Recession

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J.R.
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In reply to boognish_bear • 10:43p, 9/11/26
boognish_bear said:


BREAKING: The odds of a September interest rate hike surge to 79% after US CPI inflation hits 3.4% in August.

It is incredible to think that, at the start of 2026, markets were expecting the Fed's 3rd interest rate CUT of the year this month.

Inflation roars on and "higher for longer" is back.

what the real driver is....increased yield on the 10yr. That has Wall Street and Investors nervous . Definitely a rate hike. Can't wait to see Trumps reaction to his hand picked Chair.
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FLBear5630
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In reply to boognish_bear • 7:46a, 9/12/26
boognish_bear said:


BREAKING: The odds of a September interest rate hike surge to 79% after US CPI inflation hits 3.4% in August.

It is incredible to think that, at the start of 2026, markets were expecting the Fed's 3rd interest rate CUT of the year this month.

Inflation roars on and "higher for longer" is back.

So much winning.
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boognish_bear
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1:01p, 9/13/26
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boognish_bear
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2:33p, 9/13/26
If he believes tariffs are good economic policy and he wants to put America first… Why would he remove a tariff just because Ireland asked?

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historian
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In reply to boognish_bear • 2:38p, 9/13/26
As I understand Trump's tariff policies, they have always been negotiating tactics. He has had some success with it.
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
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boognish_bear
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In reply to historian • 2:46p, 9/13/26
historian said:
As I understand Trump's tariff policies, they have always been negotiating tactics. He has had some success with it.


What did he get in return for this one?
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Oldbear83
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In reply to boognish_bear • 2:47p, 9/13/26
boognish_bear said:
historian said:
As I understand Trump's tariff policies, they have always been negotiating tactics. He has had some success with it.


What did he get in return for this one?

leverage comes to mind
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historian
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In reply to boognish_bear • 3:31p, 9/13/26
boognish_bear said:
historian said:
As I understand Trump's tariff policies, they have always been negotiating tactics. He has had some success with it.


What did he get in return for this one?

I don't know. Maybe Kentucky whiskey will get similar treatment there.
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
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boognish_bear
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8:52p, 9/13/26
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J.R.
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In reply to boognish_bear • 10:00p, 9/13/26
boognish_bear said:

Nothing to see here. Did ole Howard get some of it from his old Buddy Epstein. You know the one where he looks his kids to Eppy Island and then lied about it. Its on film, Foo
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Jack Bauer
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In reply to boognish_bear • 10:17p, 9/13/26
boognish_bear said:


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boognish_bear
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11:55a, 9/14/26
Weren't we told prices were coming down on day one?


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Jack Bauer
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In reply to boognish_bear • 12:45p, 9/14/26
boognish_bear said:
Weren't we told prices were coming down on day one?




I guess he really does think we are that stupid
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303Bear
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In reply to Jack Bauer • 1:28p, 9/14/26
Jack Bauer said:
boognish_bear said:
Weren't we told prices were coming down on day one?




I guess he really does think we are that stupid


"Other than all the inflation caused by my policies and war, prices are coming down! Also it's all Joe Biden's fault!"

Not to excuse Biden and his policies, but after the Covid shut down and massive stimulus during that time (policies and money approved during Trump's first term), there was no realistic way inflation was not going to take off in 2021-22 as the economy reopened. It may (and probably is) be fair to say the Biden polities worsened inflation or prolonged it, but they did not cause it, and inflation was very much declining prior to the 2024 election. It then remained mostly steady or backed down further over the first year of Trump 2, then ratchet up again meaningfully after we attacked Iran.
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J.R.
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In reply to Jack Bauer • 3:33p, 9/14/26
Jack Bauer said:
boognish_bear said:
Weren't we told prices were coming down on day one?




I guess he really does think we are that stupid

the tragedy is many, many of are that stupid.
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FLBear5630
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In reply to Jack Bauer • 5:31p, 9/14/26
Jack Bauer said:
boognish_bear said:



He is so right!
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FLBear5630
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In reply to 303Bear • 5:34p, 9/14/26
303Bear said:
Jack Bauer said:
boognish_bear said:
Weren't we told prices were coming down on day one?




I guess he really does think we are that stupid


"Other than all the inflation caused by my policies and war, prices are coming down! Also it's all Joe Biden's fault!"

