OFFICIAL ELECTION THREAD, 11-8-22

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4th and Inches
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8:22p, 11/8/22
New dump puts warnock back on top by 100k votes with 58% reporting
“Mix a little foolishness with your serious plans. It is lovely to be silly at the right moment.”

–Horace


“Insomnia sharpens your math skills because you spend all night calculating how much sleep you’ll get if you’re able to ‘fall asleep right now.’ “
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whitetrash
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8:26p, 11/8/22
CBS just showed that Fetterman trails Oz by 14% among men, but leads by 15% among women. This stands to reason, since women prefer vegetables much more so than men.
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ATL Bear
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 8:29p, 11/8/22
4th and Inches said:
New dump puts warnock back on top by 100k votes with 58% reporting
More importantly Walker continues to break 4% lower than Kemp. Could put Warnock in without a runoff.
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sombear
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In reply to ATL Bear • 8:38p, 11/8/22
ATL Bear said:
4th and Inches said:
New dump puts warnock back on top by 100k votes with 58% reporting
More importantly Walker continues to break 4% lower than Kemp. Could put Warnock in without a runoff.
Walker in trouble. Still a chance for GOP tonight but no red wave. Very strange night.
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4th and Inches
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8:46p, 11/8/22
Too much going on with me to track everything.. ignoring most of the feed.

GA is one that pollsters tend to get right, unlike other swings. Always expected it to be a tight race either way.
“Mix a little foolishness with your serious plans. It is lovely to be silly at the right moment.”

–Horace


“Insomnia sharpens your math skills because you spend all night calculating how much sleep you’ll get if you’re able to ‘fall asleep right now.’ “
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Harrison Bergeron
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8:52p, 11/8/22
Definite big underperformance by GOP - weird ... doing better than expected in blue states and worse in red.
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4th and Inches
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8:56p, 11/8/22
“Mix a little foolishness with your serious plans. It is lovely to be silly at the right moment.”

–Horace


“Insomnia sharpens your math skills because you spend all night calculating how much sleep you’ll get if you’re able to ‘fall asleep right now.’ “
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Harrison Bergeron
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 8:58p, 11/8/22
4th and Inches said:


I'm as much Libertarian as anyone, but stay out of elections until you can pull 15%.
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Cobretti
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9:01p, 11/8/22
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4th and Inches
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9:04p, 11/8/22
Walker lead increased to 50% of the vote with 69% counted
“Mix a little foolishness with your serious plans. It is lovely to be silly at the right moment.”

–Horace


“Insomnia sharpens your math skills because you spend all night calculating how much sleep you’ll get if you’re able to ‘fall asleep right now.’ “
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whitetrash
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9:05p, 11/8/22
77% in "Reverend" Raphael leads by 2,300 votes
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ATL Bear
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9:12p, 11/8/22
Please don't make a Warnock/Walker runoff the Senate balance decider.
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4th and Inches
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In reply to ATL Bear • 9:15p, 11/8/22
ATL Bear said:
Please don't make a Warnock/Walker runoff the Senate balance decider.
all the senate races that are dem leads outside of GA now are closing with every dump. Long night ahead but I agree!
“Mix a little foolishness with your serious plans. It is lovely to be silly at the right moment.”

–Horace


“Insomnia sharpens your math skills because you spend all night calculating how much sleep you’ll get if you’re able to ‘fall asleep right now.’ “
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4th and Inches
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9:20p, 11/8/22
AZ- Masters is currently running behind Lake by 4

Dont know if there is enough to pull him up over Kelly.
“Mix a little foolishness with your serious plans. It is lovely to be silly at the right moment.”

–Horace


“Insomnia sharpens your math skills because you spend all night calculating how much sleep you’ll get if you’re able to ‘fall asleep right now.’ “
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sombear
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 9:30p, 11/8/22
4th and Inches said:
AZ- Masters is currently running behind Lake by 4

Dont know if there is enough to pull him up over Kelly.
Disappointing night out west too it appears. The shine is off Trafalgar for now. It's a tough business, and they all have off years.
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Forest Bueller
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9:57p, 11/8/22
If Fetterman has less than a 50% vote count does a runoff occur.

Haven't heard that scenario.
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sombear
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In reply to Forest Bueller • 10:05p, 11/8/22
Forest Bueller said:
If Fetterman has less than a 50% vote count does a runoff occur.

