ron.reagan said:
Trump already lost at at time he had much more support in the party. He can't win with less party support. The voters understand that.
It's fair to say we have a clear-to-strong majority of people posting on this thread who will not be voting for Trump in the primary. That raises an interesting point that has thus far been overlooked.
What demographic applies to the people posting in this discussion?
How much do they have in common with the entirety of MAGA-world?
What do we know about MAGA-world: blue collar, working class, no college education, multi-race, etc....
I stood in line at Napa Auto Parts Bellmead on Saturday for a good long while (only one person showed up to work), and got to listen to a very blue collar hispanic gentleman hold court on how government was making all kinds of deals to screw over the little guy. At one point when he slowed down a bit, I cautioned him with one of my standard lines: "shhh...don't bother them....they're saving the planet." And then he went off on gas prices, and the insanity of electric vehicles. He's a guy who intuitively grasped that electric garbage trucks were a non-starter but he could never have articulated a joke on the inherent irony of such a monstrosity. His schtick wobbled around on an axis of crackpot conspiracy, idiot savant, and searing indictment on the vanity of cultural elites. He had the whole store in stitches. "Don't stop him....he's on a roll."
Don't overlook the class dynamic going on.
Half the people in the country have below average intelligence.
Enormous numbers of people like and trust Trump in ways that "their betters" cannot fully appreciate.
I think that's what is leading most to think that Trump is already done poke him with a fork.
I suspect that is quite a bit premature, gentlemen.
75m people voted for him in 2020. That's a pretty good starting point for any politician.