Not to excuse Biden and his policies, but after the Covid shut down and massive stimulus during that time (policies and money approved during Trump's first term), there was no realistic way inflation was not going to take off in 2021-22 as the economy reopened. It may (and probably is) be fair to say the Biden polities worsened inflation or prolonged it, but they did not cause it, and inflation was very much declining prior to the 2024 election. It then remained mostly steady or backed down further over the first year of Trump 2, then ratchet up again meaningfully after we attacked Iran.

They were coming down under Biden too. It was the COVID recovery. Just like Trump doesn't deserve blame for job loss during COVID. Biden doesn't for the inflation that came after. We are now 5 years out from COVID. What we have today, is all on Trump
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whiterock
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7:20p, 9/14/26
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boognish_bear
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6:34p, 9/15/26
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HuMcK
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7:26p, 9/15/26
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FLBear5630
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In reply to boognish_bear • 7:48p, 9/15/26
boognish_bear said:
If he believes tariffs are good economic policy and he wants to put America first… Why would he remove a tariff just because Ireland asked?



Jameson is a big selker at his clubs, helps his profut margin.
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boognish_bear
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8:18p, 9/15/26
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Oldbear83
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In reply to boognish_bear • 8:21p, 9/15/26
" not just rhetoric, but a record"

LP or just a 45 rpm single?
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whiterock
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9:07p, 9/15/26
Facts
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RD2WINAGNBEAR86
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In reply to Oldbear83 • 9:22p, 9/15/26
Oldbear83 said:
" not just rhetoric, but a record"

LP or just a 45 rpm single?

Trump has definitely been breaking a lot of records! He blames most all of them on Joe Biden.

I expect shortly after lunch tomorrow, Jerome Powell will be laughing his ass off!!!

I wonder what cute nickname Trump will give Kevin Warsh? I am betting on "Worthless Wrong Way Warsh".
Call it a tax, the people are outraged! Call it a tariff, the people get out their checkbooks and wave their American flags!!!
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J.R.
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In reply to HuMcK • 10:05p, 9/15/26
HuMcK said:

Warsh is a very smart deliberate guy. Gonna be interesting with Piggy. Don't think Warsh will buckle...He's got Este Lauder money. So money won't be a factor
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FLBear5630
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9:16a, 9/16/26
Yeah, Nations have mo choice. Tariff away...


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ck0e3rnxev27o
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historian
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In reply to boognish_bear • 10:57a, 9/16/26
Mike Johnson is not lying
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
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RD2WINAGNBEAR86
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In reply to FLBear5630 • 11:01a, 9/16/26
FLBear5630 said:
Yeah, Nations have mo choice. Tariff away...


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ck0e3rnxev27o

Never dreamed Trump would bully Canada and Mexico into the arms of others. Self-inflicted wound. Our next President will spend his term mending fences with our former allies.

Trump's actions continue to make him perhaps the worst foreign policy President in the modern era.
Call it a tax, the people are outraged! Call it a tariff, the people get out their checkbooks and wave their American flags!!!
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whiterock
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12:57p, 9/16/26
Like I've been saying….the macro economic stimulus of the trade deals is going to be quite powerful.

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whiterock
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2:49p, 9/16/26
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whiterock
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3:19p, 9/16/26
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Mitch Blood Green
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In reply to RD2WINAGNBEAR86 • 4:31p, 9/16/26
RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:
FLBear5630 said:
Yeah, Nations have mo choice. Tariff away...


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ck0e3rnxev27o

Never dreamed Trump would bully Canada and Mexico into the arms of others. Self-inflicted wound. Our next President will spend his term mending fences with our former allies.

Trump's actions continue to make him perhaps the worst foreign policy President in the modern era.


I read that the US put a clause in the trade negotiations that prevented Canada from acquiring other trade partners. That's why Canada walked away.
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RD2WINAGNBEAR86
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In reply to Mitch Blood Green • 5:14p, 9/16/26
Mitch Blood Green said:
RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:
FLBear5630 said:
Yeah, Nations have mo choice. Tariff away...


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ck0e3rnxev27o

Never dreamed Trump would bully Canada and Mexico into the arms of others. Self-inflicted wound. Our next President will spend his term mending fences with our former allies.

Trump's actions continue to make him perhaps the worst foreign policy President in the modern era.


I read that the US put a clause in the trade negotiations that prevented Canada from acquiring other trade partners. That's why Canada walked away.

I am pretty skeptical about this. Last I checked, Canada is a sovereign nation. So is Mexico.
Call it a tax, the people are outraged! Call it a tariff, the people get out their checkbooks and wave their American flags!!!
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boognish_bear
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8:22p, 9/16/26
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