Recession

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boognish_bear
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In reply to boognish_bear • 1:40p, 3/13/25
boognish_bear said:
Seems like a positive sign for the economy if people are still traveling in great numbers



This does not compute. Maybe Texans are faring better.

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historian
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8:25a, 3/14/25


“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
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Porteroso
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In reply to Oldbear83 • 11:00a, 3/14/25
Oldbear83 said:
Porteroso said:
Oldbear83 said:
Your assumption is noted, and when context is applied, says a great deal more about you than the President.

Go suck a lemon.

You are a sheep following a cow. He could do anything and you would love it.


Wrong, but you would blame Trump for every mistake you make or bad action from Biden that takes effect now

Nope, I'm willing to give Trump a chance. Anyone invested in stocks right now will tell you the same, that Trump is why we had a pretty bad month.

I lost a lot of money, got caught out badly in some speculative positions, but I am willing to give Trump the benefit of the doubt, that as sloppy as he has been on tariffs, in 2 months the market will be back up, and overall we will be treated more fairly on trade.

Now if the market continues down, and the tariffs turn from negotiation to trade war with the Western world, I will be pissed, but Trump loves himself too much for that to be likely. And he is surrounded by too many who love money above all else.

So yeah, while Trump's sloppiness is a big contributor to my declining wealth, I'm willing to ride this out.
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boognish_bear
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12:28a, 3/15/25
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11:00a, 3/15/25
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11:58p, 3/15/25
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In reply to boognish_bear • 1:56a, 3/16/25
boognish_bear said:


I might tend to think that an exit from the RE brokerage business could be driven as much by the change in compensation to brokers as it is to a shift in the RE market as a whole.
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9:31a, 3/16/25
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historian
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6:50p, 3/16/25



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trey3216
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In reply to boognish_bear • 9:58a, 3/17/25
boognish_bear said:
And if you take the difference between a 30yr mortgage and a 15 year mortgage and invest that money in something that returns roughly 5-6%, in 15 years you will basically have the same amount of cash in the investment vehicle that you do left on the mortgage balance.... Solvent

Mr. Treehorn treats objects like women, man.
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5:10p, 3/17/25
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11:08a, 3/20/25
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J.R.
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10:37a, 3/21/25
Stagflation is what has me concerned as an investor.
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trey3216
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In reply to J.R. • 10:55a, 3/21/25
J.R. said:
Stagflation is what has me concerned as an investor.


The rate of inflation has quelled some, so I don't think we'd have full "stagflation". Stagnant growth, even with "normal" inflation, isn't really stagflation. But stagnant growth or full on recession are definitely a worry. I just hope we didn't "fend off recession" for so long that we end up in a full blown depression.


I don't think we will, because there are ample technological movements in many industries that can lift the boat. But sentiment and certainty are king, and we don't have much of either right now.
Mr. Treehorn treats objects like women, man.
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historian
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In reply to J.R. • 11:03a, 3/21/25
Historically stagflation meant high unemployment & high inflation. This was considered impossible under Keynesian theory until Milton Friedman proved otherwise and was confirmed in the 1970s. Right now inflation is pretty low and the prices of eggs have dropped considerably. Gasoline prices are still fluctuating but I don't expect inflation to rise to such levels this year. At least I hope not.
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Doc Holliday
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In reply to historian • 11:42p, 3/21/25
historian said:
Historically stagflation meant high unemployment & high inflation. This was considered impossible under Keynesian theory until Milton Friedman proved otherwise and was confirmed in the 1970s. Right now inflation is pretty low and the prices of eggs have dropped considerably. Gasoline prices are still fluctuating but I don't expect inflation to rise to such levels this year. At least I hope not.
Im more worried about loss of jobs and lack of hiring.
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historian
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In reply to Doc Holliday • 1:12p, 3/22/25
Good point. We all should be concerned about that. Hopefully, getting rid of illegals & reducing govt waste will have quick ripple effects to bring real economic growth. If so, those problems will disappear. But it takes time.

Four years of deliberate policies by our former fake president to harm our economy and country won't be fixed as fast as we would like.
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11:15a, 3/23/25
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historian
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In reply to boognish_bear • 9:00p, 3/28/25
Unfortunately it takes time to correct 4 years of Bidenflation insanity.
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boognish_bear
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5:45p, 3/30/25
Made me laugh when he said I don't know why the bank let me do this

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7:52p, 3/30/25

“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
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boognish_bear
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6:38p, 3/31/25
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J.R.
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8:51p, 4/14/25
According very smart people, Larry Fink, Bill Ackman, Ray Dalio ect we are already in a recession. Those guys would know as well as anyone. Hold on peeps.
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