Haven't heard that scenario.
No
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Jack Bauer
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10:13p, 11/8/22
So make it more difficult for people in AZ to vote in person and don't extend poll hours...what a game plan from the Dems.
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Canada2017
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In reply to Cobretti • 10:17p, 11/8/22
Cobretti said:


DeSantis's performance in Florida is the biggest bright spot for Republicans tonight .

Outside of Florida there is no real red wave .

Only the most die hard Trump fanatic can possibly miss the point after these midterms.

DeSantis is now the Republican front runner for president in 2024 .


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Jack Bauer
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10:17p, 11/8/22
"Latinx are too dumb to know they should be voting for us"

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ATL Bear
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10:17p, 11/8/22
And people want Trump to be a powerful PAC force in the party. Maybe the die hards will realize he drives the independents away, and promotes difficult to elect candidates. This red wave turned into a potential Senate step back and a modest pick up in the house.
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4th and Inches
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10:19p, 11/8/22
OZ is about 40k back and gaining..

Might still be there
“Mix a little foolishness with your serious plans. It is lovely to be silly at the right moment.”

–Horace


“Insomnia sharpens your math skills because you spend all night calculating how much sleep you’ll get if you’re able to ‘fall asleep right now.’ “
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sombear
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In reply to ATL Bear • 10:22p, 11/8/22
ATL Bear said:
And people want Trump to be a powerful PAC force in the party. Maybe the die hards will realize he drives the independents away, and promotes difficult to elect candidates. This red wave turned into a potential Senate step back and a modest pick up in the house.
It won't, but this should end Trump. The only reason the GOP is not winning PA, GA, and AZ is Trump. It's just that simple. Bad candidates = bad results. And there were good, strong conservative candidates available. Trump lost us GA last time, too. Desantis, Kemp, Scott, Haley, Noem, Rubio, Youngkin and crew should control the GOP.
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Redbrickbear
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10:32p, 11/8/22

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Forest Bueller
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 10:40p, 11/8/22
4th and Inches said:
OZ is about 40k back and gaining..

Might still be there


The Philadelphia machine will ward of any Oz momentum.

Walker and Warnock in a runoff. Not sure what is going on in AZ. I thought we were told Lake and others have all the momentum.
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Canada2017
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In reply to Forest Bueller • 10:44p, 11/8/22
Forest Bueller said:
4th and Inches said:
OZ is about 40k back and gaining..

Might still be there


The Philadelphia machine will ward of any Oz momentum.

Walker and Warnock in a runoff. Not sure what is going on in AZ. I thought we were told Lake and others have all the momentum.


Outside of Florida and DeSantis…..the red wave was a bust .

The message is clear …..it's DeSantis for president in 2024.
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Mothra
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In reply to ATL Bear • 10:45p, 11/8/22
ATL Bear said:
And people want Trump to be a powerful PAC force in the party. Maybe the die hards will realize he drives the independents away, and promotes difficult to elect candidates. This red wave turned into a potential Senate step back and a modest pick up in the house.


Yup. The Trump effect backfired, as many predicted. He's toxic outside of his sycophants and base. Independents hate him and they're what win or lose elections.
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Booray
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In reply to ATL Bear • 10:45p, 11/8/22
ATL Bear said:
And people want Trump to be a powerful PAC force in the party. Maybe the die hards will realize he drives the independents away, and promotes difficult to elect candidates. This red wave turned into a potential Senate step back and a modest pick up in the house.


Both parties have problems at the top.
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BearN
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10:51p, 11/8/22
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Forest Bueller
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In reply to Mothra • 10:52p, 11/8/22
Mothra said:
ATL Bear said:
And people want Trump to be a powerful PAC force in the party. Maybe the die hards will realize he drives the independents away, and promotes difficult to elect candidates. This red wave turned into a potential Senate step back and a modest pick up in the house.


Yup. The Trump effect backfired, as many predicted. He's toxic outside of his sycophants and base. Independents hate him and they're what win or lose elections.


Yep. Trump has to go. Cost the R's several elections tonight.
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Jack Bauer
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10:57p, 11/8/22
FWIW

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Harrison Bergeron
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10:59p, 11/8/22
Trump's political career died tonight.
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Married A Horn
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11:03p, 11/8/22
I went to bed in 2020 thinking we won it all. Woke up to a different story.

Going to bed in 2022 thinking we lost it all. Let's see what story I wake up to...
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EatMoreSalmon
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11:11p, 11/8/22
Incumbent's are winning (again) tonight. American electorate is still allowing no repercussions for bad work.
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Jack Bauer
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11:11p, 11/8/22
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