U.S Senate races

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4th and Inches
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8:58a, 9/20/22
Somebody is wrong..



Two polls with opposing findings
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4th and Inches
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11:36a, 9/20/22
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4th and Inches
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7:06p, 9/20/22
RNC continues to raise more money again in August than Dems did..

Overall, its 273mil GOP to 108mil Dem for the 2022 election cycle.
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Wrecks Quan Dough
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 7:32p, 9/20/22
4th and Inches said:
RNC continues to raise more money again in August than Dems did..

Overall, its 273mil GOP to 108mil Dem for the 2022 election cycle.


I'll be voting Democrat this time because Joe Biden saved me 16 cents on my Independence Day barbeque two years ago.
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4th and Inches
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In reply to Wrecks Quan Dough • 8:13p, 9/20/22
He Hate Me said:
4th and Inches said:
RNC continues to raise more money again in August than Dems did..

Overall, its 273mil GOP to 108mil Dem for the 2022 election cycle.


I'll be voting Democrat this time because Joe Biden saved me 16 cents on my Independence Day barbeque two years ago.
makes as much sense as any other reason somebody votes for them..
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Cobretti
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1:44p, 9/21/22
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4th and Inches
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6:08p, 9/22/22
Red alert!

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4th and Inches
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6:18p, 9/22/22
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Ursus Americanus
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 6:19p, 9/22/22
4th and Inches said:
their Texas ones probably will make em **** bricks
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4th and Inches
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6:29p, 9/22/22
In the last 2 days, Democrat outside groups have started spending money on Senate races in Colorado, Washington State AND Connecticut.

Democrats are on their heels and scrambling in states Joe Biden won by double digits.

They know..
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Ursus Americanus
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 6:52p, 9/22/22
4th and Inches said:
In the last 2 days, Democrat outside groups have started spending money on Senate races in Colorado, Washington State AND Connecticut.

Democrats are on their heels and scrambling in states Joe Biden won by double digits.

They know..
They've started saying polls are bogus too after Abbott was up by 11 in DMN among LVs sampled.
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Married A Horn
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 8:56p, 9/22/22
4th and Inches said:
In the last 2 days, Democrat outside groups have started spending money on Senate races in Colorado, Washington State AND Connecticut.

Democrats are on their heels and scrambling in states Joe Biden won by double digits.

They know..


Connecticut????
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4th and Inches
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3:52p, 9/23/22
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whiterock
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 2:42p, 9/24/22
4th and Inches said:
In the last 2 days, Democrat outside groups have started spending money on Senate races in Colorado, Washington State AND Connecticut.

Democrats are on their heels and scrambling in states Joe Biden won by double digits.

They know..


Defending incumbent seats takes priority over competing for open seats. Competing for open seats takes priority over competing for contested seats.

Only 14 Dems seats for involved this cycle, vs 21 GOP. Dems are now playing defense on 7 of theirs. GOP only 2.

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4th and Inches
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8:07p, 9/25/22
ABC/WP POLL: 84 percent call the economy a top issue in their vote for Congress and 76 percent say the same about inflation.

This close to mid terms?! Yowza!
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Married A Horn
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3:04p, 9/26/22
Trafalgar poll Washing Senate race has the democrat up by only 2. Woah.
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whiterock
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In reply to Married A Horn • 3:13p, 9/26/22
Married A Horn said:
Trafalgar poll Washing Senate race has the democrat up by only 2. Woah.
Like I said....there will be incumbents get beat this cycle who had no idea they were in trouble.

CO Senate race is also heating up. A couple in New England are starting to tighten. NY Gov race is interesting. MN Gov race is interesting.

GOP may end up with the largest House seat margin it's ever had.

This also puts in perspective Biden's "Red Speech" and raids of the Trump residence (ostensibly for violations on classified materials) and the arrest of that pro-lifer in front of his wife & kids at home (ostensibly for a minor assault at a protest). They are desperate to make Trump and Abortion the issue.

