U.S Senate races

47,874 Views | 1187 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by Osodecentx
4th and Inches
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Cobretti
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4th and Inches
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Somebody dropped this stat..

"Of the remaining undecideds 78% are those without a college degree."

That shows the Dems are basically maxed out and that catagory is heavily MAGA/GOP

if they are enthusiastic to vote for the GOP canidate, some of these close races could swing hard right on election night.
Ursus Americanus
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4th and Inches said:

Somebody dropped this stat..

"Of the remaining undecideds 78% are those without a college degree."

That shows the Dems are basically maxed out and that catagory is heavily MAGA/GOP

if they are enthusiastic to vote for the GOP canidate, some of these close races could swing hard right on election night.
Anyone undecided at this juncture either didn't want to talk to a pollster or likely isn't voting.
riflebear
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Biden seems to be getting worse by the week. Saw my Grandpa go down that road and it's eerily similar and sad to see.

Dems don't worry about losing the mid terms. Their game plan after that happens is to blame the GOP for blocking everything they wanted to do as they start campaigning for the Presidential election.

Most of the party will turn on Biden and greater than 50% chance he doesn't even finish his term.
Adriacus Peratuun
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riflebear said:

Biden seems to be getting worse by the week. Saw my Grandpa go down that road and it's eerily similar and sad to see.

Dems don't worry about losing the mid terms. Their game plan after that happens is to blame the GOP for blocking everything they wanted to do as they start campaigning for the Presidential election.

Most of the party will turn on Biden and greater than 50% chance he doesn't even finish his term.
Ask yourself who the Ds have warming up in the bullpen.

Biden got elected because they had no viable alternatives. The D bench is very empty of Presidential types.
4th and Inches
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whiterock
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4th and Inches said:

Somebody dropped this stat..

"Of the remaining undecideds 78% are those without a college degree."

That shows the Dems are basically maxed out and that catagory is heavily MAGA/GOP

if they are enthusiastic to vote for the GOP canidate, some of these close races could swing hard right on election night.
"the incumbent gets his final number." All Fetterman can do is hope to prevent the undecided from voting at all, and dispirit the GOP base enough for the Dem base to squeak by.

I've seen reports of record-setting turnout in Georgia, but have not seen any analytics on it. Usually, record turnouts are new voters.....first-time voters. That has been a Trump voter in past elections, and one would think the environment of inflation/recession would push even the younger new voters to vote Red.
Jacques Strap
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Wrecks Quan Dough
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Jacques Strap said:




To protect the leftist sacrament of abortion, don't vote for the doctor.
whiterock
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Governor races looking like a red wave, as well, presaging what may happen in the Senate as well.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/21/nolte-realclearpolitics-projects-gop-wins-mi-wi-or-nv-governor-races/
4th and Inches
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Jacques Strap said:


duh.. he is the worse canidate and people are finally admitting it
Harrison Bergeron
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4th and Inches said:

Jacques Strap said:


duh.. he is the worse canidate and people are finally admitting it
I can see why people like some of the other Democrat candidates. I might not agree with them, but I can go "Okay, I understand why someone would vote for X."

I would not vote Fetterman to be high school class president. He's a racist wastrel who's still being supported by his parents at age 40.
4th and Inches
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Now polling outside the MOE..
Harrison Bergeron
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The risk is flagging the places that need extra ballots. Plenty of time to deploy stuffing teams.
Canada2017
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4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Osodecentx
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4th and Inches said:

Oso:


What does it mean?
4th and Inches
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Osodecentx said:

4th and Inches said:

Oso:


What does it mean?
an average is as good as the sum of its parts. They dont use the same polls and are 3 points apart. One of them is heading for dead wrong again.

Will be interesting to see if anybody is accurately measuring the vote. Several of those I converse with have had a real hard time getting the samples they want to use..
4th and Inches
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Married A Horn
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4th and Inches said:




That's outside the moe... but I've never heard of Wick. They any good?
Married A Horn

Hutto Hippo
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Osodecentx
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Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election
4th and Inches
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Married A Horn said:

4th and Inches said:




That's outside the moe... but I've never heard of Wick. They any good?
they are cosidered good by 538.

