very long?


Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...



Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.
I think we do actually know. Iranian air defenses have been so weakened by Israel, and their ability to retaliate through proxy so degraded, that this was likely the best opportunity to fly the B-52s over Iranian airspace we will ever have. It's as simple as that.

Estimates were that they could rush forward to a nuclear weapon in 3 weeks, from where they were. In the future that timeframe could be a problem, even if 3 days ago, they were not trying to build a nuclear weapon. We decided to take the opportunity Israel gave us, rather than potentially let it come back to bite us.
We had an AI that the Israelis claim can monitor intentions. A predictive model, in other words. Has to be one of the stupidest things ever.
Don't laugh, Predictive Analytics is a thing. The more AI we see the more you will see predictive analytics used.

Predictive analytics has been a thing for a decent amount of time now and it's incredibly good at what it does. The best predictive analytics in the world resides in your credit card company of choice.

I worked on some modeling back in like 08-09 for our CC division that was amazing and brought HUGE profits and it was really just the tip of the iceberg.

Target was accurately predicting pregnancy BEFORE people
knew they were pregnant by item purchases, MC was able to predict divorce to a high degree of accuracy, the fraud department at ALL of them can predict fraud almost instantly.

Read SuperCrunchers by Ian Ayers from 2007 which talks about using predictive models to help stem the tide of poor hygiene at a hospital network that saved lives or trying to predict horse races, etc. Excellent read.
We wouldn't have Tesla's (and others) self driving cars without advanced AI predictive analytics.
FLBear5630
How long do you want to ignore this user?
ATL Bear said:

nein51 said:

FLBear5630 said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

FLBear5630 said:

GrowlTowel said:

I am not sure what all the fuss was about. The whole thing from beginning to end was a mostly peaceful bombing run.


We will wait until tomorrow for them to tell us what to think. Whatever it is, it will be pro-Donald.

The propaganda and attacks against those that disagree with this Administration is unreal.

Massey is now out of MAGA.


Have you not followed politics very long?


Yeah, my comments are for the MAGA crowd. You know the ones doing the gymnastics to make this fit the Trump is different narrative. You know, no foreign wars, cut annual spending, lower deficit, etc...



Things change. New information comes to light.

Perhaps Trump straight up lied to everyone about no new wars. Or, perhaps something bad was going to happen if he didn't act against Iran. The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.


I remember in 2008, Obama made an issue about the prison at Gitmo and how he was going to close it. He was a senator at the time and probably didn't have all the information necessary for his bold plans.

He is elected and serves 8 years - Gitmo never closed.

Did he lie to everyone or was there a more compelling reason to keep it open?

Neither you nor I know all the information that went into the decision to bomb Iran.

My opinion is that it must have been something compelling to pull Trump into it.

Time will tell one way or the other. No need for pearl clutching at this point.
I think we do actually know. Iranian air defenses have been so weakened by Israel, and their ability to retaliate through proxy so degraded, that this was likely the best opportunity to fly the B-52s over Iranian airspace we will ever have. It's as simple as that.

Estimates were that they could rush forward to a nuclear weapon in 3 weeks, from where they were. In the future that timeframe could be a problem, even if 3 days ago, they were not trying to build a nuclear weapon. We decided to take the opportunity Israel gave us, rather than potentially let it come back to bite us.
We had an AI that the Israelis claim can monitor intentions. A predictive model, in other words. Has to be one of the stupidest things ever.
Don't laugh, Predictive Analytics is a thing. The more AI we see the more you will see predictive analytics used.

Predictive analytics has been a thing for a decent amount of time now and it's incredibly good at what it does. The best predictive analytics in the world resides in your credit card company of choice.

I worked on some modeling back in like 08-09 for our CC division that was amazing and brought HUGE profits and it was really just the tip of the iceberg.

Target was accurately predicting pregnancy BEFORE people
knew they were pregnant by item purchases, MC was able to predict divorce to a high degree of accuracy, the fraud department at ALL of them can predict fraud almost instantly.

Read SuperCrunchers by Ian Ayers from 2007 which talks about using predictive models to help stem the tide of poor hygiene at a hospital network that saved lives or trying to predict horse races, etc. Excellent read.
We wouldn't have Tesla's (and others) self driving cars without advanced AI predictive analytics.
They still having problems with left turns? joke was how does a Tesla make a left, 3 rights...
 
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