Ain't. Gonna. Work.
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57Bear
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4:03p, 9/26/22
They may be making the FBI the issue.
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4th and Inches
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4:28p, 9/26/22
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Married A Horn
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 4:31p, 9/26/22
+21 in battleground races?? That's not a red wave...that's a massacre.
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4th and Inches
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In reply to Married A Horn • 4:36p, 9/26/22
Married A Horn said:
+21 in battleground races?? That's not a red wave...that's a massacre.
not enough seats up for grabs this go around to be "historic" but I think we will see an upset or two that the experts werent expecting
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Osodecentx
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In reply to Osodecentx • 4:38p, 9/26/22
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Redbrickbear said:
C. Jordan said:
Looks really good for Dems right now.

They can thank Trump and his promotion of awful candidates: Vance, Oz, and Walker, among others.


I agree with you on Oz…fetterman is gonna win in PA.

But Vance is a good candidate and is gonna win Ohio.
fetterman may not make it to the election.. watch video of him, he is in bad shape. Oz is not great canidate but fetterman is terrible. If he wins, people arent paying attention or voting against Oz

Vance is gonna win Ohio.

Walker is gonna win GA.

Laxalt is leading in NV, watch that one

Johnson is -4 in WI according to FoX poll but Fox overstated WI polling by 6.5 in 2020.. this is a horse race folks
Just updating. Using 538.com projections

Fetterman remains in the lead, but race is tightening (my perception). Fetterman has 80% chance of winning

Vance continues to lead in Ohio. 72% chance of victory

Warnock narrowly ahead in GA, 538 basically says too close to call. Warnock with 52% chance of victory.

Masto over Laxalt in Nevada, but close. Masto 60% chance of victory

Johnson even with Barnes and has momentum. Johnson with 51% chance of victory.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update. 538.com projections

Fetterman 52%-45.7. Fetterman has 82% chance of winning.

Vance 51.7-48.3. Vance has 69% chance of winning.

Warnock 49.9 - 48.5. Warnock has 55% chance of winning.

Masto 49.2-47.4. Masto has a 60% chance of winning.

Johnson 50.4-49.6. Johnson has a 55% chance of winning.

Kelly 51.5- 48.4. Kelly has 77% chance of winning.

If the above hold true, Dems pick up 1 seat.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update (9/26) from 538:
Fetterman 51.5 - 48.1 Fetterman has 81% chance of winning

Vance 52- 48% Vance has 72% chance of winning

Warnock 49.8 - 48.7. Warnock has 53% chance of winning

Masto 48.8 - 48.1 Masto has 54% chance of winning

Johnson 50.9 - 49.1. Johnson has 61% chance of winning

Kelly 51.7 - 46.1 Kelly has 80% chance of winning

If the above hold true, Dems pick up one seat (PA)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

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4th and Inches
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In reply to Osodecentx • 4:51p, 9/26/22
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Redbrickbear said:
C. Jordan said:
Looks really good for Dems right now.

They can thank Trump and his promotion of awful candidates: Vance, Oz, and Walker, among others.


I agree with you on Oz…fetterman is gonna win in PA.

But Vance is a good candidate and is gonna win Ohio.
fetterman may not make it to the election.. watch video of him, he is in bad shape. Oz is not great canidate but fetterman is terrible. If he wins, people arent paying attention or voting against Oz

Vance is gonna win Ohio.

Walker is gonna win GA.

Laxalt is leading in NV, watch that one

Johnson is -4 in WI according to FoX poll but Fox overstated WI polling by 6.5 in 2020.. this is a horse race folks
Just updating. Using 538.com projections

Fetterman remains in the lead, but race is tightening (my perception). Fetterman has 80% chance of winning

Vance continues to lead in Ohio. 72% chance of victory

Warnock narrowly ahead in GA, 538 basically says too close to call. Warnock with 52% chance of victory.

Masto over Laxalt in Nevada, but close. Masto 60% chance of victory

Johnson even with Barnes and has momentum. Johnson with 51% chance of victory.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update. 538.com projections

Fetterman 52%-45.7. Fetterman has 82% chance of winning.