Their cross tabs are a bit pro conservative. That may not be wrong, we dont know yet.

Thwy said Trump would win by 2 and Biden won by 1. Even if they are off 3, thats a win for OZ.
Ursus Americanus
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4th and Inches said:

Married A Horn said:

4th and Inches said:




That's outside the moe... but I've never heard of Wick. They any good?
they are cosidered good by 538.

Their cross tabs are a bit pro conservative. That may not be wrong, we dont know yet.

Thwy said Trump would win by 2 and Biden won by 1. Even if they are off 3, thats a win for OZ.
What's your opinion of the way 538 is projecting governor races, it projects 97 percent chance Abbott and about a 12 point win.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/texas/
4th and Inches
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Ursus Americanus said:

4th and Inches said:

Married A Horn said:

4th and Inches said:




That's outside the moe... but I've never heard of Wick. They any good?
they are cosidered good by 538.

Their cross tabs are a bit pro conservative. That may not be wrong, we dont know yet.

Thwy said Trump would win by 2 and Biden won by 1. Even if they are off 3, thats a win for OZ.
What's your opinion of the way 538 is projecting governor races, it projects 97 percent chance Abbott and about a 12 point win.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/texas/
i think he wins comfortably- probably +8
Ursus Americanus
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4th and Inches said:

Ursus Americanus said:

4th and Inches said:

Married A Horn said:

4th and Inches said:




That's outside the moe... but I've never heard of Wick. They any good?
they are cosidered good by 538.

Their cross tabs are a bit pro conservative. That may not be wrong, we dont know yet.

Thwy said Trump would win by 2 and Biden won by 1. Even if they are off 3, thats a win for OZ.
What's your opinion of the way 538 is projecting governor races, it projects 97 percent chance Abbott and about a 12 point win.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/texas/
i think he wins comfortably- probably +8

Some of the prognosticators are saying it could be as high as 15.
Married A Horn
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Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election


Support if minor or no fraud reported.
Deny if fraud reported.

But wait - drop boxes?? If unmanned - yeah, fraud.

Deny. I have no hope for PA. And I'm fairly optimistic everywhere else.
Married A Horn

Hutto Hippo
Trinity Trojan
Harrison Bergeron
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Married A Horn said:

Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election


Support if minor or no fraud reported.
Deny if fraud reported.

But wait - drop boxes?? If unmanned - yeah, fraud.

Deny. I have no hope for PA. And I'm fairly optimistic everywhere else.


Decent chance Democrat areas will be magically delayed like 2020 and oddly find a bunch of new "votes" overnight.
EatMoreSalmon
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Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election
Do you believe Philadelphia has a record of reliable election integrity?
whiterock
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4th and Inches said:

Married A Horn said:

4th and Inches said:




That's outside the moe... but I've never heard of Wick. They any good?
they are cosidered good by 538.

Their cross tabs are a bit pro conservative. That may not be wrong, we dont know yet.

Thwy said Trump would win by 2 and Biden won by 1. Even if they are off 3, thats a win for OZ.
Nobody had heard of Trafalgar before 2016

Every now & then, a new polling firm distinguishes itself with the ability to get it right.

Osodecentx
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Married A Horn said:

Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election


Support if minor or no fraud reported.
Deny if fraud reported.

But wait - drop boxes?? If unmanned - yeah, fraud.

Deny. I have no hope for PA. And I'm fairly optimistic everywhere else.
I think you guys support elections your favorite wins and denies elections when you lose.
Oz wins - you accept
Oz loses - you deny

Very Trump/Stacy Abrams of you
whiterock
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Osodecentx said:

Married A Horn said:

Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election


Support if minor or no fraud reported.
Deny if fraud reported.

