Recession

108,903 Views | 1479 Replies | Last: 2 days ago by boognish_bear
muddybrazos
How long do you want to ignore this user?
KaiBear said:

FLBear5630 said:

KaiBear said:

canoso said:

boognish_bear said:



Since repossession of anything is the natural consequence of unpaid debt, President Trump is doing his best to help we the people repossess our country.


My construction loan banker always claimed car repossessions was the most accurate assessment of the economy.

And these numbers are very bad.

Might be time for me to sell the final third of my stock portfolio.

Where would you go instead? International? Bonds?


For the short term……cash.

Possibly buy another house as prices continue to drop.

The wild card is that Trump will lower interest rates the moment he replaces the Fed chairman in a few weeks.

I hope so bc that will juice crypto big time. I think BTC has another big blowoff top that runs to near 150 then it will sell off and pull back under 100k probably down to the 80s. Ethereum should also see new all time highs and go up over 5 to maybe 7ish.
FLBear5630
How long do you want to ignore this user?
KaiBear said:

FLBear5630 said:

KaiBear said:

canoso said:

boognish_bear said:



Since repossession of anything is the natural consequence of unpaid debt, President Trump is doing his best to help we the people repossess our country.


My construction loan banker always claimed car repossessions was the most accurate assessment of the economy.

And these numbers are very bad.

Might be time for me to sell the final third of my stock portfolio.

Where would you go instead? International? Bonds?


For the short term……cash.

Possibly buy another house as prices continue to drop.

The wild card is that Trump will lower interest rates the moment he replaces the Fed chairman in a few weeks.

Be interesting for those of us with 401ks, that don't have that flexibility.
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
What are these five dollar meals he's talking about?

boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
canoso
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear said:

What are these five dollar meals he's talking about?


I call bogus on this. Driving through Lubbock recently we saw yet another McDonald's under construction.
STxBear81
How long do you want to ignore this user?
New mcdonalds are going up and new Wendys also, actually an existing mcdonalds is being torn down and replaced by a bigger newer one
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Guess it will keep being chicken and pork for me… with the occasional ribeye when I crave it.

boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear said:



And investment is the "I" part of GDP equation: C + I + G + T = GDP

We get policies which supercharge "I" and make the negative "T" number smaller........we can reasonably expect GDP to surge strongly next year.
TinFoilHatPreacherBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear said:

What are these five dollar meals he's talking about?



Yep, why pay $30-$40 to get 3 fast food meals, when you can go to a better restaurant and spend just a few dollars more and get a better meal.

Thee tinfoil hat couch-potato prognosticator, not a bible school preacher.


boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Ouch

boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear said:

Guess it will keep being chicken and pork for me… with the occasional ribeye when I crave it.



Yep. Takes years to build the national herd, during which time less beef will slaughtered for 18-24 months. Ergo demand will exceed supply and prices will rise.
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
muddybrazos
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear said:



You know thats a crypto twitter meme, right? This has been an ongoing joke on twitter since as long as I have followed crypto.

RD2WINAGNBEAR86
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Bitcoin currently trading at $93,000. If Crypto does collapse completely, it will be interesting to see how other markets are affected. Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, etc. could be considered "safe havens" and rally unlike we've ever seen! Or not.

We may have reached the point where the guy that comes in behind you is not willing to pay more for Crypto than you did. Sounds like young people in particular that have bought in are getting spooked!
Call it a tax, the people are outraged! Call it a tariff, the people get out their checkbooks and wave their American flags!!!
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Bitcoin has definitely had its peaks and valleys in its short history. Previously when it had peaked at $60,000 it tumbled all the way to below $20,000 before spiking back up.

Pretty volatile but overall trend has been up and to the right so far.

muddybrazos
How long do you want to ignore this user?
RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

Bitcoin currently trading at $93,000. If Crypto does collapse completely, it will be interesting to see how other markets are affected. Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, etc. could be considered "safe havens" and rally unlike we've ever seen! Or not.

We may have reached the point where the guy that comes in behind you is not willing to pay more for Crypto than you did. Sounds like young people in particular that have bought in are getting spooked!

I think we will know more about where its headed by the end of this week. We may still have another push up until the end of the year or we may be headed back down to the 69k-70k area. I have even seen some predictions that alot of money will flow out of gold and into BTC since gold has run so hard. The bull run may be over for BTC and people may shift profits over to ETH. I've seen all kinds of predictions and I guess we just have to see how it shakes out.
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
RD2WINAGNBEAR86
How long do you want to ignore this user?
muddybrazos said:

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

Bitcoin currently trading at $93,000. If Crypto does collapse completely, it will be interesting to see how other markets are affected. Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, etc. could be considered "safe havens" and rally unlike we've ever seen! Or not.

We may have reached the point where the guy that comes in behind you is not willing to pay more for Crypto than you did. Sounds like young people in particular that have bought in are getting spooked!

I think we will know more about where its headed by the end of this week. We may still have another push up until the end of the year or we may be headed back down to the 69k-70k area. I have even seen some predictions that alot of money will flow out of gold and into BTC since gold has run so hard. The bull run may be over for BTC and people may shift profits over to ETH. I've seen all kinds of predictions and I guess we just have to see how it shakes out.


Bitcoin currently clinging to $90,000.
Call it a tax, the people are outraged! Call it a tariff, the people get out their checkbooks and wave their American flags!!!
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
muddybrazos
How long do you want to ignore this user?
RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

muddybrazos said:

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

Bitcoin currently trading at $93,000. If Crypto does collapse completely, it will be interesting to see how other markets are affected. Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, etc. could be considered "safe havens" and rally unlike we've ever seen! Or not.

We may have reached the point where the guy that comes in behind you is not willing to pay more for Crypto than you did. Sounds like young people in particular that have bought in are getting spooked!

I think we will know more about where its headed by the end of this week. We may still have another push up until the end of the year or we may be headed back down to the 69k-70k area. I have even seen some predictions that alot of money will flow out of gold and into BTC since gold has run so hard. The bull run may be over for BTC and people may shift profits over to ETH. I've seen all kinds of predictions and I guess we just have to see how it shakes out.


Bitcoin currently clinging to $90,000.

Yep, and I dont even really care. If it goes back to the 60k range I will buy more. I'm more concerned about the alt coins and whats going on there. There never was a bull market for alts so I am sorta curious whether they are decoupled from BTC or not. Also, it seems as though the BTC bull run was all institutionally driven but not really much participation from retail. This is strange to me and idk how this plays out. If the BTC bull market is over but we get a strong 26 from the alts that would be sweet. I know Bessent said we had to take the pain in 25 but that 26 would be strong. Trump and co know that things have to be better since the midterms are coming so it will be interesting how things look in q1 and q2 of 26.
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I am actually surprised the number is not higher

boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boognish_bear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Homegirl could have benefited from some financial literacy courses in HS

 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.