Vance 51.7-48.3. Vance has 69% chance of winning.

Warnock 49.9 - 48.5. Warnock has 55% chance of winning.

Masto 49.2-47.4. Masto has a 60% chance of winning.

Johnson 50.4-49.6. Johnson has a 55% chance of winning.

Kelly 51.5- 48.4. Kelly has 77% chance of winning.

If the above hold true, Dems pick up 1 seat.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update (9/26) from 538:
Fetterman 51.5 - 48.1 Fetterman has 81% chance of winning

Vance 52- 48% Vance has 72% chance of winning

Warnock 49.8 - 48.7. Warnock has 53% chance of winning

Masto 48.8 - 48.1 Masto has 54% chance of winning

Johnson 50.9 - 49.1. Johnson has 61% chance of winning

Kelly 51.7 - 46.1 Kelly has 80% chance of winning

If the above hold true, Dems pick up one seat (PA)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

I will donate $25.00 per seat out of that list that they get correct. If GOP wins, a pro life charity. If a Dem wins, an environmental charity.
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Wrecks Quan Dough
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4:57p, 9/26/22
Oz beats Fatterneck.
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Harrison Bergeron
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4:58p, 9/26/22
I don't put tremendous faith in any poll regardless of what it reports. We'll see after the election.
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Osodecentx
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 7:43p, 9/26/22
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Redbrickbear said:
C. Jordan said:
Looks really good for Dems right now.

They can thank Trump and his promotion of awful candidates: Vance, Oz, and Walker, among others.


I agree with you on Oz…fetterman is gonna win in PA.

But Vance is a good candidate and is gonna win Ohio.
fetterman may not make it to the election.. watch video of him, he is in bad shape. Oz is not great canidate but fetterman is terrible. If he wins, people arent paying attention or voting against Oz

Vance is gonna win Ohio.

Walker is gonna win GA.

Laxalt is leading in NV, watch that one

Johnson is -4 in WI according to FoX poll but Fox overstated WI polling by 6.5 in 2020.. this is a horse race folks
Just updating. Using 538.com projections

Fetterman remains in the lead, but race is tightening (my perception). Fetterman has 80% chance of winning

Vance continues to lead in Ohio. 72% chance of victory

Warnock narrowly ahead in GA, 538 basically says too close to call. Warnock with 52% chance of victory.

Masto over Laxalt in Nevada, but close. Masto 60% chance of victory

Johnson even with Barnes and has momentum. Johnson with 51% chance of victory.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update. 538.com projections

Fetterman 52%-45.7. Fetterman has 82% chance of winning.

Vance 51.7-48.3. Vance has 69% chance of winning.

Warnock 49.9 - 48.5. Warnock has 55% chance of winning.

Masto 49.2-47.4. Masto has a 60% chance of winning.

Johnson 50.4-49.6. Johnson has a 55% chance of winning.

Kelly 51.5- 48.4. Kelly has 77% chance of winning.

If the above hold true, Dems pick up 1 seat.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update (9/26) from 538:
Fetterman 51.5 - 48.1 Fetterman has 81% chance of winning

Vance 52- 48% Vance has 72% chance of winning

Warnock 49.8 - 48.7. Warnock has 53% chance of winning

Masto 48.8 - 48.1 Masto has 54% chance of winning

Johnson 50.9 - 49.1. Johnson has 61% chance of winning

Kelly 51.7 - 46.1 Kelly has 80% chance of winning

If the above hold true, Dems pick up one seat (PA)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

I will donate $25.00 per seat out of that list that they get correct. If GOP wins, a pro life charity. If a Dem wins, an environmental charity.
I accept
If Johnson, Vance, Fetterman, Kelly, and Masto wins you donate $125 to my charity.
Agreed?

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4th and Inches
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In reply to Osodecentx • 8:12p, 9/26/22
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Redbrickbear said:
C. Jordan said:
Looks really good for Dems right now.