But wait - drop boxes?? If unmanned - yeah, fraud.

Deny. I have no hope for PA. And I'm fairly optimistic everywhere else.
I think you guys support elections your favorite wins and denies elections when you lose.
Oz wins - you accept
Oz loses - you deny

Very Trump/Stacy Abrams of you

That's politics, friend.

NY Gov race neck & neck.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/21/poll-lee-zeldin-takes-the-lead-in-new-york-over-gov-kathy-hochul/
Osodecentx
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whiterock said:

Osodecentx said:

Married A Horn said:

Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election


Support if minor or no fraud reported.
Deny if fraud reported.

But wait - drop boxes?? If unmanned - yeah, fraud.

Deny. I have no hope for PA. And I'm fairly optimistic everywhere else.
I think you guys support elections your favorite wins and denies elections when you lose.
Oz wins - you accept
Oz loses - you deny

Very Trump/Stacy Abrams of you

That's politics, friend.

NY Gov race neck & neck.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/21/poll-lee-zeldin-takes-the-lead-in-new-york-over-gov-kathy-hochul/
In my experience, the losing candidate accepts the results. That's politics
Harrison Bergeron
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Osodecentx said:

whiterock said:

Osodecentx said:

Married A Horn said:

Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election


Support if minor or no fraud reported.
Deny if fraud reported.

But wait - drop boxes?? If unmanned - yeah, fraud.

Deny. I have no hope for PA. And I'm fairly optimistic everywhere else.
I think you guys support elections your favorite wins and denies elections when you lose.
Oz wins - you accept
Oz loses - you deny

Very Trump/Stacy Abrams of you

That's politics, friend.

NY Gov race neck & neck.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/21/poll-lee-zeldin-takes-the-lead-in-new-york-over-gov-kathy-hochul/
In my experience, the losing candidate accepts the results. That's politics


Unless it's Stacy abrams or Hillary Clinton.
whiterock
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Harrison Bergeron said:

Osodecentx said:

whiterock said:

Osodecentx said:

Married A Horn said:

Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election


Support if minor or no fraud reported.
Deny if fraud reported.

But wait - drop boxes?? If unmanned - yeah, fraud.

Deny. I have no hope for PA. And I'm fairly optimistic everywhere else.
I think you guys support elections your favorite wins and denies elections when you lose.
Oz wins - you accept
Oz loses - you deny

Very Trump/Stacy Abrams of you

That's politics, friend.

NY Gov race neck & neck.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/21/poll-lee-zeldin-takes-the-lead-in-new-york-over-gov-kathy-hochul/
In my experience, the losing candidate accepts the results. That's politics


Unless it's Stacy abrams or Hillary Clinton.

As long as Democrats talk about systemic oppression, they cannot be trusted to faithfully and fairly administer the parts of the system they control.

This is basic goose & gander stuff.
We are going to play by the same rules.
Period.
Married A Horn
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Osodecentx said:

whiterock said:

Osodecentx said:

Married A Horn said:

Osodecentx said:

Canada2017 said:

4th and Inches said:




Philadelphia will harvest whatever number of Fetterman votes necessary to 'win'.
Will you support or deny the election results?
Call your shot before the election


Support if minor or no fraud reported.
Deny if fraud reported.

But wait - drop boxes?? If unmanned - yeah, fraud.

Deny. I have no hope for PA. And I'm fairly optimistic everywhere else.
I think you guys support elections your favorite wins and denies elections when you lose.
Oz wins - you accept
Oz loses - you deny

Very Trump/Stacy Abrams of you

That's politics, friend.

NY Gov race neck & neck.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/21/poll-lee-zeldin-takes-the-lead-in-new-york-over-gov-kathy-hochul/
In my experience, the losing candidate accepts the results. That's politics


You obviously missed Lake's list of over 150 times the democrats denied the 2016 election. You're not honest - with yourself possibly, but still...
Married A Horn

Hutto Hippo
Trinity Trojan
 
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