They can thank Trump and his promotion of awful candidates: Vance, Oz, and Walker, among others.


I agree with you on Oz…fetterman is gonna win in PA.

But Vance is a good candidate and is gonna win Ohio.
fetterman may not make it to the election.. watch video of him, he is in bad shape. Oz is not great canidate but fetterman is terrible. If he wins, people arent paying attention or voting against Oz

Vance is gonna win Ohio.

Walker is gonna win GA.

Laxalt is leading in NV, watch that one

Johnson is -4 in WI according to FoX poll but Fox overstated WI polling by 6.5 in 2020.. this is a horse race folks
Just updating. Using 538.com projections

Fetterman remains in the lead, but race is tightening (my perception). Fetterman has 80% chance of winning

Vance continues to lead in Ohio. 72% chance of victory

Warnock narrowly ahead in GA, 538 basically says too close to call. Warnock with 52% chance of victory.

Masto over Laxalt in Nevada, but close. Masto 60% chance of victory

Johnson even with Barnes and has momentum. Johnson with 51% chance of victory.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update. 538.com projections

Fetterman 52%-45.7. Fetterman has 82% chance of winning.

Vance 51.7-48.3. Vance has 69% chance of winning.

Warnock 49.9 - 48.5. Warnock has 55% chance of winning.

Masto 49.2-47.4. Masto has a 60% chance of winning.

Johnson 50.4-49.6. Johnson has a 55% chance of winning.

Kelly 51.5- 48.4. Kelly has 77% chance of winning.

If the above hold true, Dems pick up 1 seat.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update (9/26) from 538:
Fetterman 51.5 - 48.1 Fetterman has 81% chance of winning

Vance 52- 48% Vance has 72% chance of winning

Warnock 49.8 - 48.7. Warnock has 53% chance of winning

Masto 48.8 - 48.1 Masto has 54% chance of winning

Johnson 50.9 - 49.1. Johnson has 61% chance of winning

Kelly 51.7 - 46.1 Kelly has 80% chance of winning

If the above hold true, Dems pick up one seat (PA)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

I will donate $25.00 per seat out of that list that they get correct. If GOP wins, a pro life charity. If a Dem wins, an environmental charity.
I accept
If Johnson, Vance, Fetterman, Kelly, and Masto wins you donate $125 to my charity.
Agreed?

post a copy of your 501(3)C
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Osodecentx
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 8:39p, 9/26/22
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Redbrickbear said:
C. Jordan said:
Looks really good for Dems right now.

They can thank Trump and his promotion of awful candidates: Vance, Oz, and Walker, among others.


I agree with you on Oz…fetterman is gonna win in PA.

But Vance is a good candidate and is gonna win Ohio.
fetterman may not make it to the election.. watch video of him, he is in bad shape. Oz is not great canidate but fetterman is terrible. If he wins, people arent paying attention or voting against Oz

Vance is gonna win Ohio.

Walker is gonna win GA.

Laxalt is leading in NV, watch that one

Johnson is -4 in WI according to FoX poll but Fox overstated WI polling by 6.5 in 2020.. this is a horse race folks
Just updating. Using 538.com projections

Fetterman remains in the lead, but race is tightening (my perception). Fetterman has 80% chance of winning

Vance continues to lead in Ohio. 72% chance of victory

Warnock narrowly ahead in GA, 538 basically says too close to call. Warnock with 52% chance of victory.

Masto over Laxalt in Nevada, but close. Masto 60% chance of victory

Johnson even with Barnes and has momentum. Johnson with 51% chance of victory.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update. 538.com projections

Fetterman 52%-45.7. Fetterman has 82% chance of winning.

Vance 51.7-48.3. Vance has 69% chance of winning.

Warnock 49.9 - 48.5. Warnock has 55% chance of winning.

Masto 49.2-47.4. Masto has a 60% chance of winning.

Johnson 50.4-49.6. Johnson has a 55% chance of winning.

Kelly 51.5- 48.4. Kelly has 77% chance of winning.

If the above hold true, Dems pick up 1 seat.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update (9/26) from 538:
Fetterman 51.5 - 48.1 Fetterman has 81% chance of winning

Vance 52- 48% Vance has 72% chance of winning

Warnock 49.8 - 48.7. Warnock has 53% chance of winning

Masto 48.8 - 48.1 Masto has 54% chance of winning

Johnson 50.9 - 49.1. Johnson has 61% chance of winning

Kelly 51.7 - 46.1 Kelly has 80% chance of winning

If the above hold true, Dems pick up one seat (PA)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

I will donate $25.00 per seat out of that list that they get correct. If GOP wins, a pro life charity. If a Dem wins, an environmental charity.
I accept
If Johnson, Vance, Fetterman, Kelly, and Masto wins you donate $125 to my charity.
Agreed?

post a copy of your 501(3)C


Post yours
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4th and Inches
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In reply to Osodecentx • 9:54p, 9/26/22
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Redbrickbear said:
C. Jordan said:
Looks really good for Dems right now.

They can thank Trump and his promotion of awful candidates: Vance, Oz, and Walker, among others.


I agree with you on Oz…fetterman is gonna win in PA.

But Vance is a good candidate and is gonna win Ohio.
fetterman may not make it to the election.. watch video of him, he is in bad shape. Oz is not great canidate but fetterman is terrible. If he wins, people arent paying attention or voting against Oz

Vance is gonna win Ohio.

Walker is gonna win GA.

Laxalt is leading in NV, watch that one

Johnson is -4 in WI according to FoX poll but Fox overstated WI polling by 6.5 in 2020.. this is a horse race folks
Just updating. Using 538.com projections

Fetterman remains in the lead, but race is tightening (my perception). Fetterman has 80% chance of winning

Vance continues to lead in Ohio. 72% chance of victory

Warnock narrowly ahead in GA, 538 basically says too close to call. Warnock with 52% chance of victory.

Masto over Laxalt in Nevada, but close. Masto 60% chance of victory

Johnson even with Barnes and has momentum. Johnson with 51% chance of victory.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update. 538.com projections

Fetterman 52%-45.7. Fetterman has 82% chance of winning.

Vance 51.7-48.3. Vance has 69% chance of winning.

Warnock 49.9 - 48.5. Warnock has 55% chance of winning.

Masto 49.2-47.4. Masto has a 60% chance of winning.

Johnson 50.4-49.6. Johnson has a 55% chance of winning.

Kelly 51.5- 48.4. Kelly has 77% chance of winning.

If the above hold true, Dems pick up 1 seat.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update (9/26) from 538:
Fetterman 51.5 - 48.1 Fetterman has 81% chance of winning

Vance 52- 48% Vance has 72% chance of winning

Warnock 49.8 - 48.7. Warnock has 53% chance of winning

Masto 48.8 - 48.1 Masto has 54% chance of winning

Johnson 50.9 - 49.1. Johnson has 61% chance of winning

Kelly 51.7 - 46.1 Kelly has 80% chance of winning

If the above hold true, Dems pick up one seat (PA)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

I will donate $25.00 per seat out of that list that they get correct. If GOP wins, a pro life charity. If a Dem wins, an environmental charity.
I accept
If Johnson, Vance, Fetterman, Kelly, and Masto wins you donate $125 to my charity.
Agreed?

post a copy of your 501(3)C


Post yours
i dont need one.

If you want to chose the actual charities that I pay, go for it.

Remember, I only pay for the ones they get right based on their guess as of today.

You seem to think they get all 5 right, throw down some cash for charity!

If they get it wrong, and a GOP wins, you donate to save the storks. If they get it wrong and a Dem wins, you pay Trust for Public Land.
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Osodecentx
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In reply to 4th and Inches • 8:08a, 9/27/22
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Redbrickbear said:
C. Jordan said:
Looks really good for Dems right now.

They can thank Trump and his promotion of awful candidates: Vance, Oz, and Walker, among others.


I agree with you on Oz…fetterman is gonna win in PA.

But Vance is a good candidate and is gonna win Ohio.
fetterman may not make it to the election.. watch video of him, he is in bad shape. Oz is not great canidate but fetterman is terrible. If he wins, people arent paying attention or voting against Oz

Vance is gonna win Ohio.

Walker is gonna win GA.

Laxalt is leading in NV, watch that one

Johnson is -4 in WI according to FoX poll but Fox overstated WI polling by 6.5 in 2020.. this is a horse race folks
Just updating. Using 538.com projections

Fetterman remains in the lead, but race is tightening (my perception). Fetterman has 80% chance of winning

Vance continues to lead in Ohio. 72% chance of victory

Warnock narrowly ahead in GA, 538 basically says too close to call. Warnock with 52% chance of victory.

Masto over Laxalt in Nevada, but close. Masto 60% chance of victory

Johnson even with Barnes and has momentum. Johnson with 51% chance of victory.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update. 538.com projections

Fetterman 52%-45.7. Fetterman has 82% chance of winning.

Vance 51.7-48.3. Vance has 69% chance of winning.

Warnock 49.9 - 48.5. Warnock has 55% chance of winning.

Masto 49.2-47.4. Masto has a 60% chance of winning.

Johnson 50.4-49.6. Johnson has a 55% chance of winning.

Kelly 51.5- 48.4. Kelly has 77% chance of winning.

If the above hold true, Dems pick up 1 seat.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update (9/26) from 538:
Fetterman 51.5 - 48.1 Fetterman has 81% chance of winning

Vance 52- 48% Vance has 72% chance of winning

Warnock 49.8 - 48.7. Warnock has 53% chance of winning

Masto 48.8 - 48.1 Masto has 54% chance of winning

Johnson 50.9 - 49.1. Johnson has 61% chance of winning

Kelly 51.7 - 46.1 Kelly has 80% chance of winning

If the above hold true, Dems pick up one seat (PA)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

I will donate $25.00 per seat out of that list that they get correct. If GOP wins, a pro life charity. If a Dem wins, an environmental charity.
I accept
If Johnson, Vance, Fetterman, Kelly, and Masto wins you donate $125 to my charity.
Agreed?

post a copy of your 501(3)C


Post yours
i dont need one. Good thing since there is no such thing.

If you want to chose (sic) the actual charities that I pay, go for it. You can choose

Remember, I only pay for the ones they get right based on their guess as of today. That is the bet.

You seem to think they get all 5 right, throw down some cash for charity! I hope they don't get them all correct because that means Schumer.

If they get it wrong, and a GOP wins, you donate to save the storks. If they get it wrong and a Dem wins, you pay Trust for Public Land.
Our bet is $25 per race using yesterday's picks. If Johnson, Vance, Fetterman, Kelly, and Masto win, you donate $125 to CareNet Waco.

If Oz wins, you donate $100 to CareNet Waco and I donate $25 to your charity.
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4th and Inches
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In reply to Osodecentx • 9:48a, 9/27/22
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
Osodecentx said:
4th and Inches said:
Redbrickbear said:
C. Jordan said:
Looks really good for Dems right now.

They can thank Trump and his promotion of awful candidates: Vance, Oz, and Walker, among others.


I agree with you on Oz…fetterman is gonna win in PA.

But Vance is a good candidate and is gonna win Ohio.
fetterman may not make it to the election.. watch video of him, he is in bad shape. Oz is not great canidate but fetterman is terrible. If he wins, people arent paying attention or voting against Oz

Vance is gonna win Ohio.

Walker is gonna win GA.

Laxalt is leading in NV, watch that one

Johnson is -4 in WI according to FoX poll but Fox overstated WI polling by 6.5 in 2020.. this is a horse race folks
Just updating. Using 538.com projections

Fetterman remains in the lead, but race is tightening (my perception). Fetterman has 80% chance of winning

Vance continues to lead in Ohio. 72% chance of victory

Warnock narrowly ahead in GA, 538 basically says too close to call. Warnock with 52% chance of victory.

Masto over Laxalt in Nevada, but close. Masto 60% chance of victory

Johnson even with Barnes and has momentum. Johnson with 51% chance of victory.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update. 538.com projections

Fetterman 52%-45.7. Fetterman has 82% chance of winning.

Vance 51.7-48.3. Vance has 69% chance of winning.

Warnock 49.9 - 48.5. Warnock has 55% chance of winning.

Masto 49.2-47.4. Masto has a 60% chance of winning.

Johnson 50.4-49.6. Johnson has a 55% chance of winning.

Kelly 51.5- 48.4. Kelly has 77% chance of winning.

If the above hold true, Dems pick up 1 seat.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/
Another update (9/26) from 538:
Fetterman 51.5 - 48.1 Fetterman has 81% chance of winning

Vance 52- 48% Vance has 72% chance of winning

Warnock 49.8 - 48.7. Warnock has 53% chance of winning

Masto 48.8 - 48.1 Masto has 54% chance of winning

Johnson 50.9 - 49.1. Johnson has 61% chance of winning

Kelly 51.7 - 46.1 Kelly has 80% chance of winning

If the above hold true, Dems pick up one seat (PA)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

I will donate $25.00 per seat out of that list that they get correct. If GOP wins, a pro life charity. If a Dem wins, an environmental charity.
I accept
If Johnson, Vance, Fetterman, Kelly, and Masto wins you donate $125 to my charity.
Agreed?

post a copy of your 501(3)C


Post yours
i dont need one. Good thing since there is no such thing.

If you want to chose (sic) the actual charities that I pay, go for it. You can choose

Remember, I only pay for the ones they get right based on their guess as of today. That is the bet.

You seem to think they get all 5 right, throw down some cash for charity! I hope they don't get them all correct because that means Schumer.

If they get it wrong, and a GOP wins, you donate to save the storks. If they get it wrong and a Dem wins, you pay Trust for Public Land.
Our bet is $25 per race using yesterday's picks. If Johnson, Vance, Fetterman, Kelly, and Masto win, you donate $125 to CareNet Waco.

If Oz wins, you donate $100 to CareNet Waco and I donate $25 to your charity.
you think OZ is the only one they get wrong? Nice..

Deal! Every one they get right gets $25 from me to carenet Waco.. everyone they get wrong is a dontation by you to mine listed depending on who the party winner is..

Also guessing you have never filled out paperwork to start a charitable non profit..
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whiterock
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9:53a, 9/27/22
Current RCP Senate projection is GOP +2

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html

RCP is more accurate than 538

Momentum is all GOP, so surprises are more likely to raise the GOP number than the Dem number.
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Doc Holliday
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In reply to whiterock • 10:10a, 9/27/22
whiterock said:
Current RCP Senate projection is GOP +2

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html

RCP is more accurate than 538

Momentum is all GOP, so surprises are more likely to raise the GOP number than the Dem number.
Number one issue is economy.

Dems are trying to make it about abortion, but it has no weight over our economic destruction.
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Osodecentx
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In reply to whiterock • 11:00a, 9/27/22
whiterock said:
Current RCP Senate projection is GOP +2

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html

RCP is more accurate than 538

Momentum is all GOP, so surprises are more likely to raise the GOP number than the Dem number.
Polling question: RCP summary of PA shows Fetterman leading in every poll, but then RCP indicating Oz wins. What information are they looking at to project Oz?
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EatMoreSalmon
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In reply to Osodecentx • 11:14a, 9/27/22
Osodecentx said:
whiterock said:
Current RCP Senate projection is GOP +2

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html

RCP is more accurate than 538

Momentum is all GOP, so surprises are more likely to raise the GOP number than the Dem number.
Polling question: RCP summary of PA shows Fetterman leading in every poll, but then RCP indicating Oz wins. What information are they looking at to project Oz?
Good question. Perhaps the trend toward the race tightening? All I can see.
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